NFL: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Bills Prediction 1/21/2024

The Kansas City Chiefs (11-6) travel to face off against the Buffalo Bills (11-6) on Sunday, January 21st. This game will be played at Highmark Stadium in Highmark Stadium and televised on CBS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 6:30 ET.

Chiefs vs Billsbuffalo bills betting

The Chiefs Are Coming Off A Win

Most recently, the Chiefs faced off against the Dolphins at home. This game ended in a 26-7 win for Kansas City. As 4.5-point favorites against the Dolphins, the Chiefs picked up a ATS win.

Against the Dolphins, quarterback Patrick Mahomes completed 23 of 41 passes for 262 yards and a passer rating of 83. For the game, Mahomes finished with one passing touchdown.

Following their recent game, the Chiefs defense will look for another strong performance, allowing only 13 first downs versus the Dolphins. Against the rushing attack, Kansas City conceded 76 yards, and in the passing game, they yielded 188 yards.

Through 18 games, the Chiefs have a record of 11-6. This mark has them 1st in the AFC-West and 3rd in the AFC.

The Chiefs’ scoring margin thus far is currently at +5.3. This has contributed to an ATS record of 10-7-1. The average over/under line for the Chiefs this season stands at 45.8 points. Their games have averaged 38.8 points per game so far, resulting in an over/under record of 5-13.

Chiefs Injury Report

  • kansas city chiefs bettingNazeeh Johnson – Knee (Out)
  • Charles Omenihu – Suspension (Out)
  • Jody Fortson – Shoulder (Out)

The Bills Are Coming Off A Win

In their previous game, the Bills secured a victory against the Steelers, by a score of 31-17. Heading into the game, the Bills were favored by 10. Their 14 point win was enough to cover the spread.

Buffalo’s offense generated 368 total yards against the Steelers. On third downs, the Bills managed a conversion rate of 41.7%. James Cook led the team in rushing with 79 yards, while Josh Allen passed for 203 yards.

The Bills defense struggled against the Steelers offense in their last game, surrendering 22 first downs. In total, Buffalo gave up 324 yards of offense, with the Steelers passing attack completing 56.4% of their passes.

Through 18 games, the Bills are 11-6. In the AFC-East standings, they are in 1st place which puts them 2nd in the AFC.

Looking at their ATS performance so far, the Bills are above .500 at 8-10. Their average scoring margin is +8.6. So far this season, games involving Buffalo have averaged 45 points, ranking them 14th in the NFL. They currently have an over/under record of 7-11, with an average OU line of 45.6 points.

Bills Injury Report

  • Baylon Spector – Hamstring (Out)
  • Justin Shorter – Hamstring (Out)
  • Von Miller – Knee (Out)
  • Nyheim Hines – Knee (Out)
  • Zach Davidson – Knee (Out)
  • Tommy Doyle – Knee (Out)

Chiefs Offense Breakdown

On offense, the Chiefs are averaging 22.1 points per game, putting them 15th in the NFL.

As a team, Kansas City ranks 7th in the NFL for passing yards per game with an average of 247.2. Their passing yards per attempt of 6.6, places them at 10th in the league.

The Chiefs are currently averaging 4.2 yards per rushing attempt while carrying the ball an average of 25.1 times per game. In terms of rushing yardage, they hold the 18th position in the league.

Bills Offense Breakdown

At home, the Bills are averaging 28.7 points per contest compared to their overall numbers of 26.8 points per game. In the league, Buffalo is 6th in overall scoring.

This season, the Buffalo’s passing offense is 15th in passing attempts. Their average of 241.3 passing yards per contest, has them 10th in the NFL.

The Bills come in with an average of 4.3 yards per rushing attempt while running the ball an average of 30.3 times per game. In terms of total rushing yardage, they currently rank 5th in the league.

Chiefs Team Defense

Kansas City’s defense has come up with 17 turnovers so far this season. This figure has them 13th in the NFL. Heading into week 2, they are allowing 16.7 points per game and 288.3 yards.

Bills Team Defense

On the defensive side of the ball, Buffalo currently ranks 4th in points allowed. Their opponents have been averaging 18.2 points per game while gaining 308.1 yards per contest.

Chiefs vs Bills Trends

  • Across their three previous road games, Kansas City has an ATS mark of 1-1-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-1 while averaging 19 points per game.
  • Across the Bills last ten home games, the team averaged 25 points per game while allowing 19. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-5, while going 6-4 straight-up.
  • The last ten games that Kansas City was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 7-3 straight up.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the Bills have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 5-0.

Chiefs vs Bills Prediction

Kansas City’s secondary did a good job limiting Miami’s passing game in their previous game. Despite being 2.5-point underdogs at away, I’m confident in their ability to cover against Buffalo.

If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, the data we have suggests this game finishing below 46 points. For this game, my money is on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.