North Carolina State vs Pittsburgh NCAAB Betting Prediction

North Carolina State vs Pittsburgh Prediction 3/9/2024

The North Carolina State Wolfpack (17-13) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Panthers (20-10) on Saturday, March 9th. This game will be played at Petersen Events Center in Pittsburgh and televised on CW. Pittsburgh is coming off a win in their previous game, while North Carolina State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Duke. Tip-off is set for 7:45 ET.

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs Pittsburgh Panthers

The North Carolina State Wolfpack Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

North Carolina State is coming off a 79-64 loss to Duke and has lost three straight games. On the road this season, the Wolfpack have gone 5-8, and their average scoring margin is -4.2 points per game.

So far, North Carolina State has played 30 games, and they are 17-13 overall. In Atlantic Coast games, they have gone 9-10, and their record as the underdog is 2-10.

On the season, NC State has an ATS record of 13-16-1. As the underdog, their record vs. the spread is 5-6-1. In their last 10 games as the underdog, the Wolfpack have gone 5-4-1. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-7-1 this year and they have gone 2-1 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games.

So far this season, the over/under record for North Carolina State games is 17-12-1. Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (147.3). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 154 points compared to their season average of 148.1 points per game.

The Pittsburgh Panthers Are Coming Off A Win

With a 20-10 record, the Panthers are 12-5 at home and 8-4 on the road. They have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games at home and have won their last five at home. For the season, Pittsburgh has been favored in 20 games, going 17-3 as the favorite.

Coming off an 88-73 win over Florida State, the Panthers are currently on a two-game win streak. They have gone 11-7 in ACC play and 9-3 in non-conference action.

As the favorite, Pittsburgh has been excellent vs. the spread this season, going 15-4-1. Their ATS mark at home is 10-6-1, and over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Panthers are 8-1-1. In their last three home games, they have a perfect ATS record of 3-0.

On the season, the over/under record for Pittsburgh games sits at 17-11-1. So far, the average point total in their games is 143.4 points, which is lower than the average over/under line of 145.2. This year, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 145.5. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average of 149 points compared to the season-long average of 143.

North Carolina State Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 75.6 points per game, the North Carolina State had a below average performance. They scored 64 points against Duke and had a field goal percentage of 48.2%. D.J. Burns was the leading scorer for the Wolfpack, putting up 27 points. In addition, Mohamed Diarra contributed 10 points.

Name PPG REB AST
DJ Horne (G) 17.2 3.3 2.3
D.J. Burns (F) 12.1 4.0 2.6
Jayden Taylor (G) 11.8 3.6 1.2

Pittsburgh Offense Breakdown

Pittsburgh’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Florida State, finishing the game with a total of 88 points. Their season average is now 75.6 points per game. On the offensive front, the Panthers have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, ranking 284th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 119th in terms of percentage and 20th in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Blake Hinson (F) 18.8 4.6 0.7
Carlton Carrington (G) 13.3 5.2 4.2
Ishmael Leggett (G) 12.0 5.4 2.1

North Carolina State Team Defense

At this time, the Wolfpack’s defense is positioned 188th in the country, permitting 72.5 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.1 threes per game vs. Pittsburgh. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 35.0%.

Pittsburgh Team Defense

The Panthers’ defense is presently ranked 58th nationally, allowing an average of 67.3 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.6 threes per game vs. North Carolina State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.3%.

Wolfpack vs Panthers Trends

  • In their last five road games, North Carolina State has averaged 75 points per game while allowing 81. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-4 while going 3-2.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Panthers have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 6-2-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 72 points per game in this stretch.
  • The last ten games that North Carolina State was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-4-1 while going 2-8 straight up.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Panthers have gone 8-1-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 9-1.

Wolfpack vs Panthers Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Panthers to win, and have the projected score sitting at 76-68. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Panthers at -6.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 145.5, and our model projects the Wolfpack and Panthers to reach a combined total of 144 points. Our bet is on taking the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.