New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 3/30/2024

The New York Islanders (31-26-15) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning (40-25-7) on Saturday, March 30th. This game will be played at Amalie Arena in Tampa and televised on ESPN+. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Islanders vs Lightning

new york islanders nhl

The New York Islanders Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into today’s game, the Islanders are 10th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 31-26-15. Against other teams in the East, New York has gone 19-23. On the road this season, the Islanders are 15-16-5.

In their last ten games, New York has gone just 3-7, and they have lost two straight games when they have been favored. As the underdog, the Islanders have gone 16-13-9 this year, and they have won their last two games as the underdog.

When it comes to the puck line, the Islanders have gone just 35-37 this year and have gone 3-7 in their last ten games. So far, New York has been the underdog in 38 games and has gone 26-12 against the puck line in those games.

On the road, the Islanders have gone 20-16 against the puck line and have gone just 5-5 against the puck line in their last ten road games. Overall, New York has lost more games by multiple goals (23) than they have by just one goal (18).

In their most recent matchup, the Islanders played against the Panthers and won with a score of 3-2. In the offensive department, the Islanders notched one goal during the first period and two times in the second period. All three goals came at even strength. They finished with 24 shots on goal and had 12 turnovers.

New York was the underdog going into the game and picked up a win against the puck line. Combining for 5 goals, the game finished below the over/under line of 6.

The Tampa Bay Lightning Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, the Lightning have gone 22-9-4 and have won three straight games on their home ice. In the Eastern Conference standings, Tampa Bay is in 6th place and has gone 40-25-7 overall. Over their last ten games, the Lightning have gone 8-2.

As the favorite, Tampa Bay has gone 27-13-2 this season and has won four straight games when favored. Against other teams in the Eastern Conference, the Lightning have gone 21-19 this season.

At home, the Lightning have a puck line record of 20-15 and a scoring margin of +.8 goals per game. So far this season, Tampa Bay has 29 wins by multiple goals and 11 wins by just one goal.

Overall, the team’s puck line record is 38-34, including going 7-3 in their last ten games. In their last five games, the Lightning have gone 4-1 against the puck line.

In their last game, the Lightning were the hosts against the Bruins, and they came away with a 3-1 win. Against the Bruins, the Lightning’s offense netted goals in all three periods. All three goals came at even strength. They finished with 31 shots on goal and had 7 turnovers.

Tampa Bay also picked up a win against the puck line, coming into the game favored by -1.5. The over/under line for the game was 6, and it concluded with a combined total of 4 goals.

New York Offense Breakdown

For their offensive performance, the Islanders come in averaging 3 goals per game this season, which is 23rd in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 20th in the league. Coming into the game, the Islanders have a 12-12 record when they have more shots on goal than their opponent. When they have fewer shots on goal, they are 19-14.

So far, the Islanders have an over/under record of 39-29-4. Coming into the game, they have played 37 games that went beyond the 6.5 over/under line. Their games, on average, had 6.3 goals per game.

Lightning Offense Breakdown

tampa bay lightning

In terms of their offensive performance, the Lightning are averaging 3.5 goals per game this season, putting them in the 6th spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 24th in the league. Tampa Bay’s offense comes into the game ranked 1st in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 23rd in the NHL.

The Lightning come in with an over/under record of 35-33-4. Over the season, there have been 37 games that have surpassed the 6.5 over/under line. Their games, on average, are at 6.8 goals per game.

New York Team Defense

Defensively, the Islanders come into the season ranked 3rd in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 32.6 shots per game against New York. For the season, they are ranked 21st in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

In terms of defense, the Lightning head into the game ranked 27th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.2 shots per game against Tampa Bay. So far, they are 11th in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.

Islanders vs Lightning Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, New York has an puck line record of 1-4 while averaging 1 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, Tampa Bay has an puck line record of 3-0 while averaging 5 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Lightning have an puck line mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Tampa Bay posted a straight up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.
  • As the betting favorite, the Islanders have an puck line mark of just 0-3 in their last three games. New York posted a straight up mark of 0-3 in these matchups.

Islanders vs Lightning Prediction

For a moneyline pick, I’m taking the Lightning to pick up on a win over the Islanders at home. With the moneyline sitting at -156, I’ll be locking in a bet on the Lightning straight-up.

If you’re looking for a puck line bet, I’d suggest going with the Islanders to cover. Even in the event of a Lightning victory, this game is expected to be closely fought, and the Islanders should cover the puck line.

If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 6.5 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.