North Carolina State Wolfpack vs Purdue NCAAB Betting Prediction

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs Purdue Prediction 4/6/2024

The North Carolina State Wolfpack (26-14) travel to face off against the Purdue Boilermakers (33-4) on Saturday, April 6th. This game will be played at State Farm Stadium in Glendale and televised on TBS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 6:09 ET.

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs Purdue Boilermakers

The North Carolina State Wolfpack Are Coming Off A Win

North Carolina State comes into their matchup with Purdue as the underdog, as they have been in 20 of their 40 games this season. They have gone 9-11 in those games, while their overall record is 26-14. The Wolfpack have won their last nine games, and they are 15-11 in Atlantic Coast Conference games.

On the road this season, North Carolina State has gone 12-9, and they have won their last seven games away from home. In their last 10 road games, the Wolfpack have gone 7-3. Their average scoring margin on the road is +0.5 points per game.

North Carolina State has been a solid bet this season, going 20-19-1 against the spread. Their road ATS mark is 12-8-1. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Wolfpack have an 8-2 record vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 8-2 over their last 10 games.

So far this season, the over/under record for North Carolina State games is 22-16-2. The average scoring total in their games sits at 148.2 points per game, which is slightly higher than the average over/under line of 146.7. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 139 points.

The Purdue Boilermakers Are Coming Off A Win

With a 24-1 record at home this season, Purdue will look to continue their four-game win streak when they host North Carolina State. The Boilermakers have gone 18-4 in Big Ten play and 33-4 overall.

Over their last 10 games at home, Purdue has gone 9-1, and they have won four of their last five. In their most recent game, the Boilermakers beat Tennessee by a score of 72-66.

As the favorite this season, Purdue has gone 18-15-2 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 14-10-1. Over their last three home games, the Boilermakers are 3-0 ATS and they are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 home games. For the year, Purdue has an ATS record of 20-15-2.

This season, the over/under record in Purdue games is 22-14-1, and today’s line of 146 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (147.9). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 153 points.

North Carolina State Offense Breakdown

In their most recent game, the Wolfpack’s offense tallied 76 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 76.4 points per game. Currently leading the team in scoring is DJ Horne who comes into today’s matchup averaging 16.9. D.J. Burns also heads into the game with a PPG average of 12.4.

DJ Horne (G) 16.9 3.2 2.1
D.J. Burns (F) 12.4 4.0 2.7
Jayden Taylor (G) 11.9 3.8 1.3

Purdue Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Purdue offense ended with 72 points against Tennessee. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 45.3% and made 3 threes. One area that the Purdue offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 9th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 48%.

Zach Edey (C) 24.4 11.7 2.1
Braden Smith (G) 12.5 5.8 7.3
Lance Jones (G) 12.2 2.8 2.0

North Carolina State Team Defense

Currently, the Wolfpack’s defense holds the 178th rank in the nation, allowing 72.0 points per game. Against Duke in their most recent game, the North Carolina State defense gave up a total of 64 points while allowing Duke to hit 32% of their shots.

Purdue Team Defense

At this time, the Boilermakers’ defense is positioned 99th in the country, permitting 69.4 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.3 threes per game vs. North Carolina State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.6%.

Wolfpack vs Boilermakers Trends

  • In their last three road games, North Carolina State has averaged 74 points per game while allowing 63. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
  • Across the Boilermakers last three home games, the team averaged 76 points per game while allowing 73. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 2-1 straight-up.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Wolfpack have a strong straight up record of 5-0. In addition, their ATS record was 5-0 in these scenarios.
  • As the betting favorite, the Boilermakers have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Purdue posted a straight up mark of 9-1 in these matchups.

Wolfpack vs Boilermakers Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Boilermakers vs. Boilermakers game, our recommendation is to take the Boilermakers at -9.5. Despite our model showing the Boilermakers winning 74-70, we like Wolfpack as our point-spread pick.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 146 and given that our model is projecting 144 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.