broncos vs texans nfl prediction

NFL: Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans Prediction 12/3/2023

The Denver Broncos (6-5) travel to face off against the Houston Texans (6-5) on Sunday, December 3rd. This game will be played at NRG Stadium in NRG Stadium and televised on CBS. The Broncos are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Texans are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Jaguars. Kickoff is set for 1:00 ET.

Broncos vs Texans

The Broncos Are Coming Off A Win

The Broncos hosted the Browns in their last game, coming away with a 29-12 win. Denver was favored by 2 against the Browns and notched an ATS victory.

Against Cleveland, quarterback Russell Wilson had a passer rating of 91 while completing 59% of his passes. Overall, he ended the game with 134 yards through the air.

Defensively, the Broncos allowed 269 total yards of offense against Cleveland. Of these yards, 107 were surrendered on the ground, while the team’s secondary conceded 162 yards on 42 pass attempts.

As they prepare to face the Texans, the Broncos hold an overall record of 6-5 and have secured five consecutive victories. Within the AFC-West, Denver is in 2nd place.

The Broncos’ scoring margin thus far is currently at -3.1. This has contributed to an ATS record of 4-6-1. So far this season, Denver games are 8th in total points. They come in with an over/under record of 5-6, with an average over/under line for their games set at 43.9 points.

Broncos Injury Report

  • Jalen Virgil – Meniscus (Out)
  • Brandon Johnson – Hamstring (Out)
  • Eyioma Uwazurike – Suspension (Out)
  • Alex Palczewski – Hand (Out)
  • Jonas Griffith – Knee (Out)
  • Greg Dulcich – Hamstring (Out)
  • Caden Sterns – Knee (Out)
  • Tim Patrick – Achilles (Out)
  • Dwayne Washington – Illness (Questionable)
  • K’Waun Williams – Ankle (Out)
  • Kareem Jackson – Suspension (Out)

The Texans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Texans had the Jaguars as their opponent in week 12. However, the Jaguars took them down by a score of 24-21. In addition to their 3-point loss, the Texans also suffered a setback in their ATS record. They were 1-point underdogs at the start of the game.

C.J. Stroud wrapped up the game with 304 passing yards and a passer rating of 115. Overall, he completed 26 of 36 passes.

Against the Jaguars’ offense, the Texans allowed 445 yards of total offense. Of these yards, 81 were attributed to the rushing defense, while 364 yards were surrendered on 38 pass attempts.

At home, the Texans have a record of 4-2 this season and are 6-5 overall. When looking at the standings, Houston is 8th in the AFC and 3rd in the AFC-South. On the road, Houston has gone 2-3 thus far.

In terms of the spread, the Texans hold a record of 5-6. This has come on an average scoring margin of +2.5. Coming in with an over/under record of 4-7, the Texans have an average margin of +1.4 vs. their over/under lines. So far, their games have averaged 44.6 points per game.

Texans Injury Report

  • Case Keenum – Calf (Questionable)
  • Jimmie Ward – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Hassan Ridgeway – Achilles (Out)
  • Eric Murray – Knee (Out)
  • Ka’imi Fairbairn – Quad (Out)
  • Noah Brown – Knee (Questionable)
  • M.J. Stewart – Shoulder (Out)
  • Scott Quessenberry – Knee (Out)
  • Kendrick Green – Knee (Out)
  • Grayland Arnold – Calf (Out)
  • Charlie Heck – Foot (Questionable)
  • Tytus Howard – Knee (Questionable)
  • Dylan Horton – Personal (Out)
  • DJ Scaife – Leg (Out)
  • Jesse Matthews – Knee (Out)
  • Kilian Zierer – Ankle (Out)
  • Jarrett Patterson – Ankle (Out)
  • Troy Hairston – Back (Out)
  • Jake Hansen – Hand/hamstring (Questionable)
  • Kenyon Green – Shoulder (Out)
  • Teagan Quitoriano – Groin (Out)

Broncos Offense Breakdown

On the offensive front, the Broncos are currently averaging 22.4 points per game, positioning them 11th in the NFL.

As a team, Denver is 25th in the NFL in passing yards per game (185). Their passing yards per attempt figure of 6.4 is 12 in the league.

On a per-attempt basis, the Broncos average 4.5 yards while carrying the ball an average of 26 times per game. Regarding rushing yardage, they are 12th in the league.

Texans Offense Breakdownhouston texans betting

Offensively, the Texans have an average of 23.5 points per game, which is 8th in the NFL.

In terms of passing yards, Houston’s offense is 10th in attempts. Their average of 276.2 passing yards per game places them 2nd in the league.

On the ground, the Texans have ran the ball an average of 26.5 times per game and are 22nd in rushing yards. So far, they are averaging 3.7 yards per rushing attempt.

Broncos Team Defense

On the defensive side of the ball, Denver currently ranks 26th in points allowed. Their opponents have been averaging 25.5 points per game while gaining 388.2 yards per contest.

Texans Team Defense

The Texans defense takes on the Broncos having given up an average of 21.1 points per game. So far, they are 16th in quarterback hits and are giving up 347.6 yards per contest.

Broncos vs Texans Trendsdenver broncos betting

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Broncos have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 4-5-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 17 points per game in this stretch.
  • In their last five home games, Houston has averaged 21 points per game while allowing 21. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Broncos have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 3-2.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Texans have a straight up record of 5-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-8.

Broncos vs Texans Prediction

For this Texans vs. Broncos matchup, we see there being good value on grabbing a Broncos team that is coming off both a straight-up and and ATS win. Look for the Broncos to continue this momentum, making them a good pick at +3.5.

If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, the data we have suggests this game finishing below 46.5 points. For this game, my money is on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.