Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 3/9/2024

The Philadelphia Flyers (33-23-8) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning (33-25-6) on Saturday, March 9th. This game will be played at Amalie Arena in Tampa and televised on NBCS. The Flyers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Lightning are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Flames. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Flyers vs Lightning

philadelphia flyers nhl

The Philadelphia Flyers Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into this game, the Flyers are in 6th place in the Eastern Conference with 74 points. They have gone 33-23-8 overall, including a 15-19 record against Eastern Conference opponents. On the road, Philadelphia has gone 17-10-5 for the season, and they have been the underdog in 44 of their 64 games.

Over their last ten games, the Flyers have gone 4-6, and they have won two straight games when listed as the underdog. Against the Metropolitan Division, Philadelphia has gone 8-11 this season, and they have won 33 of their 64 games.

Philadelphia enters the game with an average scoring differential of +.1 goals per game and has gone 20-44 as the underdog this season. So far, the Flyers have 20 wins by multiple goals and have gone 39-25 against the puck line overall.

As the underdog, Philadelphia has a puck line record of 33-11, including going 4-0 in their last four games. In their last ten road games, the Flyers have gone 7-3 against the puck line.

In their most recent matchup, the Flyers played against the Panthers and won with a score of 2-1. Offensively, the Flyers couldn’t break through in the first period, but they scored one time in the second period and one goal in the third. In the game, Philadelphia managed to score all two goals at even strength. They concluded with 26 shots on goal and committed 3 turnovers.

Entering the game as the underdog, Philadelphia came away with a victory against the puck line. The over/under line for the game was 6, and it concluded with a combined total of 3 goals.

The Tampa Bay Lightning Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

At home this season, the Lightning have gone 19-9-4, and they have been favored in 38 of their 64 games this year. In the Eastern Conference standings, Tampa Bay is currently in 8th place, and they have gone 17-19 against other teams in the East.

Over their last ten games, the Lightning have gone 4-6, and they have gone 2-3 in their last five games. In their last three games, Tampa Bay has gone 1-2.

On the season, Tampa Bay has gone 31-33 against the puck line and 23 of their wins have been by multiple goals.

At home, the Lightning have gone just 17-15 against the puck line, and their average scoring margin for the year is just +.5 goals per game.

After suffering a 6-3 loss at home to the Flames, the Lightning are looking to bounce back today. Throughout the game against the Flames, Lightning’s offense managed to score in every single period. All three goals came at even strength. They finished with 22 shots on goal and had 10 turnovers.

Tampa Bay went into the game favored by -1.5, giving them a loss vs. the puck line. The over/under line going into the game was 6.5 goals, which the teams surpassed with their combined 9 goals.

Philadelphia Offense Breakdown

When looking at their offense, the Flyers have an average of 2.9 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 22nd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 2nd in the league. In terms of power play goals, the Flyers offense is 31st in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they are 1st in the NHL.

The Flyers come in with an over/under record of 26-35-3. Over the course of the season, they have had 38 games failing to surpass the 6.5 goal over/under line. The average number of goals in their games is at 5.9 per game.

Lightning Offense Breakdown

tampa bay lightning

Offensively, the Lightning come into the game at 3.3 goals per contest placing 6th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 22nd position in the league. Coming into the game, the Lightning have a 20-12 record when they have more shots on goal than their opponent. When they have fewer shots on goal, they are 13-11.

This season, the Lightning have an over/under record of 30-30-4. Throughout last season, they played 40 games that did not exceed the 6.5 over/under line. On average, their games featured 6.5 goals per game.

Philadelphia Team Defense

Defensively, the Flyers come into the season ranked 30th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 27.6 shots per game against Philadelphia. For the season, they are ranked 14th in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

Tampa Bay defense takes on the Flyers ranked 20th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 29.3 shots per game against Tampa Bay. They also are 17th in shutouts, with 3 shutouts.

Flyers vs Lightning Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, Philadelphia has an puck line record of just 7-3. However, their overall record was 5-5 while averaging 2 goals per game.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Lightning have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 4 goals per game in these contests.
  • As the betting underdog, the Lightning have an puck line record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 2-1.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Flyers have a straight up record of 7-3 and an puck line mark of 3-7.

Flyers vs Lightning Prediction

If you’re looking for a moneyline pick, my choice is the Flyers to take down the Lightning on the road. With the moneyline currently at +122, I’m placing my bet on the Flyers straight-up.

If you’re looking to get a bet down on this matchup, we foresee the Flyers winning the underdog. However, if you’re not as confident in the Flyers straight-up, we’d still recommend placing a bet on them to cover the puck line.

For those looking at the over/under line set at 6.5 goals, our expectation is that this game will surpass that mark, and we suggest making a bet on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.