red wings vs sabres nhl prediction

NHL Detroit Red Wings vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction 12/5/2023

The Detroit Red Wings (13-7-3) travel to face off against the Buffalo Sabres (10-13-2) on Tuesday, December 5th. This game will be played at KeyBank Center in Buffalo and televised on ESPN+. The Red Wings are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Sabres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Predators. Puck drop is set for 7:30 ET.

Detroit Red Wings vs Buffalo Sabres

The Detroit Red Wings Are Coming Off A Win

This season, the Red Wings have an overall record of 13-7-3. On the road, Detroit holds a 5-4-1 mark, and they are 8-3-2 when playing at home. This record has them sitting 3rd in the Eastern Atlantic division and 4th in the Eastern conference. Detroit’s average scoring margin this season is +.8 leading to an overall puck line record of 15-8. Their scoring margin at home is +1.1 and +.4 on the road.

Facing the Canadiens in their last game, the Red Wings won by a score of 5-4. Offensively, the Red Wings registered three goals during the first period and one time in the second period. Detroit’s offense came up with one power-play goals and added one when shorthanded. They wrapped up the game with 33 shots on goal.

Detroit’s straight-up victory didn’t translate to covering the puck line in the game, despite being favored by -1.5. The combined total of 9 goals exceeded the over/under line, which was set at 6.5 goals for the game.

The Buffalo Sabres Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

As they head into their game vs. the Red Wings, the Sabres have a 10-13-2 record thus far. While playing at home, their record stands at 5-6-0, and they have 5-7-2 mark on the road. At the moment, they hold the 7th spot in the Eastern Atlantic division and are ranked 14th in the Eastern conference. This season, Buffalo’s average scoring margin is -0.6, which has their puck line record at 13-12. Their average home scoring margin is -0.5, and in road games, it stands at -0.6.

After suffering a 2-1 loss at home to the Predators, the Sabres are looking to bounce back today. On the offensive front, the Sabres failed to score in the first or third periods against the Predators, but they found the net one time in the second period. Buffalo’s’s lone goal during the game occurred at even strength. They ended with 35 shots on goal in total.

Buffalo went into the game favored by -1.5, giving them a loss vs. the puck line. With a combined total of 3 goals, the game concluded below the over/under line of 6.5.

Detroit Offense Breakdown

Offensively, the Red Wings come into the game at 3.7 goals per contest placing 4th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 22nd position in the league. So far this year, the Red Wings are 7-2 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 6-4 in games with fewer shots on goal.

The Red Wings’ over/under record this season is 13-10-0. For the season, they have had 13 games that surpassed this game’s over/under line of 6.5. Overall, their games are averaging6.7 goals per game.

Buffalo Offense Breakdown

For their offensive performance, the Sabres come in averaging 2.8 goals per game this season, which is 22nd in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 16th in the league. So far this year, the Sabres are 6-6 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 4-7 in games with fewer shots on goal.

This season, the Sabres’ have an over/under record of 10-14-1. Throughout the season, they have played 15 games that did not exceed the 6.5 over/under line. On average, their games are averaging 6.2 goals per game.

Detroit Team Defense

Defensively, the Red Wings are currently 19th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 30.3 shots per game against Detroit. They also are 9th in shutouts, coming in with 2 shutouts.

Buffalo Team Defense

Defensively, the Sabres come into the season ranked 15th in goals allowed. Opponents are averging 29.8 shots per game against Buffalo. For the season, they are ranked 20th in shutouts, coming in with 1 shutouts.

Red Wings vs Sabres Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Detroit has an puck line record of 2-1 while averaging 4 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • Across their three previous home games, Buffalo has an puck line mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 3 goals per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Sabres have a straight up record of 2-8. Their record vs the puck line in these games was 5-5.
  • Although the Red Wings have a strong straight up record in their last three games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the puck line going 1-2.

Red Wings vs Sabres Prediction

For a moneyline bet, I’m backing the Sabres to secure a victory over the Red Wings at home. With the moneyline currently set at +105, I’m locking in my bet on the Sabres straight-up.

Our projections have the Sabres pulling out a win as the underdog. But if you’re not as bullish as we are on the Sabres, we’d recommend at least getting a bet down on them to cover the puck line.

When considering the over/under line, which is currently at 6.5 goals, we believe that this game will go over that threshold, and we recommend wagering on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.