Chicago-Green Bay NFL Prediction

NFL Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Prediction 1/7/2024

The Chicago Bears (7-9) travel to face off against the Green Bay Packers (8-8) on Sunday, January 7th. This game will be played at Lambeau Field in Lambeau Field and televised on CBS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 4:25 ET.

Bears vs Packerschicago bears betting

The Bears Are Coming Off A Win

In their last game, the Bears hosted the Falcons and won by a score of 37-17. Against the spread, the Bears’ 20-point win was enough to cover as 3-point favorites.

Against the Falcons, the Bears ran the ball 37 times, with Khalil Herbert as the top rusher, gaining 124 yards. Justin Fields attempted 32 passes, amassing 268 yards and a passer rating of 99.

This week, the Bears’ defense will be looking to do a better job vs. the run. In week 17 they gave up 134 rushing yards to the Falcons. The Bears finished the game with 173 passing yards allowed.

Through 16 games, the Bears are 7-9. In the NFC-North standings, they are in 4th place which puts them 11th in the NFC.

With a scoring margin of -0.7, the Bears’ have achieved an ATS record of 8-6-2 so far. Against the over/under, the Bears have a record of 9-7. In their games, the average over/under betting line has been 42.8 points, and the games have averaged 44.6 points per contest.

Bears Injury Report

  • Jaylon Johnson – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Darnell Mooney – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Yannick Ngakoue – Ankle (Out)

The Packers Are Coming Off A Wingreen bay packers betting

In their previous game, the Packers secured a victory against the Vikings, by a score of 33-10. Despite being underdogs by 1, the Packers both won outright and covered the spread.

Jordan Love finished with 256 passing yards on 33 attempts vs. the Vikings. His overall passer rating was 125 and he not only threw for three touchdowns but ran for 1.

In their recent game, the Packers defense was tough against the run defense, allowing only 67 rushing yards. Throughout the game, the Vikings managed an average of 4.2 yards per rushing attempt. In total, Green Bay’s defense allowed 211 yards of offensive production.

So far this season, the Packers are an above .500 team at home at 4-3. Heading into week 18, they are 2nd in the NFC-North on an overall record of 8-8. On the road, Green Bay has gone 4-5 thus far.

Looking at their ATS performance so far, the Packers are above .500 at 8-8. Their average scoring margin is +1.6. The average over/under line for Green Bay games this season is currently 41.8 points. They have an over/under record of 10-6 with an average margin against the over/under of +2.4.

Packers Injury Report

  • Luke Musgrave – Kidney (Questionable)
  • Jayden Reed – Chest (Questionable)
  • Isaiah McDuffie – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Dontayvion Wicks – Chest/ankle (Questionable)
  • Luke Tenuta – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Christian Watson – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Emanuel Wilson – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Samori Toure – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Tyler Davis – Knee (Out)
  • Eric Stokes – Hamstring (Out)
  • AJ Dillon – Hand (Questionable)
  • De’Vondre Campbell – Neck (Questionable)
  • David Bakhtiari – Knee (Out)

Bears Offense Breakdown

The Bears offense has been better at home this year, averaging 24.9 at home compared to 19 on the road. In terms of overall scoring, they are 14th in the league.

So far this season, Chicago’s passing game is 21st in passing attempts. Their average of 186.2 passing yards per game places them 27th in the NFL rankings.

The Bears have been running the ball an average of 31.8 times per game and currently hold the 2nd spot in the league in rushing yards. Their average yards per rushing attempt is 4.5.

Packers Offense Breakdown

The Packers come in with an average 22.9 points per game on offense, which has them 10th in the NFL.

Green Bay’s passing attack comes in to this week’s game ranked 17th in passing yards. In addition, they are 14th in attempts, throwing the ball an average of 34.3 times per game.

On the ground, the Packers have carried the ball an average of 25.9 times per game and currently rank 15th in rushing yards. Their average rushing yards per attempt is 4.2.

Bears Team Defense

The Bears are 12th in the league in terms of yards allowed, giving up 317.4 yards per contest. Chicago’s defense comes in with an average of 22.6 points per game allowed, which is 19th in the NFL.

Packers Team Defense

So far the Packers’ defense has given up an average of 344.0 yards per game and 21.3 points per contest (13th). Coming into the game, they have allowed a completion percentage allowed of 65.3% and have given up 21 passing touchdowns. Against the run, they are 27th in the NFL.

Bears vs Packers Trends

  • Chicago has a 1-2 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 18 points per game while allowing 20. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Packers offense has averaged 27 points per game while allowing an average of 21. Green Bay posted an overall record of 3-2 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Bears have gone 4-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Green Bay has an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 5-5 straight up.

Bears vs Packers Prediction

Chicago’s pass defense has some momentum after containing Atlanta’s passing attack in their last game. Even as 3 point underdogs at away, I’m backing them to cover against Green Bay.

For this matchup, I’m going to be hammering the under, as our model has the Bears and Packers combining for 41 points. Right now the over/under line is sitting at 44, so I’d recommend getting some action on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.