bears vs falcons nfl betting prediction

NFL: Falcons vs. Chicago Bears Prediction 12/31/2023

The Atlanta Falcons (7-8) travel to face off against the Chicago Bears (6-9) on Sunday, December 31st. This game will be played at Soldier Field in Soldier Field and televised on CBS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 1:00 ET.

Falcons vs Bears

The Falcons Are Coming Off A Win

This week, the Falcons will be looking to string together another win after taking down the Colts by a score of 29-10. Atlanta was favored by 3 against the Colts and notched an ATS victory.

Taylor Heinicke wrapped up the game with 229 passing yards and a passer rating of 99. Overall, he completed 23 of 33 passes.

On the defensive side of the ball, the Falcons gave up 262 yards of total offense to Indianapolis. 92 of these yards came on the ground, while the team’s secondary gave up 170 yards on 37 attempts.

Heading into week 17, the Falcons are 2nd in the NFC-South on a record of 7-8. When comparing their mark to other teams in the NFC, they are 9th. So far, they have gone 2-5 on the road and 5-3 at home.

Atlanta’s scoring margin up to this point is currently at -0.1. The team comes in with an ATS mark of 5-10. Currently, the Falcons have an average over/under line of 40.1 points for this season. Their games have been averaging 38.3 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 5-10.

Falcons Injury Report

  • Ikenna Enechukwu – Leg (Out)
  • Jacob Saylors – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Barry Wesley – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Josh Ali – Ankle (Out)
  • Troy Andersen – Arm (Out)
  • Adetokunbo Ogundeji – Foot (Out)
  • Avery Williams – Knee (Out)
  • Feleipe Franks – Foot (Out)
  • Matt Hennessy – Knee (Out)
  • Ethan Greenidge – Leg (Out)
  • Kaleb McGary – Knee (Questionable)
  • Kentavius Street – Shoulder (Out)
  • Grady Jarrett – Knee (Out)
  • Keith Smith – Ankle (Out)
  • Jake Matthews – Knee (Questionable)

The Bears Are Coming Off A Winchicago bears betting

Most recently, the Bears faced off against the Cardinals at home. This game ended in a 27-16 win for Chicago. As 4.5-point favorites against the Cardinals, the Bears picked up a ATS win.

Quarterback Justin Fields didn’t have a huge game in terms of passing yards, throwing for 170. However, he did throw for one touchdown while running for one.

On the defensive end, the Bears recorded two sacks and one interception against the Cardinals. Additionally, the team’s secondary allowed 213 passing yards, while the rush defense gave up 93 rushing yards.

Through 15 games, the Bears are 6-9. In the NFC-North standings, they are in 4th place which puts them 12th in the NFC.

As the underdog, Chicago has gone 6-5-1 this season compared to their ATS record of 1-1-1 as the favorite. At home, the Bears are 3-2-2 ATS and 4-4 vs. the spread on the road. Up to this point in the season, games featuring Chicago have ranked 18th in total points. They have maintained an over/under record of 8-7, and the average over/under line for their games is 43 points.

Bears Injury Reportatlanta falcons betting

  • Noah Sewell – Knee (Questionable)
  • Teven Jenkins – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Cole Kmet – Knee (Questionable)
  • Equanimeous St. Brown – Pectoral (Questionable)
  • DJ Moore – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Yannick Ngakoue – Ankle (Out)

Falcons Offense Breakdown

Atlanta’s offense comes in with an average of 19.1 points per game, which is currently 21st in the league.

Atlanta currently ranks 22nd in passing attempts and has an average of 6.6 yards per attempt (8). With 202.7 passing yards per game, they are positioned 22nd in the league.

With 129.8 rushing yards per game, the Falcons hold the 8th spot in the NFL. This average is coming on an average of 31.5 rushing attempts (2nd).

Bears Offense Breakdown

On the offensive front, the Bears are currently averaging 20.9 points per game, positioning them 19th in the NFL.

In the passing game, the Bears are averaging 182.6 passing yards per game, which is 28th in the league. So far, 51.9% of their first downs have come through the passing game.

With 142.1 rushing yards per game, the Bears hold the 2nd spot in the NFL. This average is coming on an average of 31.5 rushing attempts (3rd).

Falcons Team Defense

On defense, the Falcons are currently positioned 12th in tackles for loss and 13th in sacks. Against them, opponents are scoring an average of 19.2 points per game and gaining 308.4 yards per contest.

Bears Team Defense

Going up against the Falcons’ offense, the Bears defense has allowed an average of 23 points per game. So far this season, they are 16th in quarterback hits and have yielded an average of 318.1 yards per contest.

Falcons vs Bears Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Atlanta has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 16 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • Chicago has a 1-2 record in their last three home games. In this stretch, they averaged 18 points per game while allowing 20. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Falcons have a straight up record of 2-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-3.
  • Over the team’s last five games as the favorite, the Bears struggled vs the spread going just 1-2-2. However, they still had a straight up mark of 3-2.

Falcons vs Bears Prediction

My point spread pick, is Atlanta as 3-point underdogs. I expect Atlanta to continue their impressive rushing game, as seen in their recent matchup with Indianapolis. I’ll be getting a bet down on Atlanta before the game starts.

The analysis we’ve been running for this game has Atlanta and Chicago finishing with a combined 36 points. With the over/under line sitting at 38, I’m getting a bet down on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.