jets vs dolphins nfl prediction

NFL: New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins Prediction 12/17/2023

The New York Jets (5-8) travel to face off against the Miami Dolphins (9-4) on Sunday, December 17th. This game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium in Hard Rock Stadium and televised on CBS. The Jets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Dolphins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Titans. Kickoff is set for 1:00 ET.

Jets vs Dolphins

The Jets Are Coming Off A Win

Most recently, the Jets faced off against the Texans at home. This game ended in a 30-6 win for New York. Besides their outright victory, the Jets also covered the spread as 3-point underdogs.

In terms of offensive production, Zach Wilson finished with 301 passing yards with a completion rate of 75%. The Jets ran the ball 26 times for 79 yards. The team’s third-down conversion rate was 6/15.

On the defensive side of the ball, the Jets gave up 135 yards of total offense to Houston. 81 of these yards came on the ground, while the team’s secondary gave up 54 yards on 28 attempts.

Taking on the Dolphins, the Jets will look to improve on their record of 5-8. This mark has them in 3rd in the AFC-East and 14th in the AFC.

The Jets hold a 5-7-1 record against the spread. As we approach week 15, their scoring margin stands at -4.3 per game. The average over/under line for New York games this season is 38.7 points. Their over/under record stands at 5-8, with an average margin against the over/under of -3.5.

Jets Injury Report

  • Wes Schweitzer – Calf (Out)
  • C.J. Uzomah – Knee (Out)
  • Connor McGovern – Knee (Out)
  • Aaron Rodgers – Achilles (Questionable)
  • Al Woods – Achilles (Out)
  • Chuck Clark – Knee (Out)
  • Tanzel Smart – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Ifeadi Odenigbo – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Alijah Vera-Tucker – Achilles (Out)
  • Bradlee Anae – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Max Mitchell – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Perrion Winfrey – Foot (Out)
  • Carter Warren – Hip (Questionable)
  • Jason Brownlee – Ankle (Questionable)

The Dolphins Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent game, the Dolphins fell to the Titans by a score of 28-27. Along with their outright defeat, the Dolphins couldn’t cover the spread despite being favored by 13.5.

Tua Tagovailoa wrapped up the game with 240 passing yards and a passer rating of 90. Overall, he completed 23 of 33 passes.

In their matchup with Tennessee, the Dolphins defense had difficulty preventing the Titans offense from moving the chains, allowing 22 first downs. Overall, Miami gave up 403 yards of offense, with the Titans passing game achieving a completion rate of 60.5%.

This season, the Dolphins hold the 1st position in the AFC-East with an overall record of 9-4. Their non-conference game record is 3-1, and in AFC action, they are AFC.

So far this season, the Dolphins are above .500 vs. the spread at 8-5. Their average scoring margin this season is +9. So far this season, the Dolphins hold an over/under record of 8-5. The average over/under betting line in their games has been 47.6 points, and their games have averaged a combined 54.2 points.

Dolphins Injury Report

  • Skylar Thompson – Gameday Inactive (Out)
  • Erik Ezukanma – Neck (Out)
  • Chris Brooks – Ankle/knee (Questionable)
  • Zeke Vandenburgh – Knee (Out)
  • Connor Williams – Knee (Questionable)
  • DeShon Elliott – Ribs (Questionable)
  • Tyreek Hill – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Robert Hunt – Hamstring (Out)
  • Jevon Holland – Knee (Out)
  • Jaelan Phillips – Achilles (Out)
  • Alexander Johnson – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Salvon Ahmed – Foot (Out)
  • Keion Crossen – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jerome Baker – Knee (Out)
  • Isaiah Wynn – Quadriceps (Out)
  • Tyler Kroft – Gameday Inactive (Out)
  • Terron Armstead – Knee/ankle (Out)
  • Eli Apple – Gameday Inactive (Out)
  • Robbie Chosen – Gameday Inactive (Out)

Jets Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the New York offense has been averaging 15.5 points per game, ranking them 26th in the league.

This season, the New York passing offense is 13th in passing attempts. Their average of 176.9 passing yards per contest is 29th compared to other teams.

The Jets are currently 30th in the NFL with 89.8 rushing yards per game. This has come on an average of 21.3 rushing attempts (30th).

Dolphins Offense Breakdown

Coming into week 15, the Dolphins offense is 2nd in the league at 31.6 points per contest.

Miami is presently 18th in passing attempts, with an average of 8.3 yards per attempt (2). Their 279.2 passing yards per game also place them 1st in the league.

The Dolphins are currently averaging 5.2 yards per rushing attempt while carrying the ball an average of 27.5 times per game. In terms of rushing yardage, they hold the 2nd position in the league.

Jets Team Defense

When it comes to defense, the Jets have given up 167.2 passing yards and 131.8 rushing yards per game. In terms of sacks, New York ranks 8th among other defenses. Coming into week 15, they have allowed 19.8 points per game and 299.0 yards.

Dolphins Team Defense

On defense, the Dolphins are giving up an average of 212.5 passing yards per game and 95.5. In terms of sacks, Miami is 3rd among other defenses and they are giving up 22.6 points per game and 308.1 yards.

Jets vs Dolphins Trends

  • Through their last five road games, New York has an ATS record of just 1-3-1. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 14 points per game.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Dolphins offense has averaged 27 points per game while allowing an average of 26. Miami posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 7-3 ATS.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, New York has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • The Dolphins have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.

Jets vs Dolphins Prediction

After a good defensive display against Houston, New York is my top choice to cover the spread this week, especially with the line currently set at +9.5.

So far this season, Miami has an -3.5 average margin against their over/under lines. At 40, we have this game going over with a combined 43 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.