cowboys vs dolphins nfl betting prediction

NFL: Dallas Cowboys vs. Miami Dolphins Prediction 12/24/2023

The Dallas Cowboys (10-4) travel to face off against the Miami Dolphins (10-4) on Sunday, December 24th. This game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium in Hard Rock Stadium and televised on FOX. The Dolphins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cowboys are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Bills. Kickoff is set for 4:25 ET.

Cowboys vs Dolphinsmiami dolphins betting

The Cowboys Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Recently, the Cowboys played and had a 31-10 loss against the Bills. With their 21 point loss, the Cowboys also were handed a defeat on their ATS record. Going into the game, they were 2.5-point underdogs.

Facing the Bills defense, Dallas’ offense amassed 195 yards in total. On third downs, the Cowboys converted at a rate of 38.5%. Tony Pollard led the rushing game with 52 yards, while Dak Prescott threw for 134 yards.

The Bills looked to establish the run against the Cowboys in week 15, running the ball 49 times for 266. Dallas’ defense finished the game by allowing a total of 351 yards which included 85 yards vs. the pass.

As they prepare to face the Dolphins, the Cowboys hold a 10-4 record. Within the NFC-East, they currently sit in 1st place and are 2nd place in the NFC.

When it comes to the spread, the Cowboys come in at 9-5. Going into week 16, their scoring margin per game is +11.9. Throughout this season, Dallas games have averaged 49.6 points, ranking them 5th in the NFL. They hold an over/under record of 8-6, with an average OU line of 45.3 points.

Cowboys Injury Report

  • Billy Price – Undisclosed (Questionable)
  • Leighton Vander Esch – Neck (Out)
  • Malik Hooker – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Zack Martin – Quadriceps (Questionable)
  • Johnathan Hankins – Ankle/knee (Questionable)
  • C.J. Goodwin – Pectoral (Out)
  • Sean McKeon – Ankle (Out)
  • Trevon Diggs – Knee (Out)
  • Josh Ball – Hip (Out)
  • Matt Waletzko – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • David Durden – Knee (Out)
  • DeMarvion Overshown – Knee (Out)
  • Viliami Fehoko Jr. – Knee (Questionable)
  • John Stephens Jr. – Knee (Out)

The Dolphins Are Coming Off A Windallas cowboys betting

In their most recent game, the Dolphins picked up a 30-0 win over the Jets. The Dolphins were able to cover the spread vs. New York, as they went into the game favored by 7.

On offense, the Dolphins finished with 290 yards against the Jets. When it came to third downs, the Dolphins had a 40% conversion rate. Leading the ground game was Raheem Mostert with 42 yards, and Tua Tagovailoa contributed 224 passing yards.

On the defensive front, the Dolphins picked off the Jets two times and allowed 80 passing yards in total. The rush defense conceded 23 yards on 12 attempts.

Throughout this season, the Dolphins have a record of 10-4, which positions them at 1st in the AFC-East. Their performance reflects a 1-2 record as underdogs and 9-2 when they are favored.

Looking at the Dolphins’ scoring margin so far, it currently stands at +10.5. This has led to an ATS record of 9-5. So far this season, Miami games are 1st in total points. Their over/under record is 8-6 and the average over/under line for their games is 46.8 points.

Dolphins Injury Report

  • Chris Brooks – Ankle/knee (Questionable)
  • Erik Ezukanma – Neck (Out)
  • Cam Smith – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Zeke Vandenburgh – Knee (Out)
  • Jevon Holland – Knee (Questionable)
  • Jaylen Waddle – Chest (Questionable)
  • Jaelan Phillips – Achilles (Out)
  • Robert Hunt – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Austin Jackson – Oblique (Questionable)
  • Alexander Johnson – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Keion Crossen – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Salvon Ahmed – Foot (Out)
  • Isaiah Wynn – Quadriceps (Out)
  • Connor Williams – Knee (Out)
  • Jerome Baker – Knee (Out)
  • DeShon Elliott – Concussion/ribs (Questionable)
  • Emmanuel Ogbah – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Xavien Howard – Hip (Questionable)
  • Tyreek Hill – Ankle (Questionable)

Cowboys Offense Breakdown

The Cowboys come in with an average of 30.8 points per game which is 2nd in the NFL.

So far this season, Dallas’ passing game is 8th in passing attempts. Their average of 251.6 passing yards per game places them 6th in the NFL rankings.

On the ground, the Cowboys have ran the ball an average of 28.1 times per game and are 12th in rushing yards. So far, they are averaging 4.2 yards per rushing attempt.

Dolphins Offense Breakdown

Offensively, the Dolphins have an average of 31.5 points per game, which positions them 1st in the NFL.

Heading into week 16, Miami ranks 18th in passing attempts and is averaging 8.3 yards per attempt (2). With 274.4 passing yards per game, they hold the 1st spot in the league.

On the ground, the Dolphins have ran the ball an average of 27.5 times per game and are 4th in rushing yards. So far, they are averaging 5 yards per rushing attempt.

Cowboys Team Defense

When it comes to turnovers, the Dallas defense has forced 21 takeaways, putting them 5th in the NFL. Overall, they are allowing 18.9 points per game and yielding 294.3 yards.

Dolphins Team Defense

Miami is sitting 13th in points allowed so far. Heading into week 16, their opponents are putting up an average of 21 points per game, on 293.4 yards per contest.

Cowboys vs Dolphins Trends

  • Through their last three road contests, the Cowboys offense has averaged 22 points per game while allowing an average of 23. Dallas posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • In their last five games at home, the Dolphins have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 26 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Cowboys have a straight up record of 3-7. But, their mark vs the spread was just 3-7.
  • As the betting favorite, the Dolphins have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 4-1.

Cowboys vs Dolphins Prediction

Dallas’ pass defense did a good job slowing down Buffalo in their most recent game. Even though they are 1.5-point underdogs on the road, I like them to cover vs. Miami.

For this matchup, I’m going to be hammering the under, as our model has Dallas and Miami combining for 50 points. Right now the over/under line is sitting at 51, so I’d recommend getting some action on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.