Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders NFL betting Prediction

NFL Dallas Cowboys vs Commanders Prediction 1/7/2024

The Dallas Cowboys (11-5) travel to face off against the Washington Commanders (4-12) on Sunday, January 7th. This game will be played at FedEx Field in FedEx Field and televised on FOX. The Cowboys are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Commanders are looking to get back on track from a loss to the 49ers. Kickoff is set for 4:25 ET.

Cowboys vs Commanderscommanders logo

The Cowboys Are Coming Off A Win

The last time Dallas played, the Cowboys beat the Lions with a final score of 20-19. Despite winning the game, the Cowboys did not cover the spread vs. the Lions, as they were favored by 5.

Offensively, Dak Prescott ended with 345 passing yards with a completion rate of 68%. The Cowboys ran the ball 21 times, gaining 61 yards. The team converted 7 of 14 third-down opportunities.

Defensively, the Cowboys recorded two interceptions against the Lions and allowed a total of 295 passing yards. The rush defense gave up 125 yards on 31 attempts.

On the road, the Cowboys have a record of 3-5 this season and are 11-5 overall. When looking at the standings, Dallas is 2nd in the NFC and 1st in the NFC-East. On the road, Dallas has gone 3-5 thus far.

The Cowboys have put together a record of 9-7 against the spread. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +10.4. So far this season, the Cowboys hold an over/under record of 8-8. The average over/under betting line in their games has been 46.1 points, and their games have averaged a combined 48.5 points.

Cowboys Injury Reportdallas cowboys betting

  • Billy Price – Undisclosed (Questionable)
  • Leighton Vander Esch – Neck (Out)
  • Johnathan Hankins – Ankle/knee (Questionable)
  • C.J. Goodwin – Pectoral (Out)
  • Trevon Diggs – Knee (Out)
  • Josh Ball – Hip (Out)
  • Rico Dowdle – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Sean McKeon – Ankle (Out)
  • Viliami Fehoko Jr. – Knee (Questionable)
  • DeMarvion Overshown – Knee (Out)
  • Tyler Smith – Foot (Questionable)
  • John Stephens Jr. – Knee (Out)
  • David Durden – Knee (Out)

The Commanders Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their last game, the Commanders played host to the 49ers and lost by a score of 27-10. With a 17-point loss, the Commanders added a loss to their ATS record as well. They were 14-point underdogs prior to the game.

Against the 49ers, the Commanders ran the ball 14 times, with Brian Robinson Jr. as the top rusher, gaining 44 yards. Sam Howell attempted 28 passes, amassing 169 yards and a passer rating of 59.

When it came to defense, the Commanders yielded 408 yards of total offense to San Francisco. Among these yards, 184 were attributed to the rushing game, while 224 yards were given up through 28 attempts by the 49ers’ offense.

Washington is currently 4th in the NFC-East this season, with an overall record of 4-12. In games outside the conference, they are 2-3 and in NFC games, they’ve gone 2-9.

As the underdog, Washington has gone 6-5-1 this season compared to their ATS record of 0-4 as the favorite. At home, the Commanders are 0-6-1 ATS and 6-3 vs. the spread on the road. The average over/under line for Washington games this season is 42.7 points. Their over/under record stands at 9-7, with an average margin against the over/under of +7.2.

Commanders Injury Report

  • Ricky Stromberg – Knee (Out)
  • Braeden Daniels – Shoulder (Out)
  • Percy Butler – Wrist (Out)
  • Curtis Brooks – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Armani Rogers – Achilles (Out)
  • Curtis Hodges – Back (Out)
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. – Foot (Out)
  • Darrick Forrest – Shoulder (Out)
  • Jamin Davis – Shoulder (Out)
  • Shaka Toney – Suspension (Out)
  • Benjamin St-Juste – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Dax Milne – Groin (Out)
  • David Bada – Triceps (Out)
  • Jeremy Reaves – Knee (Out)
  • Andrew Wylie – Elbow (Questionable)
  • Tyler Larsen – Knee (Out)
  • Charles Leno Jr. – Calf (Out)
  • Efe Obada – Leg (Out)
  • Kendall Fuller – Knee (Questionable)
  • Jacoby Brissett – Hamstring (Questionable)

Cowboys Offense Breakdown

Coming into week 18, the Cowboys offense is 3rd in the league at 29.4 points per contest.

In terms of the passing game, Cowboys have an average 255.5 passing yards per game, placing them 4th in the league rankings. At present, 58.2% of their first downs have come through the passing game.

The Cowboys have been running the ball an average of 27.4 times per game and currently hold the 14th spot in the league in rushing yards. Their average yards per rushing attempt is 4.1.

Commanders Offense Breakdown

In terms of offense, the Commanders are at 19.9 points per game, ranking them 20th in the NFL.

Looking at their performance in the passing game so far, Washington is 18th in passing yards per game, where they have an average of 224.7. Additionally, their passing yards per attempt of 5.9, places them 14th in the league.

At 96.4 rushing yards per game, the Commanders are 24th in the NFL. This figure has come on an average of 21.4 attempts (31st).

Cowboys Team Defense

Looking at Dallas’ defense, they currently stand 5th in points allowed. Opponents have been averaging 19.1 points per game and 307.2 yards per contest against them.

Commanders Team Defense

Defensively, Washington is 30th in the NFL in points allowed. Their opponents have an average of 30 points per game while gaining 385.8 yards per contest.

Cowboys vs Commanders Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 21 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • Through their last three home games, Washington has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 0-3 while averaging 19 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Commanders have a straight up record of 0-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Dallas has an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 9-1 straight up.

Cowboys vs Commanders Prediction

Keep an eye on Dallas’ passing attack, which is likely to build on their impressive performance against Detroit. As the favorites with a -13 spread on the road, I’m favoring Dallas to cover.

The analysis we’ve been running for this game has Dallas and Washington finishing with a combined 44 points. With the over/under line sitting at 44, I’m getting a bet down on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.