bears vs lions nfl betting week 11

NFL: Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions Prediction 11/19/2023

The Chicago Bears (3-7) travel to face off against the Detroit Lions (7-2) on Sunday, November 19th. This game will be played at Ford Field in Ford Field and televised on FOX. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 1:00 ET.

Bears vs Lions

The Bears Are Coming Off A Win

In week 10, the Bears had the Panthers at home. Chicago finished the game with a 16-13 win. The Bears’ 3-point win was not enough to cover the spread, as they were 3-point favorites. Each side finished with an ATS push.

Against Carolina, quarterback Tyson Bagent had a passer rating of 73 while completing 60% of his passes. Overall, he ended the game with 162 yards through the air.

Chicago’s defense faced a Carolina offense that threw the ball 38 times for 170 yards in week 10. The Bears gave up a completion percentage of 55.3% on passing plays and a total of 213 yards of offense to the Panthers.

In week 11, Chicago is in 4th place in the NFC-North with a 3-7 record. Within the NFC, they find themselves in 13th place.

Taking a look at the Bears’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at -5.1. This has resulted in an ATS record of 3-5-2. This season, the Bears have an over/under record and have an average margin of +3 compared to their over/under lines. Their games have been averaging 45.9 points per game.

Bears Injury Report

  • Terell Smith – Illness (Questionable)
  • Nate Davis – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Khari Blasingame – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Justin Fields – Right Thumb (Questionable)
  • Khalil Herbert – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Tremaine Edmunds – Knee (Questionable)

The Lions Are Coming Off A Windetroit lions betting

The Lions secured a win the last time they played, taking down the Chargers by a score of 41-38. Since they were favored by 2 against the Chargers, the Lions secured an ATS victory.

In the game, quarterback Jared Goff had a huge game passing, throwing for 333 yards on 33 attempts. Goff also finished the game with two passing touchdowns.

On defense, the Lions conceded 421 yards of total offense to Los Angeles. 98 of these yards were obtained on the ground, while the team’s secondary allowed 323 yards on 40 pass attempts.

So far this season, the Lions are 7-2 overall which has the team placed 1st in the NFC-North. This record has come while going 1-1 as the underdog and 6-1 when favored.

The Lions hold a 7-2 record against the spread. As we approach week 11, their scoring margin stands at +4.2 per game. Looking at their over/under lines, the Lions have seen an average line of 46.2 points. Their games have averaged 49.3 points per game, resulting in an over/under record of 5-4.

Lions Injury Report

  • Nate Sudfeld – Knee (Out)
  • Halapoulivaati Vaitai – Back (Questionable)
  • Scott Daly – Knee (Out)
  • C.J. Gardner-Johnson – Pectoral (Out)
  • Emmanuel Moseley – Knee (Out)
  • Jason Cabinda – Knee (Out)
  • Levi Onwuzurike – Hip (Questionable)
  • Shane Zylstra – Knee (Out)
  • Mohamed Ibrahim – Hip (Out)
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones – Ribs (Questionable)
  • Matt Nelson – Ankle (Out)
  • James Houston – Ankle (Out)
  • Zonovan Knight – Shoulder (Out)
  • Hendon Hooker – Knee (Out)

Bears Offense Breakdown

The Chicago offense is currently ranked 17th in the league, averaging 20.4 points per contest.

Coming into this week’s game Chicago’s passing game is ranked 24th in passing yards. Additionally, they are positioned 22nd in pass attempts, with an average of 30.5 passes per game.

When it comes to rushing, the Bears are averaging 4.4 yards per attempt while running the ball an average of 30.2 times per game. At 135.1 rushing yards per contest, they are 4th in the league.

Lions Offense Breakdown

The Detroit offense is currently positioned 5th in the league, scoring an average of 26.8 points per contest.

Heading into week 11, Detroit ranks 6th in passing attempts and is averaging 7.4 yards per attempt (4). With 267.4 passing yards per game, they hold the 4th spot in the league.

The Lions are running the ball an average of 30.6 times per game and currently hold the 3rd rank in rushing yards. Per attempt, they are averaging 4.5 yards.

Bears Team Defensechicago bears betting

In terms of turnovers, the Chicago defense has nine takeaways, which is 10th in the NFL. Overall, they are giving up 25.5 points per game and 324.2 yards.

Lions Team Defense

The Lions’ defense, so far, has an average of 310.7 yards given up per game and 22.6 points per contest (18th). Leading up to the game, they’ve allowed a completion percentage of 62.0% and 15 passing touchdowns. In terms of stopping the run, they are 3rd in the NFL.

Bears vs Lions Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Chicago has an ATS mark of 3-7. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-8 while averaging 20 points per game.
  • The Lions are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games and 2-1 straight-up.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Chicago has an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • The Lions have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.

Bears vs Lions Prediction

The Bears’ defense is coming off a strong performance, giving up just 213 yards of offense and should build on this vs. the Lions. Despite entering as 10-point underdogs on the road, I like them to cover the spread.

For this matchup, I’m going to be hammering the under, as our model has the Bears and Lions combining for 42 points. Right now the over/under line is sitting at 46.5, so I’d recommend getting some action on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.