Kansas Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens NFL Betting prediction

NFL: Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens Prediction 1/28/2024

The Kansas City Chiefs (11-6) travel to face off against the Baltimore Ravens (13-4) on Sunday, January 28th. This game will be played at M&T Bank Stadium in M&T Bank Stadium and televised on CBS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 3:00 ET.

kansas city chiefs bettingChiefs vs Ravens

The Chiefs Are Coming Off A Win

The last time Kansas City played, the Chiefs beat the Bills by a final score of 27-24. The Chiefs not only won straight-up but also covered the spread as 2.5-point underdogs.

For the game, quarterback Patrick Mahomes attempted 23 passes and finished with 17 completions for 215. His passer rating for the game was 131.

Against Buffalo, the Chiefs defense struggled to keep the Bills offense off the field, giving up 27 first downs. Overall, Kansas City allowed 368 yards of offense. The Bills passing offense finished with a completion percentage of 66.7%.

So far this season, the Chiefs are 11-6 overall which has the team placed 1st in the AFC-West. This record has come while going 3-0 as the underdog and 10-6 when favored.

Looking at their ATS performance so far, the Chiefs are above .500 at 11-7-1. Their average scoring margin is +5.2. With an over/under record of 6-13, the Chiefs come in with an average margin of -6.3 relative to their over/under lines. Their games have consistently averaged 39.4 points per game.

Chiefs Injury Report

  • Richie James – Knee (Out)
  • Nick Bolton – Ankle (Out)
  • Nazeeh Johnson – Knee (Out)
  • Jody Fortson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Charles Omenihu – Suspension (Out)

The Ravens Are Coming Off A Win

The Ravens had the Texans as their opponent in the Divisional Round. This game ended in a 34-10 win for the Ravens. Against the spread, the Ravens’ 24-point win was enough to cover as 10-point favorites.

Facing the Texans defense, Baltimore’s offense amassed 352 yards in total. On third downs, the Ravens converted at a rate of 33.3%. Lamar Jackson led the rushing game with 100 yards, while Lamar Jackson threw for 152 yards.

When it came to defense, the Ravens yielded 213 yards of total offense to Houston. Among these yards, 38 were attributed to the rushing game, while 175 yards were given up through 33 attempts by the Texans’ offense.

As they get ready to face the Chiefs, the Ravens carry in a 13-4 record. Within the AFC-North, they are currently in 1st place and are positioned 1st in the AFC overall.

Thus far this season, the Ravens hold a record above .500 against the spread, marked at 12-6. Their average scoring margin in the current season is +12.6. So far this season, games involving Baltimore have averaged 44.8 points, ranking them 15th in the NFL. They currently have an over/under record of 8-9-1, with an average OU line of 42.9 points.

Ravens Injury Reportbaltimore ravens betting

  • Malik Hamm – Ankle (Out)
  • J.K. Dobbins – Achilles (Out)
  • Trayvon Mullen – Toe (Out)
  • Nick Moore – Achilles (Out)
  • Tyus Bowser – Knee (Out)
  • Marcus Williams – Pectoral (Out)
  • Odell Beckham Jr. – Ankle (Out)
  • Ronnie Stanley – Knee (Out)
  • Marlon Humphrey – Foot (Out)
  • Tyler Linderbaum – Ankle (Out)
  • Damarion Williams – Ankle (Out)
  • Andrew Vorhees – Knee (Out)
  • Keaton Mitchell – Shoulder (Out)
  • Ar’Darius Washington – Chest (Out)
  • Justice Hill – Foot (Out)
  • Odafe Oweh – Ankle (Out)

Chiefs Offense Breakdown

As they enter the Conference Championship, the Chiefs offense ranks 14th in the league, averaging 22.3 points per contest.

Kansas City currently sits 6th in passing attempts and has an average of 6.6 yards per attempt (10). They are also ranked 7th in the league with 245.5 passing yards per game.

Kansas City comes in with an average of 4.3 yards per rushing attempt and have an average of 25 attempts per game. In terms of total rushing yards, they are currently ranked 17th in the league.

Ravens Offense Breakdown

At 28.7 points per contest, the Baltimore offense is 2nd in the league.

This season, Baltimore’s passing offense ranks 30th in passing attempts. With an average of 208.8 passing yards per game, they hold the 21st spot in the NFL.

The Ravens are running the ball an average of 32.4 times per game and currently hold the 1st rank in rushing yards. Per attempt, they are averaging 4.9 yards.

Chiefs Team Defense

The Chiefs are currently 8th in tackles for loss and 2nd in sacks on defense. Their opponents are scoring an average of 17.1 points per game and gaining 292.5 yards per contest against them.

Ravens Team Defense

The Ravens currently rank 7th in tackles for loss and 1st in sacks on the defensive side. Their opponents are averaging 16.1 points per game and 296.4 yards per contest against them.

Chiefs vs Ravens Trends

  • Across their last three road contests, Kansas City has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-0-1. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 22 points per game.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, Baltimore has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 25 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • The last ten games that Kansas City was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 8-2 while going 8-2 straight up.
  • Baltimore has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five games.

Chiefs vs Ravens Prediction

In this game, I’m favoring Kansas City to cover the spread as 3.5-point underdogs. Kansas City showcased an effective ground game in their last matchup with Buffalo, and I anticipate a similar performance this week. I’m locking in my bet on Kansas City before the kickoff.

Not only does our model have a projected total of 47 points in this matchup, but the eye test has me feeling this line of 44 is low. I like the Chiefs and Ravens to exceed 44 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.