Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 4/3/2024

The Tampa Bay Lightning (41-26-7) travel to face off against the Toronto Maple Leafs (43-22-9) on Wednesday, April 3rd. This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto and televised on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Lightning are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Wings. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Lightning vs Maple Leafs

tampa bay lightning nhl

The Tampa Bay Lightning Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

With a record of 41-26-7, the Lightning are in 6th place in the Eastern Conference and 4th in the Atlantic Division. On the road, Tampa Bay is 18-16-3, and they have gone 22-20 against other Eastern Conference teams.

Over their last ten games, the Lightning have gone 8-2, and they are 3-2 over their last five games. In their last three games, Tampa Bay has won two games.

When playing on the road, the Lightning’s puck line record this season is 18-19, and they have gone 8-2 against the puck line in their last ten road games. Overall, Tampa Bay has gone 39-35 against the puck line this season.

As the underdog this season, the Lightning’s puck line record is 19-11, and they have won five straight games against the puck line as the underdog. So far, Tampa Bay has 30 wins by multiple goals compared to 11 wins by just one goal.

Coming off a 4-2 loss at home to the Red Wings, the Lightning are hoping to bounce back today. The first period saw the Lightning being held without a goal, but they turned things around offensively by scoring one time in the second period and one goal in the third. Tampa Bay finished with one power-play goals, while they also managed to score one time when shorthanded. Their game concluded with 36 shots on goal.

Tampa Bay was favored by -1.5 giving them a loss vs. the puck line. With a combined total of 6 goals, the game concluded below the over/under line of 6.5.

The Toronto Maple Leafs Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, the Maple Leafs have gone 21-13-3 and have won three straight games. In the Eastern Conference, Toronto is in 5th place and 3rd in the Atlantic Division. Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs have gone 6-4.

So far this year, Toronto has been the favorite in 59 of their 74 games and have gone 36-16-7 in those matchups. Against other teams in the Eastern Conference, the Maple Leafs have gone 19-23.

At home this season, the Maple Leafs have a puck line record of 14-23 and an average scoring margin of +.5 goals per game. So far, Toronto has been favored in 59 of their games, and their puck line record as the favorite is 19-40.

Overall, the Maple Leafs have 25 wins by multiple goals compared to 18 wins by just one goal. In their last ten home games, the team’s puck line record is 5-5, and their average scoring margin at home is +.5 goals per contest.

The Maple Leafs most recently faced the Panthers at home and achieved a 6-4 win. Facing off against the Panthers’ defense, the Maple Leafs offense scored in all three periods. In the game, Toronto managed to score all six goals at even strength. They concluded with 23 shots on goal and committed 12 turnovers.

Despite being the underdog, Toronto managed to secure a win against the puck line in the game. The teams surpassed the over/under line, which was set at 6.5 goals, with a combined total of 10 goals.

Tampa Bay Offense Breakdown

Offensively, the Lightning come into the game at 3.5 goals per contest placing 6th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 22nd position in the league. So far this year, the Lightning are 23-13 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 17-11 in games with fewer shots on goal.

The Lightning’s over/under record this season is 35-35-4. Last season, they had 40 games failed to surpass this game’s over/under line of 6.5. Overall, their games averaged 6.5 goals per game.

Maple Leafs Offense Breakdown

toronto maple leafs

In terms of their offensive performance, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.6 goals per game this season, putting them in the 3rd spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 7th in the league. Looking at how the Maple Leafs’ offense is performing during power plays, they are 11th in power play goals and 19th in shorthanded goals.

So far, the Maple Leafs have an over/under record of 40-32-2. Coming into the game, they have played 41 games that went beyond the 6.5 over/under line. Their games, on average, had 6.8 goals per game.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

Defensively, the Lightning come into the season ranked 27th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.2 shots per game against Tampa Bay. For the season, they are ranked 13th in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Toronto Team Defense

The Maple Leafs defense is currently 18th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.8 shots per game against Toronto. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 9th with 5 shutouts.

Lightning vs Maple Leafs Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Tampa Bay has an puck line record of 2-1 while averaging 3 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Toronto has an puck line record of 4-1 while averaging 4 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Maple Leafs have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their puck line record was 3-0 in these scenarios.
  • Tampa Bay has done well both straight up and vs the puck line when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 puck line in their last five games.

Lightning vs Maple Leafs Prediction

For a moneyline pick, I’m taking the Lightning to pick up on a win over the Maple Leafs and the road. With the moneyline sitting at +106, I’ll be locking in a bet on the Lightning straight-up.

If you’re looking to get a bet down on this matchup, we foresee the Lightning winning the underdog. However, if you’re not as confident in the Lightning straight-up, we’d still recommend placing a bet on them to cover the puck line.

With an over/under line sitting at 6.5 goals, we like this game to surpass that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.