The North Carolina State Wolfpack (13-5) travel to face off against the Virginia Cavaliers (13-5) on Wednesday, January 24th. This game will be played at John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville and televised on ACCN. Virginia is coming off a win in their previous game, while North Carolina State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Virginia Tech. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs Virginia Cavaliers
The North Carolina State Wolfpack Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
Despite being the underdog, North Carolina State has been the favorite in 13 of their 18 games this season, going 12-1 in those contests. On the road, the Wolfpack have gone 4-3 compared to their 9-2 record at home. Their average scoring margin on the road is -2.6 points per game, and they have won their last two road games.
North Carolina State’s overall record is 13-5, and they are 5-2 in Atlantic Coast Conference play. Their non-conference record is 8-3, and they are coming off an 84-78 loss to Virginia Tech.
Against the spread, NC State is 8-10 this season and they have gone 2-3 vs. the spread as the underdog. On the road, the Wolfpack are 2-5 vs. the spread and they have gone 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 130.5 is lower than the average over/under line in North Carolina State’s games this season (146.4). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 164 points.
The Virginia Cavaliers Are Coming Off A Win
Virginia comes into this game with a 13-5 record, including a perfect 12-0 mark at home. They have won their last two games and are 4-3 in ACC play. So far, they have been the favorite in 14 of their 18 games, going 12-2 in those contests.
In their most recent game, the Cavaliers defeated Georgia Tech by a score of 75-66. Over their last 10 games at home, Virginia is a perfect 10-0, and they are 5-0 in their last five games at home.
At home this season, Virginia has an ATS record of 9-3 and they have gone 3-0 vs. the spread in their last 3 home games. As the favorite, the Cavaliers are 7-3 vs. the spread in their last 10 games and they have gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as the favorite. Overall, Virginia has an ATS record of 10-8 this season.
This season, the over/under record in Virginia games is 8-10. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 123.7 points, which is 3.3 points lower than the average over/under line of 127. Today’s over/under line is 130.5. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 125 points.
North Carolina State Offense Breakdown
The Wolfpack’s offense wrapped up their last game with 78 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 77.3 points per contest. DJ Horne is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 15.1 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Jayden Taylor brings a PPG average of 12.2 into the game.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Horne (G) | 15.1 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
| Jayden Taylor (G) | 12.2 | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| D.J. Burns (F) | 12.2 | 4.3 | 2.7 |
Virginia Offense Breakdown
Virginia is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 75 points versus Georgia Tech. This output is higher than their season-average of 65.5 points per game. Leading the team in scoring was Isaac McKneely with 20 points. Reece Beekman also added 19 points for the Cavaliers.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reece Beekman (G) | 13.2 | 3.3 | 6.1 |
| Isaac McKneely (G) | 11.9 | 3.1 | 1.6 |
| Ryan Dunn (G) | 9.5 | 6.8 | 0.9 |
North Carolina State Team Defense
Coming into today’s game, the North Carolina State defense is giving up an average of 70.2 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, North Carolina State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 34.2% this season.
Virginia Team Defense
At this time, the Cavaliers’ defense is positioned 3rd in the country, permitting 58.2 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Virginia’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.5% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.4% this season.
Wolfpack vs Cavaliers Trends
- Through their last three road games, North Carolina State has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 2-1 while averaging 71 points per game.
- Through their last five home games, Virginia has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 58 points per game.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Wolfpack have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 2-1.
- The Cavaliers have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.
Wolfpack vs Cavaliers Prediction
The Cavaliers is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 76-67. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Cavaliers at -3.5.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 130.5 and given that our model is projecting 143 points between the teams, we like the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:January 24, 2024 North Carolina State Wolfpack, Teams, Virginia Cavaliers