lions vs bears nfl prediction

NFL: Lions vs. Chicago Bears Prediction 12/10/2023

The Detroit Lions (9-3) travel to face off against the Chicago Bears (4-8) on Sunday, December 10th. This game will be played at Soldier Field in Soldier Field and televised on FOX. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 1:00 ET.

Lions vs Bears

The Lions Are Coming Off A Win

The Lions recently secured a victory, defeating the Saints with a final score of 33-28. Since they were favored by 4 against the Saints, the Lions secured an ATS victory.

Jared Goff wrapped up the game with 213 passing yards and a passer rating of 117. Overall, he completed 16 of 25 passes.

In their most recent matchup against the Saints, the Lions defense gave up 84.17190775681341 first downs on the ground. In total, New Orleans managed to gain 113 rushing yards against the Lions’ defense. Against the pass, they gave up 249 yards.

So far this season, the Lions are an above .500 team on the road at 5-1. Heading into week 14, they are 1st in the NFC-North on an overall record of 9-3. At home, Detroit has gone 4-2 thus far.

Detroit’s scoring margin up to this point is currently at +3.4. The team comes in with an ATS mark of 8-4. The average over/under line for the Lions this season is currently 46.5 points. So far, their games have averaged 51.1 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 8-4.

Lions Injury Report

  • Nate Sudfeld – Knee (Out)
  • Halapoulivaati Vaitai – Back (Out)
  • Alex Anzalone – Hand (Questionable)
  • Scott Daly – Knee (Out)
  • Frank Ragnow – Knee (Questionable)
  • Jason Cabinda – Knee (Out)
  • Emmanuel Moseley – Knee (Out)
  • C.J. Gardner-Johnson – Pectoral (Out)
  • Mohamed Ibrahim – Hip (Out)
  • Shane Zylstra – Knee (Out)
  • Matt Nelson – Ankle (Out)
  • James Houston – Ankle (Out)
  • Zonovan Knight – Shoulder (Out)
  • Hendon Hooker – Knee (Questionable)

The Bears Are Coming Off A Win

In week 12, the Bears hit the road to face the Vikings, coming away with a 12-10 win. Going into the game, the Bears were actually 3-point underdogs. This resulted in an ATS win for the Bears.

Versus the Vikings, the Bears finished with 28 rushing attempts, and Justin Fields led the way with 59 yards. Meanwhile, Justin Fields had 37 pass attempts, resulting in 217 yards and a passer rating of 87.

The Bears defense is coming off a game in which they were solid up front, giving up only 73 rushing yards. In the game, the Vikings averaged 4.3 yards per rushing attempt. In total, Chicago’s defense allowed 242 yards of offensive production.

In 12 games, the Bears have a 4-8 record. This has them situated 4th in the NFC-North and 13th in the NFC.

The Bears’ have a scoring margin of -4.5 this season, which has led to an ATS record of 5-5-2. This season Chicago games are 12th in total points. Their over/under record is 7-5, and the average over/under line for their games stands at 43.4 points.

Bears Injury Report

  • Tyrique Stevenson – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Noah Sewell – Knee (Questionable)
  • Larry Borom – Illness (Questionable)
  • D’Onta Foreman – Ankle (Questionable)

Lions Offense Breakdown

This season, the Detroit offense has an average of 27.2 points, placing them 6th in the league.

In the passing game, the Lions are averaging 263.2 passing yards per game, which is 4th in the league. So far, 60.4% of their first downs have come through the passing game.

With an average of 137.3 rushing yards per game, the Lions currently rank 4th in the NFL. This figure is based on 29.8 rushing attempts (6th).

Bears Offense Breakdown

Chicago’s offense has been getting off to slow starts this season, ranking 20th in the NFL. Overall, they are averaging 20.2 points per game (18th).

This season, the Chicago’s passing offense is 23rd in passing attempts. Their average of 185.6 passing yards per contest, has them 25th in the NFL.

Looking at their ground game, the Bears have been carrying the ball an average of 31.3 times per game and are 3rd in rushing yards. They have an average of 4.4 yards per rushing attempt.

Lions Team Defense

Detroit is sitting 21st in points allowed so far. Heading into week 14, their opponents are putting up an average of 23.8 points per game, on 322.4 yards per contest.

Bears Team Defense

On defense, the Bears are giving up an average of 239.5 passing yards per game and 79.0. In terms of sacks, Chicago is 19th among other defenses and they are giving up 24.7 points per game and 318.5 yards.

Lions vs Bears Trends

  • Although Detroit has a straight up record of 8-2 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 8-2. The team averaged 24 points per game in these games.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Bears offense has averaged 17 points per game while allowing an average of 28. Chicago posted an overall record of 2-8 while going 4-6 ATS.
  • The last ten games that Chicago was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-4-1 while going 3-7 straight up.
  • Through their previous three contests as the betting favorite, the Lions have a strong record of 2-1. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 1-2.

Lions vs Bears Prediction

Coming in as the 3-point favorites on the road, I like Detroit to cover the spread. Detroit’s offense is coming off a good performance vs. New Orleans and should carry that momentum into this week’s matchup vs. Chicago.

Not only does our model have a projected total of 43 points in this matchup, but the eye test has me feeling this line of 41 is low. I like the Lions and Bears to exceed 41 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.