Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 3/23/2024

The Edmonton Oilers (42-21-4) travel to face off against the Toronto Maple Leafs (39-20-9) on Saturday, March 23rd. This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto and televised on ESPN+. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Oilers vs Maple Leafs

edmonton oilers nhl

The Edmonton Oilers Are Coming Off A Win

With a record of 42-21-4, the Oilers find themselves in 5th place in the Western Conference and 2nd in the Pacific Division. Over their last ten games, Edmonton has gone 7-3 and have won two straight games as the favorite. On the road this season, the Oilers have gone 19-13-1.

Heading into tonight’s game, the Oilers have been favored in 58 of their 67 games this season and have gone 38-16-4 as the favorite. Against teams from the Eastern Conference, Edmonton has gone 23-14 this season.

On the season, the Oilers have gone 32-35 against the puck line, including a mark of 14-19 on the road. Overall, Edmonton has 29 wins by multiple goals compared to just 13 wins by one goal.

Over their last 10 games, the Oilers have gone just 4-6 against the puck line, and their average scoring margin as the favorite is +1.1 goals per game. In their last 10 road games, Edmonton has gone just 4-6 against the puck line.

In their recent matchup, the Oilers hosted the Sabres and came away with a 8-3 victory. Against the Sabres, the Oilers’ offense netted goals in all three periods. Of Edmonton’s eight goals, one came while in power play. They ended the game with 39 shots on goal and had nine giveaways.

Edmonton came in as the favorites with a -1.5 goal advantage and, as a result, recorded a win against the puck line. The teams surpassed the over/under line, which was set at 6 goals, with a combined total of 11 goals.

The Toronto Maple Leafs Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into today’s game, the Maple Leafs are 5th in the Eastern Conference with 87 points and a record of 39-20-9. In the Atlantic Division, Toronto is 3rd and has gone 8-11 against division opponents. Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs are 6-4 and have won three of their last five.

When playing at home this season, Toronto has gone 18-12-3 and is 56-34-7 when favored. Against other teams from the Eastern Conference, the Maple Leafs have gone 16-21 this season.

So far this season, Toronto has an average scoring differential of +.5 goals per game. Their overall puck line record is 25-43, including 21 wins by multiple goals. As the underdog, the Maple Leafs have gone 8-4 against the puck line.

At home, Toronto’s average scoring differential is +.4 goals per game, and their puck line record is 11-22. In their last ten home games, the Maple Leafs have gone 4-6 against the puck line.

The Maple Leafs most recently took on the Capitals and secured a win with a score of 7-3. Against the Capitals, the Maple Leafs’ offense scored in all three periods. Of Toronto’s seven goals, one were scored while in power play situations. Their game ended with 29 shots on goal and five giveaways.

Toronto secured a win against the puck line, entering the game as the favorites with a -1.5 goal advantage. With a combined total of 10 goals, the teams exceeded the over/under line of 6 goals set for the game.

Edmonton Offense Breakdown

On offense, the Oilers are averaging 3.6 goals per game which is 7th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 7th in the league. In terms of the Oilers’ offense during power plays, they are 6th in power play goals and 11th in shorthanded goals.

The Oilers come in with an over/under record of 28-36-3. Over the course of the season, they have had 36 games failing to surpass the 6.5 goal over/under line. The average number of goals in their games is at 6.4 per game.

Maple Leafs Offense Breakdown

toronto maple leafs

For their offensive performance, the Maple Leafs come in averaging 3.6 goals per game this season, which is 3rd in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 10th in the league. So far this year, the Maple Leafs are 21-10 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 16-8 in games with fewer shots on goal.

The Maple Leafs’ over/under record this season is 37-29-2. For the season, they have had 38 games that surpassed this game’s over/under line of 6.5. Overall, their games are averaging6.9 goals per game.

Edmonton Team Defense

Defensively, the Oilers come into the season ranked 31st in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 28.4 shots per game against Edmonton. For the season, they are ranked 23rd in shutouts, coming in with 3 shutouts.

Toronto Team Defense

The Maple Leafs defense is currently 26th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.6 shots per game against Toronto. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 13th with 4 shutouts.

Oilers vs Maple Leafs Trends

  • Although Edmonton has a straight up record of 6-4 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the puck line going 4-6. The team averaged 3 goals per game in these games.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Toronto has an puck line mark of 4-6. Their straight up record in these matchups was 7-3 while averaging 3 goals per game.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Maple Leafs have a straight up record of 1-2 and an puck line mark of 2-1.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the Oilers have an puck line record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 4-1.

Oilers vs Maple Leafs Prediction

If you’re looking for a moneyline pick, my choice is the Maple Leafs to take down the Oilers at home. With the moneyline currently at +109, I’m placing my bet on the Maple Leafs straight-up.

Our projections have the Maple Leafs pulling out a win as the underdog. But if you’re not as bullish as we are on the Maple Leafs, we’d recommend at least getting a bet down on them to cover the puck line.

When considering the over/under line, which is currently at 6.5 goals, we believe that this game will go over that threshold, and we recommend wagering on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.