Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers NHL Betting prediction
PublishedJanuary 16, 2024,            Posted By: Maria Uebelhor
Last updated:January 16, 2024 , ,

NHL Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction 1/16/2024

The Toronto Maple Leafs (21-12-8) travel to face off against the Edmonton Oilers (23-15-1) on Tuesday, January 16th. This game will be played at Rogers Place in Edmonton and televised on ESPN+. The Oilers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Maple Leafs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Wings. Puck drop is set for 9:00 ET.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers

The Toronto Maple Leafs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

On the season, Toronto has gone 21-12-8, putting them in 6th place in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Atlantic Division. In their last ten games, the Maple Leafs have gone just 4-6 and have dropped their last two games. When playing on the road, Toronto has gone 11-3-6 this year.

As the underdog, the Maple Leafs have gone 3-2-1 this season, and they have been the underdog in six of their 41 games. Over their last five games, Toronto has gone 2-3, and in games against other Eastern Conference teams, they have gone 10-15.

On the season, the Maple Leafs have gone just 13-28 against the puck line, including 4-6 in their last ten games. They have dropped three straight games against the puck line and have gone just 8-27 when favored.

So far this year, Toronto has 11 wins by multiple goals and 10 losses by multiple goals. In their 35 games as the favorite, the Maple Leafs have an average scoring margin of just 0.3 goals per game.

After suffering a 4-2 loss at home to the Red Wings, the Maple Leafs are looking to bounce back today. Offensively, the Maple Leafs did not score in the first or third periods vs. the Red Wings but found the net two times in the second period. In the game, Toronto managed to score all two goals at even strength. They concluded with 30 shots on goal and committed 15 turnovers.

In this game, Toronto was favored by -1.5, but they suffered a loss against the puck line. The game ended below the over/under line of 7, with a combined total of 6 goals.

The Edmonton Oilers Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, the Oilers have gone 11-6-1, and they have won two straight games at home. Over their last ten games, Edmonton has won ten straight games, and they have won seven straight games when favored. In the Western Conference, the Oilers are in 8th place, and they are in 4th place in the Pacific Division. So far this season, Edmonton has gone 23-15-1.

Against the Western Conference, the Oilers have gone 13-8, and they have won three straight games. When favored, Edmonton has gone 20-10-1 this season, and they have won seven straight games when favored. Over their last five games, the Oilers have gone 5-0, and they have gone 10-0 over their last ten games.

Edmonton comes into the game with a puck line record of 17-22 overall and 8-10 at home. Their average scoring margin this year sits at +.5 goals per contest. So far this year, the Oilers have 15 wins by multiple goals and 12 losses by more than one goal.

This season, Edmonton has been favored in 31 games and has a puck line record of 14-17 in those games. Their average scoring differential when favored is +1 goal per game. In their last three games, the Oilers have gone 0-3 against the puck line.

The Oilers are coming off a 2-1 road win over the Canadiens. Offensively, the Oilers faced a challenge in the first and second periods, failing to score. However, they did score one goal in the third period. Of Edmonton’s two goals, one were scored while in power play situations. Their game ended with 41 shots on goal and 14 giveaways.

Edmonton’s straight-up victory didn’t translate to covering the puck line in the game, despite being favored by -1.5. The game finished below the over/under line of 6.5 with a combined total of 3 goals.

Toronto Offense Breakdown

In terms of their offensive performance, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.5 goals per game this season, putting them in the 7th spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 8th in the league. The Toronto offense is ranked 13th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they find themselves at 14th in the NHL.

The Maple Leafs’ over/under record this season is 22-18-1. For the season, they have had 18 games failing to surpass this game’s over/under line of 7. Overall, their games are averaging 6.9 goals per game.

Edmonton Offense Breakdown

In terms of their offensive performance, the Oilers are averaging 3.5 goals per game this season, putting them in the 15th spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 12th in the league. Looking at how the Oilers’ offense is performing during power plays, they are 11th in power play goals and 15th in shorthanded goals.

This season, the Oilers’ have an over/under record of 18-18-3. Throughout the season, they have played 18 games that did not exceed the 7 over/under line. On average, their games are averaging 6.5 goals per game.

Toronto Team Defense

Defensively, the Maple Leafs are currently 22nd in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 31 shots per game against Toronto. They also are 8th in shutouts, coming in with 3 shutouts.

Edmonton Team Defense

The Oilers defense is currently 31st in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 28 shots per game against Edmonton. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 17th with 2 shutouts.

Maple Leafs vs Oilers Trends

  • Through their last three road contests, the Maple Leafs offense has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing an average of 2. Toronto posted an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Oilers have a straight up record of 8-2 while going 6-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 4 goals per game in this stretch.
  • As the betting underdog, the Oilers have an puck line mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Edmonton posted a straight up mark of 4-6 in these matchups.
  • Going back to their last five games as the favorite, the Maple Leafs have a straight up record of 2-3. But, their mark vs the puck line was just 2-3.

Maple Leafs vs Oilers Prediction

When it comes to a moneyline wager, I’m going with the Oilers to defeat the Maple Leafs while playing at home. Given the current moneyline odds at -160, I’m placing a wager on the Oilers to win outright.

If you’re looking for a puck line bet, I’d suggest going with the Maple Leafs to cover. Even in the event of a Oilers victory, this game is expected to be closely fought, and the Maple Leafs should cover the puck line.

With an over/under line sitting at 7 goals, we like this game to surpass that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.