chiefs vs patriots nfl prediction

NFL: Kansas City Chiefs vs Patriots Prediction 12/17/2023

The Kansas City Chiefs (8-5) travel to face off against the New England Patriots (3-10) on Sunday, December 17th. This game will be played at Gillette Stadium in Gillette Stadium and televised on FOX. The Patriots are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Chiefs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Bills. Kickoff is set for 1:00 ET.

Chiefs vs Patriots

The Chiefs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In week 14, the Chiefs faced off against the Bills at home. The game ended in a 20-17 loss for the Chiefs. In addition to their defeat in the game, the Chiefs also fell short of covering the spread as 1.5-point favorites.

Versus the Bills, the Chiefs turned to the run 18 times, and it was Clyde Edwards-Helaire who led the way with 39 yards. Meanwhile, Patrick Mahomes finished with 43 pass attempts, resulting in 271 yards and a passer rating of 74.

In their most recent matchup against the Bills, the Chiefs defense gave up 69.10569105691057 first downs on the ground. In total, Buffalo managed to gain 118 rushing yards against the Chiefs’ defense. Against the pass, they gave up 209 yards.

The Chiefs come into their matchup against the Patriots with a 8-5 record. In the AFC-West, they are 1st and 3rd in AFC overall standings.

Kansas City’s scoring margin up to this point is currently at +4.9. The team comes in with an ATS mark of 7-6. This season Kansas City games are 22nd in total points. Their over/under record is 4-9, and the average over/under line for their games stands at 47.7 points.

Chiefs Injury Report

  • Justyn Ross – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
  • Bryan Cook – Ankle (Out)
  • Isiah Pacheco – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Nazeeh Johnson – Knee (Out)
  • Cole Christiansen – Hamstring (Out)
  • Prince Tega Wanogho – Quad (Out)
  • Drue Tranquill – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Mecole Hardman Jr. – Thumb (Out)
  • Jody Fortson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Donovan Smith – Neck (Questionable)

The Patriots Are Coming Off A Win

Taking a look at their latest game, the Patriots defeated the Steelers by a score of 21-18. The Patriots not only won straight-up but also covered the spread as 5-point underdogs.

For the game, quarterback Bailey Zappe attempted 28 passes and finished with 19 completions for 240. His passer rating for the game was 115.

The Patriots defense is coming off a game in which they gave up just 82 yards vs. the run. For the game, the Steelers averaged 2.9 yards per attempt. New England’s defense gave up a total of 264 yards of offense.

In 13 games, the Patriots have a 3-10 record. This has them situated 4th in the AFC-East and 16th in the AFC.

The Patriots’ scoring margin heading into this week’s game is at -7.9, putting their ATS record at 3-10. So far this season, games involving New England have averaged 33.9 points, ranking them 28th in the NFL. They currently have an over/under record of 4-9, with an average OU line of 40.3 points.

Patriots Injury Reportkansas city chiefs betting

  • Isaiah Bolden – Head (Out)
  • Demario Douglas – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Christian Gonzalez – Shoulder (Out)
  • Marcus Jones – Shoulder (Out)
  • Kayshon Boutte – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Tyrone Wheatley Jr. – Knee (Out)
  • Calvin Anderson – Illness (Out)
  • Shaun Wade – Illness (Questionable)
  • Tre Nixon – Shoulder (Out)
  • Rhamondre Stevenson – Ankle (Out)
  • Daniel Ekuale – Bicep (Out)
  • Kendrick Bourne – Knee (Out)
  • Raekwon McMillan – Achilles (Out)
  • DeVante Parker – Knee (Questionable)
  • Riley Reiff – Knee (Out)
  • Matthew Judon – Bicep (Out)

Chiefs Offense Breakdown

Overall, the Chiefs offense is averaging 22.5 points per game which is 11th in the NFL. In terms of scoring on the road, the Chiefs are averaging 21 points per contest.

Looking at their performance in the passing game so far, Kansas City is 6th in passing yards per game, where they have an average of 253.5. Additionally, their passing yards per attempt of 6.7, places them 8th in the league.

On a per-attempt basis, the Chiefs average 4.3 yards while carrying the ball an average of 24.8 times per game. Regarding rushing yardage, they are 17th in the league.

Patriots Offense Breakdownnew england patriots betting

For this season, the New England offense has an average of 13 points per game, placing them at 29th in the league.

This season, New England’s passing offense ranks 19th in passing attempts. With an average of 189.5 passing yards per game, they hold the 25th spot in the NFL.

With an average of 101.9 rushing yards per game, the Patriots currently rank 22nd in the NFL. This figure is based on 25.6 rushing attempts (21st).

Chiefs Team Defense

Heading into this week’s matchup with the Patriots, the Chiefs defense has given up an average of 17.5 points per game. They are currently 5th in quarterback hits and have allowed an average of 299.9 yards per contest.

Patriots Team Defense

On the defensive front, the Patriots currently hold the 14th position in tackles for loss and rank 17th in sacks. Opponents are averaging 20.9 points and 306.9 yards per game against them.

Chiefs vs Patriots Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Chiefs have a straight up record of 8-2 while going 5-5 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 25 points per game in these contests.
  • Across the Patriots last three home games, the team averaged 15 points per game while allowing 19. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 1-2 straight-up.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Patriots have a straight up record of 2-8. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-8.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Kansas City has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 6-4 straight up.

Chiefs vs Patriots Prediction

Look for Kansas City’s passing attack to put together another big game, as they are coming off a big performance vs. Buffalo. Favored by 9.5 on the road, I like Kansas City to cover.

So far this season, Kansas City’s games have combined for 40 points. With the over/under line sitting at 37.5, I’m taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.