chiefs vs packers nfl prediction

NFL: Chiefs vs. Green Bay Packers Prediction 12/3/2023

The Kansas City Chiefs (8-3) travel to face off against the Green Bay Packers (5-6) on Sunday, December 3rd. This game will be played at Lambeau Field in Lambeau Field and televised on NBC. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 8:20 ET.

Chiefs vs Packers

The Chiefs Are Coming Off A Win

The Chiefs are coming off a win in their last game where they beat the Raiders with a score of 31-17. As 9-point favorites against the Raiders, the Chiefs picked up a ATS win.

Offensively, Patrick Mahomes totaled 298 passing yards with a completion rate of 79%. On the rushing front, the Chiefs had 23 attempts, gaining 69 yards. The team converted 5 of 11 third-down attempts.

Coming off their recent game, the Chiefs defense surrendered just 16 first downs to the Raiders. When it came to defending the run, Kansas City allowed 123 yards, and against the pass, they yielded 235 yards.

As they prepare to face the Packers, the Chiefs hold a 8-3 record. Within the AFC-West, they currently sit in 1st place and are 2nd place in the AFC.

With a scoring margin of +6.8, the Chiefs’ have achieved an ATS record of 7-4 so far. The average over/under line for Kansas City games this season is currently 47.9 points. They have an over/under record of 3-8 with an average margin against the over/under of -8.1.

Chiefs Injury Report

  • Nazeeh Johnson – Knee (Out)
  • Nick Bolton – Wrist (Out)
  • Kadarius Toney – Ankle/hip (Questionable)
  • Cole Christiansen – Hamstring (Out)
  • Justyn Ross – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
  • Prince Tega Wanogho – Quad (Out)
  • Jody Fortson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Mecole Hardman Jr. – Thumb (Out)
  • Jerick McKinnon – Groin (Questionable)

The Packers Are Coming Off A Win

The Packers came out on top in their previous game against the Lions, with the game ending in a score of 29-22. In additon to winning straight-up, the Packers covered the spread as 8.5 point underdogs.

Against Detroit, quarterback Jordan Love had a passer rating of 125 while completing 68% of his passes. Overall, he ended the game with 268 yards through the air.

In their matchup vs. the Detroit offense, the Green Bay’s defense was thrown against 44 times, yielding 324 passing yards. On passing plays, the Packers allowed a completion rate of 65.9%, and they permitted a total of 464 yards of offense.

This season, the Packers have achieved an overall record of 5-6, putting them 3rd in the NFC-North. This includes a 4-6 record as underdogs and 1-0 when they are favored.

Taking a look at the Packers’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at +0.6. This has resulted in an ATS record of 6-5. So far this season, games involving Green Bay have averaged 41.4 points, ranking them 20th in the NFL. They currently have an over/under record of 5-6, with an average OU line of 42.3 points.

Packers Injury Report

  • Luke Musgrave – Kidney (Out)
  • Emanuel Wilson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Darnell Savage – Calf (Questionable)
  • Josiah Deguara – Hip (Questionable)
  • Tyler Davis – Knee (Out)
  • Dontayvion Wicks – Knee/concussion (Questionable)
  • Luke Tenuta – Ankle (Out)
  • Eric Stokes – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Jaire Alexander – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Rudy Ford – Biceps (Questionable)
  • Aaron Jones – Knee (Questionable)
  • De’Vondre Campbell – Neck (Questionable)
  • David Bakhtiari – Knee (Out)

Chiefs Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Kansas City offense has been averaging 23.3 points per game, ranking them 9th in the league.

Kansas City is currently ranked 7th in the NFL for passing yards per game, with an average of 258.5. In terms of passing yards per attempt, they are at 9 in the league.

The Chiefs are running the ball an average of 25.4 times per game and currently hold the 16th rank in rushing yards. Per attempt, they are averaging 4.1 yards.

Packers Offense Breakdowngreen bay packers betting

For this season, the Green Bay offense has an average of 21 points per game, placing them at 15th in the league.

As a team, Green Bay ranks 16th in the NFL for passing yards per game with an average of 222.1. Their passing yards per attempt of 6.5, places them at 11 in the league.

So far, the Packers have run the ball an average of 24.9 times per game and currently hold the 20th spot in rushing yards. On a per-attempt basis, they average 4 yards which is 19th.

Chiefs Team Defense

On the defensive front, the Chiefs currently hold the 11th position in tackles for loss and rank 4th in sacks. Opponents are averaging 16.5 points and 290.0 yards per game against them.

Packers Team Defense

So far the Packers’ defense has given up an average of 340.3 yards per game and 20.4 points per contest (10th). Coming into the game, they have allowed a completion percentage allowed of 64.4% and have given up 12 passing touchdowns. Against the run, they are 27th in the NFL.

Chiefs vs Packers Trendskansas city chiefs betting

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Chiefs have a straight up record of 8-2 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 26 points per game in this stretch.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Green Bay has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 21 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Packers have a straight up record of 4-6. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Chiefs have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.

Chiefs vs Packers Prediction

With Kansas City’s passing game coming off a good showing against Las Vegas, I anticipate another strong performance. Being the favorites with a -6.5 spread on the road, I’m leaning towards taking Kansas City to cover.

After crunching the numbers, our model is pointing to this game finishing with a combined 48 points. This projection has me feeling good about taking the over at 42.5.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.