pittsburgh pengins

NHL: Penguins vs Lightning Prediction 11/30/2023

The Pittsburgh Penguins (10-11-1) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning (10-8-5) on Thursday, November 30th. This game will be played at Amalie Arena in Tampa and televised on ESPN+. Both the Penguins and Lightning will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightningtampa bay lightning

The Pittsburgh Penguins Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Penguins come in with an overall record of 10-11-1. On the road, Pittsburgh has a 5-5-1 record, whereas they are 5-6-0 at home. Their current record places them 7th in the Eastern Metropolitan division and 14th in the Eastern conference. Pittsburgh comes in with eight wins with a margin of more than one goal this season and lost seven games by multiple goals. Their overall puck line performance is 10-11.

The Penguins aim to bounce back following their 3-2 loss on the road to the Predators. Offensively, the Penguins couldn’t break through in the first period, but they scored one time in the second period and one goal in the third. In the game, Pittsburgh managed to score all two goals at even strength. They concluded with 31 shots on goal and committed 15 turnovers.

Pittsburgh took a loss vs. the puck line in the game, going into the game favored by -1.5. With a combined total of 5 goals, the game concluded below the over/under line of 6.5.

The Tampa Bay Lightning Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In today’s game, the Lightning will be looking to break out of a two game losing streak. Currently, their record is 10-8-5 which comprises of going 6-2-3 at home and 4-6-2 on the road. They are currently positioned 5th in the Eastern Atlantic division and 7th in the Eastern conference. Tampa Bay’s average scoring margin this season is .0, leading to an overall puck line record of 13-10. At their home arena, they have a scoring margin of +.5, while on the road, it is -0.6.

After suffering a 3-1 loss on the road to the Coyotes, the Lightning are looking to bounce back today. Offensively, the Lightning did not score in the first or third periods vs. the Coyotes but found the net one time in the second period. Against Arizona, Tampa Bay’s offense scored their only goal at even strength. They recorded 31 shots on goal overall.

Tampa Bay took a loss vs. the puck line in the game, going into the game favored by -1.5. The game ended below the over/under line of 6.5, with a combined total of 4 goals.

Pittsburgh Offense Breakdown

On the offensive side, the Penguins are scoring an 3.1 goals per game this season, ranking 18th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 4th in the league. In terms of the Penguins’ offense during power plays, they are 28th in power play goals and 22nd in shorthanded goals.

The Penguins’ over/under record this season is 7-13-1. For the season, they have had 13 games failing to surpass this game’s over/under line of 6.5. Overall, their games are averaging 5.7 goals per game.

Tampa Bay Offense Breakdownpittsburgh pengins

Offensively, the Lightning come into the game at 3.5 goals per contest placing 2nd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 9th position in the league. In terms of power play goals, the Lightning offense is 1st in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they are 27th in the NHL.

The Lightning’s over/under record this season is 11-10-2. For the season, they have had 13 games that surpassed this game’s over/under line of 6.5. Overall, their games are averaging7 goals per game.

Pittsburgh Team Defense

Defensively, the Penguins come into the season ranked 12th in goals allowed. Opponents are averging 30.7 shots per game against Pittsburgh. For the season, they are ranked 1st in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

Defensively, the Lightning are currently 6th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 31 shots per game against Tampa Bay. They also are 3rd in shutouts, coming in with 2 shutouts.

Penguins vs Lightning Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Pittsburgh has an puck line mark of 5-5. Their straight up record in these matchups was 5-5 while averaging 3 goals per game.
  • Although Tampa Bay has a straight up record of 4-6 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the puck line going 6-4. The team averaged 3 goals per game in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Lightning have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their puck line record was 4-1 in these scenarios.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the favorite, Pittsburgh has an puck line mark of 1-4 while going 1-4 straight up.

Penguins vs Lightning Prediction

For a moneyline pick, I’m taking the Lightning to pick up on a win over the Penguins at home. With the moneyline sitting at -151, I’ll be locking in a bet on the Lightning straight-up.

When it comes to my suggested pick for the puck line, I’d advise taking the Penguins to cover. Even in the event of a Lightning victory, this matchup is likely to remain closely contested, and the Penguins should cover the puck line.

With an over/under line sitting at 6.5 goals, we like this game to surpass that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.