NHL Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars Prediction 12/2/2023

The Tampa Bay Lightning (10-9-5) travel to face off against the Dallas Stars (13-6-3) on Saturday, December 2nd. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on BSSW. Both the Lightning and Stars will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Puck drop is scheduled for 2:00 ET.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars

The Tampa Bay Lightning Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their 24 games, the Lightning have a 10-9-5 record this season. While playing at their home arena, they have a 6-3-3 record, and their record on the road is 4-6-2. In the Eastern Atlantic division, they are currently 5th, and in the Eastern conference, they come into the game sitting 8th. This season, Tampa Bay’s average scoring margin is -0.1, which has their puck line record at 13-11. Their average home scoring margin is +.3, and in road games, it stands at -0.6.

Coming off a 4-2 loss at home to the Penguins, the Lightning are hoping to bounce back today. The Lightning started strong on offense with two times in the first period, but they couldn’t find the net again for the rest of the game. Out of Tampa Bay’s two goals, one were scored during power plays. They concluded the game with 41 shots on goal and had 10 giveaways.

In this game, Tampa Bay was favored by -1.5, but they suffered a loss against the puck line. The over/under line for the game was 6.5, and it concluded with a combined total of 6 goals.

The Dallas Stars Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

This season, the Stars have put together an overall record of 13-6-3. When playing on the road, Dallas has gone 8-2-2, while their home record stands at 5-4-1. They are currently positioned 2nd in the Western Central division and 5th in the Western conference. Dallas heads into the game with six wins by more than one goal, and lost four games by multiple goals. Their overall puck line record this season is 8-13.

Following a 4-3 loss on the road to the Flames, the Stars are eager to bounce back. The Stars scored two goals in the first period against the Flames and found the net one time in the 3rd period. In the game, Dallas managed to score all three goals at even strength. They concluded with 16 shots on goal and committed 5 turnovers.

Dallas took a loss against the puck line, going into the game as the favorites with a -1.5-point advantage. With a combined total of 7 goals, the teams exceeded the over/under line of 6 goals set for the game.

Tampa Bay Offense Breakdown

Offensively, the Lightning come into the game at 3.4 goals per contest placing 2nd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 9th position in the league. This season, the Lightning are 7-6 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 3-3 record.

The Lightning come in with an over/under record of 11-11-2. Over the season, there have been 13 games that have surpassed the 6 over/under line. Their games, on average, are at 7 goals per game.

Dallas Offense Breakdown

In terms of their offensive performance, the Stars are averaging 3.3 goals per game this season, putting them in the 15th spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 27th in the league. This season, the Stars are 6-3 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 7-3 record.

For the season, the over/under record of the Stars’ stands at 11-10-0. They have had 11 games during the season that exceeded the 6 over/under line. On average, their games are averaging 6.3 goals per game.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

Defensively, the Lightning are currently 6th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 30.8 shots per game against Tampa Bay. They also are 3rd in shutouts, coming in with 2 shutouts.

Dallas Team Defense

Defensively, the Stars come into the season ranked 16th in goals allowed. Opponents are averging 31.7 shots per game against Dallas. For the season, they are ranked 19th in shutouts, coming in with 1 shutouts.

Lightning vs Stars Trends

  • Although Tampa Bay has a straight up record of 4-6 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the puck line going 6-4. The team averaged 3 goals per game in these games.
  • Dallas has played well in their previous five home games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 4 goals per game while allowing 2. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 4-1.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Stars have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their puck line record was 5-0 in these scenarios.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting favorite, the Lightning have gone 1-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.

Lightning vs Stars Prediction

If you’re looking for a moneyline pick, my choice is the Stars to take down the Lightning at home. With the moneyline currently at -155, I’m placing my bet on the Stars straight-up.

When it comes to my suggested pick for the puck line, I’d advise taking the Lightning to cover. Even in the event of a Stars victory, this matchup is likely to remain closely contested, and the Lightning should cover the puck line.

If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 6 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.