Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction 5/11/2024

The Dallas Stars (52-21-9) travel to face off against the Colorado Avalanche (50-25-7) on Saturday, May 11th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on TNT. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Puck drop is set for 10:00 ET.

Stars vs Avalanche

dallas stars nhl

The Dallas Stars Are Coming Off A Win

With a record of 52-21-9, the Dallas Stars come into the game with 113 points and sit atop the Western Conference standings. Over their last ten games, the Stars have gone 6-4 and are on a two-game winning streak. On the road this season, Dallas has gone 26-10-5.

When they have been the underdog this season, the Stars have gone 5-4-2 and are on a two-game winning streak in those games. Against teams from the Western Conference, Dallas has gone 34-16 this season.

On the road, the Stars have gone 22-19 against the puck line this year. Overall, their puck line record is 36-46, and they have gone 29-13 in games decided by more than one goal.

So far, Dallas has been the underdog in 11 games this season and has gone 9-2 against the puck line in those contests. Their average scoring margin this year is +.8 goals per game.

In their most recent game, the Stars faced the Blues and came out victorious with a score of 2-1. On offense, the Stars did not find the net in the first or second period but scored one goal in the third period. In the game, Dallas managed to score all two goals at even strength. They concluded with 37 shots on goal and committed 10 turnovers.

Dallas’ straight-up victory didn’t translate to covering the puck line in the game, despite being favored by -1.5. The over/under line for the game was 6, and it concluded with a combined total of 3 goals.

The Colorado Avalanche Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, the Avalanche have been dominant, going 31-9-1. In games where they are favored, Colorado has gone 45-18-6, and in the Western Conference, they are in 4th place. Overall, the Avalanche have gone 50-25-7.

Over their last ten games, Colorado has gone 6-4, and they have won four of their last five games. Against other teams in the Western Conference, the Avalanche have gone 34-16 this season.

On the season, Colorado has gone 40-42 against the puck line, including going 24-17 at home. So far, the Avalanche have 36 wins by multiple goals compared to just 14 wins by one goal.

Currently, the team’s average scoring margin sits at +.6 goals per game, and they have gone 34-35 against the puck line when favored. Over their last ten home games, the Avs have gone just 5-5 vs. the puck line.

The Avalanche recently hosted the Oilers and emerged victorious with a 5-1 win. Offensively, the Avalanche scored four goals in the first period and one time in the second period. Of Colorado’s five goals, one came while in power play. They ended the game with 27 shots on goal and had seven giveaways.

Colorado came in as the favorites with a -1.5 goal advantage and, as a result, recorded a win against the puck line. The over/under line for the game was 6.5, and it concluded with a combined total of 6 goals.

Dallas Offense Breakdown

Offensively, the Stars come into the game at 3.6 goals per contest placing 3rd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 11th position in the league. Looking at how the Stars’ offense is performing during power plays, they are 11th in power play goals and 2nd in shorthanded goals.

This season, the over/under record for the Stars’ is 42-39-1. Over the course of the season, they have had 42 games that exceeded the over/under line of 6.5. On average, their games are averaging 6.5 goals per game.

Avalanche Offense Breakdown

colorado avalanche

For their offensive performance, the Avalanche come in averaging 3.7 goals per game this season, which is 1st in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 4th in the league. The Colorado offense is ranked 2nd in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they find themselves at 16th in the NHL.

The Avalanche come in with an over/under record of 47-32-3. Over the season, there have been 48 games that have surpassed the 6.5 over/under line. Their games, on average, are at 6.8 goals per game.

Dallas Team Defense

Dallas defense takes on the Avalanche ranked 27th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 28.6 shots per game against Dallas. They also are 21st in shutouts, with 4 shutouts.

Colorado Team Defense

Defensively, the Avalanche come into the season ranked 16th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.7 shots per game against Colorado. For the season, they are ranked 19th in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Stars vs Avalanche Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, Dallas has an puck line record of just 7-3. However, their overall record was 8-2 while averaging 3 goals per game.
  • The Avalanche are 3-0 puck line in their last three home games and 3-0 straight-up.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Avalanche have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.
  • Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Stars have a good straight up record, but their puck line mark is just 1-2.

Stars vs Avalanche Prediction

If you’re looking for a moneyline pick, my choice is the Stars to take down the Avalanche on the road. With the moneyline currently at +114, I’m placing my bet on the Stars straight-up.

Our projections have the Stars pulling out a win as the underdog. But if you’re not as bullish as we are on the Stars, we’d recommend at least getting a bet down on them to cover the puck line.

With an over/under line sitting at 6.5 goals, we like this game to surpass that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.