Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Lightning vs New York Islanders Prediction 2/8/2024

The Tampa Bay Lightning (27-19-5) travel to face off against the New York Islanders (21-17-12) on Thursday, February 8th. This game will be played at UBS Arena in Elmont and televised on ESPN. The Islanders are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Lightning are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rangers. Puck drop is set for 8:00 ET.

Lightning vs Islanders

tampa bay lightning nhl

The Tampa Bay Lightning Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

As the sixth-ranked team in the Eastern Conference, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a record of 27-19-5. In the Atlantic Division, they sit in fourth place. On the road, Tampa Bay has gone 10-14-2 this season.

Over their last ten games, the Lightning have gone 8-2 and have won three straight games as the favorite. Overall, they have been favored in 29 of their 51 games, going 19-9-1 in those contests. In the Eastern Conference, Tampa Bay has gone 12-13.

As the underdog, the Lightning have a puck line record of 13-9 this season and 26-25 overall. They have 19 wins by more than one goal and have gone 7-3 against the puck line in their last ten games. Tampa Bay’s average scoring margin on the road is -.7 goals per game, and they are 10-16 against the puck line away from home.

So far, the Lightning have 17 losses by more than one goal and have gone 3-2 against the puck line in their last five games. In their last ten road games, Tampa Bay has a puck line record of 4-6.

The Lightning aim to bounce back following their 3-1 loss on the road to the Rangers. During the initial two periods, the Lightning struggled offensively and remained without a goal, but they finally broke through with one goal in the third period. For the game, Tampa Bay’s only goal came at even strength. Overall, they had 19 shots on goal vs. New York.

Coming in as the underdog, Tampa Bay not only lost straight-up but also failed to cover the puck line. The game finished below the over/under line of 6.5 with a combined total of 4 goals.

The New York Islanders Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, the Islanders have gone 12-6-7 and have been favored in 23 of their 25 home games. In the Eastern Conference, New York is currently in 9th place with 54 points and a record of 21-17-12. Over their last ten games, the Islanders have gone just 3-7 and have lost two straight games as the favorite.

Against Eastern Conference opponents, the Islanders have gone 14-15 on the year and 7-8 against Metropolitan Division opponents. Over their last five games, New York has gone 2-3 and they are 1-2 in their last three games.

On the season, the Islanders have gone 24-26 against the puck line, including a mark of 10-15 at home. Overall, New York has 14 losses by more than one goal, and their average scoring margin as the favorite is at -0.1 goals per game.

So far, the Islanders have gone just 5-18 against the puck line when favored, and they have dropped six straight games vs. the puck line as the favorite. In their last ten games at home, the Islanders have gone just 5-5 against the puck line.

In their most recent matchup, the Islanders played against the Maple Leafs and won with a score of 3-2. Facing off against the Maple Leafs’ defense, the Islanders offense scored in all three periods. All three goals came at even strength. They finished with 29 shots on goal and had 6 turnovers.

Going into the game, New York was the underdog, giving them a win vs. the puck line. Combining for 5 goals, the game finished below the over/under line of 6.5.

Tampa Bay Offense Breakdown

The Lightning come into the game scoring an average of 3.4 goals per game, putting them 4th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 16th in the league. The Lightning went 17-11 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 10-7.

This season, the over/under record for the Lightning’s is 23-24-4. Over the course of the season, they have had 25 games that exceeded the over/under line of 6. On average, their games are averaging 6.7 goals per game.

Islanders Offense Breakdown

new york islanders

On the offensive side, the Islanders are scoring an 2.9 goals per game this season, ranking 23rd in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 18th in the league. Coming into the game, the Islanders have a 6-6 record when they have more shots on goal than their opponent. When they have fewer shots on goal, they are 15-11.

So far, the Islanders have an over/under record of 27-20-3. Coming into the game, they have played 26 games that went beyond the 6 over/under line. Their games, on average, had 6.3 goals per game.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

Defensively, the Lightning are currently 16th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.5 shots per game against Tampa Bay. They also are 7th in shutouts, coming in with 3 shutouts.

New York Team Defense

Defensively, the Islanders are currently 2nd in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 34.7 shots per game against New York. They also are 6th in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Lightning vs Islanders Trends

  • Although Tampa Bay has a straight up record of 5-5 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the puck line going 4-6. The team averaged 3 goals per game in these games.
  • Across their five previous home games, New York has an puck line mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 2 goals per game.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Islanders have gone 6-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Lightning have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their puck line record was 4-1 in these scenarios.

Lightning vs Islanders Prediction

For a moneyline bet, I’m backing the Lightning to secure a victory over the Islanders on the road. With the moneyline currently set at +109, I’m locking in my bet on the Lightning straight-up.

Our projections have the Lightning pulling out a win as the underdog. But if you’re not as bullish as we are on the Lightning, we’d recommend at least getting a bet down on them to cover the puck line.

With an over/under line sitting at 6 goals, we like this game to surpass that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.