week 5 chicago bears vs minnesota vikings nfl football betting

NFL: Bears vs. Vikings Prediction 11/27/2023

The Chicago Bears (3-8) travel to face off against the Minnesota Vikings (6-5) on Monday, November 27th. This game will be played at U.S. Bank Stadium in U.S. Bank Stadium and televised on ABC. Both the Bears and Vikings will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 ET.

Bears vs Vikings

The Bears Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Bears recently suffered a 31-26 defeat at the hands of the Lions. Despite a straight-up loss, the Bears were able to keep things closer than expected as they were 8-point underdogs before kickoff.

In their matchup against the Lions, the Bears ran the ball 46 times, with Justin Fields emerging as the top rusher with 104 yards. In the passing game, Justin Fields finished with 23 passes, resulting in 169 yards and a passer rating of 105.

The Bears picked off the Lions three times and permitted 223 passing yards in total. The rush defense also conceded 115 yards on 22 carries.

In their matchup against the Vikings, the Bears aim to build on their 3-8 record. This places them 4th in the NFC-North and 14th in the NFC.

Chicago’s scoring margin up to this point is currently at -5.1. The team comes in with an ATS mark of 4-5-2. With an over/under record of 7-4, the Bears come in with an average margin of +3.5 relative to their over/under lines. Their games have averaged 46.9 points per game (combined).

Bears Injury Report

  • Noah Sewell – Knee (Questionable)
  • D’Onta Foreman – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Lucas Patrick – Back (Doubtful)

The Vikings Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After a 21-20 loss to the Broncos, the Vikings are looking to get back on track this week. Despite their defeat against Denver, the Vikings managed to cover the spread as 2.5-point underdogs in that game.

Against Denver, quarterback Joshua Dobbs had a passer rating of 80 while completing 62% of his passes. Overall, he ended the game with 221 yards through the air.

The Vikings defense is coming off a game in which they gave up just 13 first downs vs. the Broncos. Against the run, Minnesota allowed 46 yards and 249 vs. the pass.

In the NFC-North standings, the Vikings are in 2nd place with a record of 6-5. Within the NFC, Minnesota is 7th, heading into week 12.

Taking a look at the Vikings’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at +2.1. This has resulted in an ATS record of 7-3-1. Minnesota games this season have averaged 43.9 points, which is 11th in the NFL. Their over/under record is 3-8, with an average OU line of 45.1 points.

Vikings Injury Report

  • Marcus Davenport – Ankle (Out)
  • Jordan Hicks – Lower Leg (Out)
  • Dean Lowry – Pectoral (Out)
  • Kirk Cousins – Achilles (Out)
  • James Lynch – Knee (Out)
  • Justin Jefferson – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Cam Akers – Achilles (Out)
  • Olisaemeka Udoh – Quad (Out)
  • Akayleb Evans – Calf (Questionable)
  • Brian Asamoah II – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Malik Knowles – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jaren Hall – Concussion (Questionable)

Bears Offense Breakdown

On the offensive side of the ball, the Bears currently hold an average of 20.9 points per game, which places them at 18th in the NFL.

Chicago’s passing offense, heading into this week’s game, holds the 25th ranking in passing yards. In terms of attempts, they are 26th with an average of 29.8 passes per game.

The Bears hold the 4th position in the NFL with 139.5 rushing yards per game. This average has come on an average of 31.6 rushing attempts (4th).

Vikings Offense Breakdown

Minnesota’s offense has been getting off to slow starts this season, ranking 25th in the NFL. Overall, they are averaging 23 points per game (11th).

In the passing game, the Vikings are averaging 266.7 passing yards per game, which is 3rd in the league. So far, 64.2% of their first downs have come through the passing game.

On the ground, the Vikings have carried the ball an average of 24.3 times per game and currently rank 27th in rushing yards. Their average rushing yards per attempt is 3.8.

Bears Team Defense

The Bears are 15th in the league in terms of yards allowed, giving up 325.5 yards per contest. Chicago’s defense comes in with an average of 26 points per game allowed, which is 26th in the NFL.

Vikings Team Defense

Defensively, Minnesota is 14th in points allowed. So far, opponents are averaging 20.9 points per game against them on 320.6 yards allowed per contest.

Bears vs Vikings Trends

  • Across the Bears last ten road games, the team averaged 19 points per game while allowing 32. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 3-7, while going 1-9 straight-up.
  • Minnesota has played well in their previous five home games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 23 points per game while allowing 17. The team also performed well vs the spread at 5-0.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Bears have a straight up record of 2-8. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-5-1.
  • The last ten games that Minnesota was favored, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 8-2 straight up.

Bears vs Vikings Prediction

Even though the Vikings picked up a win in their previous game, they got off to a slow start on offense. Despite being favored vs. the Bears, I like the Bears to cover the spread (+3.5).

For this matchup, I’m going to be hammering the under, as our model has Chicago and Minnesota combining for 40 points. Right now the over/under line is sitting at 45, so I’d recommend getting some action on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.