Calgary vs Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 3/7/2024

The Calgary Flames (30-26-5) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning (33-24-6) on Thursday, March 7th. This game will be played at Amalie Arena in Tampa and televised on ESPN+. The Lightning are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Flames are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Kraken. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Flames vs Lightning

calgary flames nhl

The Calgary Flames Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

As the 11th-place team in the Western Conference, the Flames have a record of 30-26-5, including a mark of 18-17 against other Western Conference teams. In their division, the Pacific, the Flames are in 6th place with a record of 8-8.

On the road this season, Calgary has gone 14-12-4, and they have been the underdog in 32 of their 61 games. Over their last ten games, the Flames have gone 6-4, and they have won three straight games as the underdog.

On the road this season, Calgary has a puck line record of 17-13, and their average scoring margin is +.1 goals per game. So far, the Flames have 19 wins by multiple goals and have gone 23-9 against the puck line as the underdog.

Overall, Calgary’s puck line record is 31-30, and they have dropped their last two games vs. the puck line. In their last ten road games, the Flames have an impressive puck line record of 8-2.

Following a 4-2 loss at home to the Kraken, the Flames are eager to bounce back. In the first period, the Flames struggled to find the net on offense, but they turned things around with one time in the second period and one goal in the third. Calgary’s one power-play goals contributed to their total of 2 goals. Their offensive performance came with 34 shots on goal and six giveaways.

Calgary took a loss vs. the puck line in the game, going into the game favored by -1.5. The over/under line going into the game was 5.5 goals, which the teams surpassed with their combined 6 goals.

The Tampa Bay Lightning Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, Tampa Bay has gone 19-8-4 and is favored in 37 of their 63 games. Against Eastern Conference opponents, the Lightning are 17-19 and are currently in 7th place in the conference and 5th in the Atlantic Division. Over their last ten games, Tampa Bay has gone 5-5, and they have a record of 33-24-6 overall.

Over their last three games, the Lightning have gone 1-2, and they are 3-2 over their last five games. For the season, Tampa Bay has been favored in 37 games and has gone 23-12-2 as the favorite.

At home this season, the Lightning have gone 17-14 against the puck line, and their average scoring margin at home is +.6 goals per game. So far, they have 23 wins by multiple goals and 10 wins by just one goal.

Heading into this game, Tampa Bay has dropped three straight games vs. the puck line and has gone 0-3 vs. the puck line in their last three home games. Overall, their puck line record this year is 31-32, and they have gone 16-21 vs. the puck line when favored.

The Lightning played host to the Canadiens in their previous game and emerged with a 4-3 win. During the first period, the Lightning started slow, but they turned things around by scoring two times in the second period and one goal in the third. Throughout the game, the Tampa Bay offense managed to score one time while short-handed and took 29 shots on goal.

Tampa Bay’s straight-up victory didn’t translate to covering the puck line in the game, despite being favored by -1.5. With a combined total of 7 goals, the teams exceeded the over/under line of 6.5 goals set for the game.

Calgary Offense Breakdown

The Flames come into the game scoring an average of 3.1 goals per game, putting them 16th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 17th in the league. The Calgary offense is ranked 30th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they find themselves at 4th in the NHL.

The Flames’ over/under record this season is 35-25-1. For the season, they have had 32 games that surpassed this game’s over/under line of 6.5. Overall, their games are averaging6.3 goals per game.

Lightning Offense Breakdown

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On offense, the Lightning are averaging 3.3 goals per game which is 7th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 21st in the league. In terms of power play goals, the Lightning offense is 3rd in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they are 25th in the NHL.

This season, the Lightning’s have an over/under record of 29-30-4. Throughout the season, they have played 32 games that did not exceed the 6.5 over/under line. On average, their games are averaging 6.8 goals per game.

Calgary Team Defense

Defensively, the Flames are currently 22nd in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.9 shots per game against Calgary. They also are 24th in shutouts, coming in with 2 shutouts.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

In terms of defense, the Lightning head into the game ranked 19th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.4 shots per game against Tampa Bay. So far, they are 16th in shutouts, achieving 3 shutouts.

Flames vs Lightning Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Flames have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 8-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 4 goals per game in these contests.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Lightning offense has averaged 2 goals per game while allowing an average of 4. Tampa Bay posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 0-5 ATS.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Tampa Bay has an puck line mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Flames have a good straight up record, but their puck line mark is just 1-2.

Flames vs Lightning Prediction

When making a moneyline pick, my choice is the Lightning to come out with a win against the Flames while playing at home. Considering the moneyline odds at -153, I’m placing my bet on the Lightning to win outright.

For a puck line prediction, our preference is the Lightning to secure a win and cover. Anticipate the Lightning to win this one by multiple goals over the Flames.

For those assessing the over/under line set at 6.5 goals, our expectation is that this game will stay below that mark, and we suggest making a bet on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.