Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Prediction 3/20/2024

The Toronto Maple Leafs (38-20-9) travel to face off against the Washington Capitals (33-25-9) on Wednesday, March 20th. This game will be played at Capital One Arena in Washington and televised on TNT. The Capitals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Maple Leafs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Flyers. Puck drop is set for 7:30 ET.

Maple Leafs vs Capitals

toronto maple leafs nhl

The Toronto Maple Leafs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

With 85 points, the Maple Leafs are in 5th place in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Atlantic Division. Their overall record is 38-20-9, and they are 15-21 against Eastern Conference opponents. On the road, Toronto is 20-8-6 this season.

Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs have gone 5-5 and are 2-3 in their last five games. As the favorite, Toronto is 33-15-7 this season. In their last three games, they have gone 1-2.

On the season, the Maple Leafs have an average scoring margin of +.5 goals per game and have gone 24-43 against the puck line. In their 55 games as the favorite, Toronto has gone 16-39 against the puck line. So far, the team has 20 wins by multiple goals and 18 wins by just one goal. In their last ten games, the Maple Leafs have gone just 3-7 against the puck line.

Overall, Toronto has gone 13-21 against the puck line on the road, and their average scoring margin away from home is +.6 goals per game. In their last ten road games, the team has gone 6-4 against the puck line. So far, the Maple Leafs have gone just 8-4 against the puck line as the underdog.

The Maple Leafs aim to bounce back following their 4-3 loss on the road to the Flyers. Offensively, the Maple Leafs faced a challenge in the first and second periods, failing to score. However, they did score three goals in the third period. Out of Toronto’s three goals, one were scored during power plays. They concluded the game with 30 shots on goal and had three giveaways.

Toronto was favored by -1.5 giving them a loss vs. the puck line. The over/under line going into the game was 6.5 goals, which the teams surpassed with their combined 7 goals.

The Washington Capitals Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, the Capitals have gone 17-10-5, and they have won three straight games. Over their last 10 games, they have gone 6-4. In the Eastern Conference, they are in 9th place and 4th in the Metropolitan Division. So far, they have gone 33-25-9 this season, and against the Eastern Conference, they have gone 19-17.

As the underdog, Washington has gone 20-22-7 this season and 3-0 in their last three games. On the year, they have been the underdog in 49 of their 67 games. Against the Eastern Conference, they have gone 14-8.

Washington comes into this game with a puck line record of 33-34 this year. So far, the Capitals have been the underdog in 49 of their games, and their average scoring margin when in that role is at -.8 goals per game.

Currently, the Capitals have a puck line record of 16-16 at home, and their average scoring differential in those games is -.1 goals per contest. In their last ten games at home, Washington is 7-3 against the puck line.

In their last game, the Capitals went up against the Flames and emerged as winners with a score of 5-2. In all three periods, the Capitals’ offense found the net against the Flames. Washington’s two power-play goals contributed to their total of 5 goals. Their offensive performance came with 33 shots on goal and seven giveaways.

Entering the game as the underdog, Washington came away with a victory against the puck line. The teams surpassed the over/under line, which was set at 6 goals, with a combined total of 7 goals.

Toronto Offense Breakdown

Offensively, the Maple Leafs come into the game at 3.6 goals per contest placing 4th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 8th position in the league. In terms of the Maple Leafs’ offense during power plays, they are 10th in power play goals and 15th in shorthanded goals.

For the season, the over/under record of the Maple Leafs’ stands at 36-29-2. They have had 37 games during the season that exceeded the 6.5 over/under line. On average, their games are averaging 6.8 goals per game.

Capitals Offense Breakdown

washington capitals

On offense, the Capitals are averaging 2.7 goals per game which is 29th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 31st in the league. This season, the Capitals are 10-6 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 23-19 record.

The Capitals’ over/under record this season is 30-34-3. For the season, they have had 40 games failing to surpass this game’s over/under line of 6.5. Overall, their games are averaging 5.8 goals per game.

Toronto Team Defense

Defensively, the Maple Leafs are currently 26th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.7 shots per game against Toronto. They also are 13th in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Washington Team Defense

Washington defense takes on the Maple Leafs ranked 17th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 30.4 shots per game against Washington. They also are 10th in shutouts, with 5 shutouts.

Maple Leafs vs Capitals Trends

  • Across their three previous road games, Toronto has an puck line mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-1 while averaging 4 goals per game.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Capitals have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 7-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 3 goals per game in this stretch.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Capitals have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their puck line record was 3-0 in these scenarios.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Maple Leafs have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.

Maple Leafs vs Capitals Prediction

For a moneyline bet, I’m backing the Maple Leafs to secure a victory over the Capitals on the road. With the moneyline currently set at -140, I’m locking in my bet on the Maple Leafs straight-up.

My recommended pick for the puck line is to take the Capitals to cover. Even if the Maple Leafs win straight-up, this one should be close throughout and the Capitals should cover the puck line.

With an over/under line sitting at 6.5 goals, we like this game to surpass that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.