maple leafs vs islanders nhl prediction

NHL Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Prediction 12/11/2023

The Toronto Maple Leafs (14-6-4) travel to face off against the New York Islanders (12-7-7) on Monday, December 11th. This game will be played at UBS Arena in Elmont and televised on MSGS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders

The Toronto Maple Leafs Are Coming Off A Win

This season, the Maple Leafs have a mark of 14-6-4. When going on the road, Toronto has a record of 6-2-3 record, while they are 8-4-1 at their home arena. This record has them sitting 3rd in the Eastern Atlantic division and 4th in the Eastern conference. Toronto has five wins by more than one goals and dropped five games by multiple goals. Their overall puck line record is 6-18 this season.

The Maple Leafs played host to the Predators in their previous game and emerged with a 4-0 win. In the opening period, the Maple Leafs couldn’t find the net on offense, but they rebounded with two times in the second period and two goals in the third. Toronto’s offense came up with one power-play goals and added one when shorthanded. They wrapped up the game with 37 shots on goal.

Toronto secured a win against the puck line, entering the game as the favorites with a -1.5 goal advantage. Combining for 4 goals, the game finished below the over/under line of 6.5.

The New York Islanders Are Coming Off A Win

This season, the Islanders have a mark of 12-7-7. When going on the road, New York has a record of 6-4-2 record, while they are 6-3-5 at their home arena. They are currently positioned 4th in the Eastern Metropolitan division and 8th in the Eastern conference. New York’s average scoring margin this season is -0.2 leading to an overall puck line record of 13-13. Their scoring margin at home is -0.3 and -0.1 on the road.

In their previous game, the Islanders hosted the Kings and game away with a 3-2 win. Offensively, the Islanders faced a challenge in the first and second periods, failing to score. However, they did score two goals in the third period. All three goals came at even strength. They finished with 30 shots on goal and had 14 turnovers.

Despite being the underdog, New York managed to secure a win against the puck line in the game. Combining for 5 goals, the game finished below the over/under line of 6.

Toronto Offense Breakdown

When looking at their offense, the Maple Leafs have an average of 3.3 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 19th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 27th in the league. Toronto’s offense comes into the game ranked 20th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 18th in the NHL.

This season, the over/under record for the Maple Leafs’ is 12-11-1. Over the course of the season, they have had 13 games that exceeded the over/under line of 6. On average, their games are averaging 6.7 goals per game.

New York Offense Breakdown

On the offensive side, the Islanders are scoring an 3 goals per game this season, ranking 23rd in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 25th in the league. So far this year, the Islanders are 3-2 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 9-5 in games with fewer shots on goal.

For the season, the over/under record of the Islanders’ stands at 14-11-1. They have had 14 games during the season that exceeded the 6 over/under line. On average, their games are averaging 6.3 goals per game.

Toronto Team Defense

Defensively, the Maple Leafs are currently 22nd in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 32.2 shots per game against Toronto. They also are 20th in shutouts, coming in with 1 shutouts.

New York Team Defense

The Islanders defense is currently 4th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 35.7 shots per game against New York. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 2nd with 4 shutouts.

Maple Leafs vs Islanders Trends

  • Through their last five road contests, the Maple Leafs offense has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing an average of 3. Toronto posted an overall record of 3-2 while going 0-5 ATS.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Islanders offense has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing an average of 3. New York posted an overall record of 5-5 while going 8-2 ATS.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Islanders have a straight up record of 5-5. But, their mark vs the puck line was just 8-2.
  • Against the spread, the Maple Leafs have put together 1-2 in their last three games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 3-0 straight up.

Maple Leafs vs Islanders Prediction

If you’re looking for a moneyline pick, my choice is the Maple Leafs to take down the Islanders on the road. With the moneyline currently at -125, I’m placing my bet on the Maple Leafs straight-up.

When it comes to my suggested pick for the puck line, I’d advise taking the Islanders to cover. Even in the event of a Maple Leafs victory, this matchup is likely to remain closely contested, and the Islanders should cover the puck line.

If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 6 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.