Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs - NHL Prediction

NHL Ottawa vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 12/27/2023

The Ottawa Senators (12-17-0) travel to face off against the Toronto Maple Leafs (17-8-6) on Wednesday, December 27th. This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs

The Ottawa Senators Are Coming Off A Win

This season, the Senators have a mark of 12-17-0. When going on the road, Ottawa has a record of 3-8-0 record, while they are 9-9-0 at their home arena. They are currently positioned 8th in the Eastern Atlantic division and 16th in the Eastern conference. Ottawa’s average scoring margin this season is -0.1 leading to an overall puck line record of 13-16. Their scoring margin at home is +.1 and -0.4 on the road.

In their most recent game, the Senators hosted the Penguins and secured a 5-4 victory. In the offensive department, the Senators notched two goals during the first period and two times in the second period. In the game, Ottawa managed to score all five goals at even strength. They concluded with 26 shots on goal and committed 12 turnovers.

Ottawa’s straight-up victory didn’t translate to covering the puck line in the game, despite being favored by -1.5. The combined total of 9 goals exceeded the over/under line, which was set at 6.5 goals for the game.

The Toronto Maple Leafs Are Coming Off A Win

Coming into their game vs. Senators, the Maple Leafs have a 17-8-6 record. They hold a 9-5-2 record when playing at home, and they have gone 8-3-4 on the road. Their current record places them 2nd in the Eastern Atlantic division and 4th in the Eastern conference. Toronto comes in with eight wins with a margin of more than one goal this season and lost seven games by multiple goals. Their overall puck line performance is 9-22.

The Maple Leafs are coming off a 4-1 road win over the Blue Jackets. Throughout the game against the Blue Jackets, Maple Leafs’ offense managed to score in every single period. Toronto’s offense came up with one power-play goals and added one when shorthanded. They wrapped up the game with 30 shots on goal.

Toronto secured a win against the puck line, entering the game as the favorites with a -1.5 goal advantage. With a combined total of 5 goals, the game concluded below the over/under line of 7.

Ottawa Offense Breakdown

In terms of their offensive performance, the Senators are averaging 3.4 goals per game this season, putting them in the 20th spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 28th in the league. So far this year, the Senators are 8-11 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 4-6 in games with fewer shots on goal.

The Senators come in with an over/under record of 16-10-3. Over the season, there have been 11 games that have surpassed the 7 over/under line. Their games, on average, are at 7 goals per game.

Toronto Offense Breakdown

Offensively, the Maple Leafs come into the game at 3.6 goals per contest placing 7th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 16th position in the league. This season, the Maple Leafs have a 7-3 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. In games with fewer shots on goal, they hold a 9-5 record.

The Maple Leafs’ over/under record this season is 18-12-1. For the season, they have had 12 games failing to surpass this game’s over/under line of 7. Overall, their games are averaging 7.1 goals per game.

Ottawa Team Defense

The Senators defense is currently 29th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 30.6 shots per game against Ottawa. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 21st with 1 shutouts.

Toronto Team Defense

The Maple Leafs defense is currently 17th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 32.4 shots per game against Toronto. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 10th with 2 shutouts.

Senators vs Maple Leafs Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Senators have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 3 goals per game in this stretch.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, Toronto has an puck line record of 2-1 while averaging 4 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Maple Leafs have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the puck line in these games was 2-1.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Senators have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the puck line in these games was 0-3.

Senators vs Maple Leafs Prediction

For a moneyline bet, I’m backing the Senators to secure a victory over the Maple Leafs on the road. With the moneyline currently set at +140, I’m locking in my bet on the Senators straight-up.

If you’re looking to get a bet down on this matchup, we foresee the Senators winning the underdog. However, if you’re not as confident in the Senators straight-up, we’d still recommend placing a bet on them to cover the puck line.

With an over/under line sitting at 7 goals, we like this game to surpass that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.