UNC Tar Heels vs Boston College Eagles Prediction 1/20/2024

North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Boston College Eagles Prediction 1/20/2024

The North Carolina Tar Heels (14-3) travel to face off against the Boston College Eagles (11-6) on Saturday, January 20th. This game will be played at Silvio Conte Forum in Chestnut Hill and televised on CW. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 2:15 ET.

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Boston College Eagles

The North Carolina Tar Heels Are Coming Off A Win

North Carolina will be looking to extend their win streak to eight games when they take on Boston College. So far this season, the Tar Heels have been favored in 15 of their 17 games, going 13-2 in those matchups. On the road, they have gone 4-2, with an average scoring margin of +5.5 points per game.

Most recently, North Carolina defeated Louisville by a score of 86-70. Over their last 10 road games, the Tar Heels have gone 6-4.

As the favorite, North Carolina has gone 9-6 against the spread this season and they are 4-2 ATS on the road. Over their last three road games, the Tar Heels are 3-0 ATS and they have gone 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as the favorite.

Today’s over/under line of 154.5 is almost identical to the average scoring in North Carolina’s games this season (153.4). The Tar Heels’ OU record is 10-7, and their last three games have had an average of 148 points.

The Boston College Eagles Are Coming Off A Win

After their win over Notre Dame, Boston College is 11-6 this season and 2-4 in the Atlantic Coast Conference. At home, the Eagles are 8-3 this season, and over their last ten games at home, they are 7-3.

On the year, Boston College has been the underdog in seven of their 17 games, going 3-4 in those contests. As the underdog, the Eagles have an average scoring margin of -0.5 points per game.

As the underdog this season, Boston College has a record of 3-3-1 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 5-6, but they have gone 0-3 vs. the spread in their last three home games and just 4-6 ATS in their last 10 at home. Overall, the Eagles have a record of 7-9-1 vs. the spread this season.

This season, the over/under record in Boston College games is 11-5-1. The average point total in their games this year is 150.8, which is 7.1 points lower than the average over/under line of 143.7. So far, 17 of their games have had lower point totals than today’s over/under line of 154.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 138 points and their over/under record during that span is 1-2.

North Carolina Offense Breakdown

In their previous game, the Tar Heels’ offense finished with 86 points, which is right in line with their current average of 83.9 points per contest. RJ Davis led the scoring for the Tar Heels, contributing 21 points. Additionally, Armando Bacot chipped in with 19 points.

RJ Davis (G) 20.4 3.5 3.5
Armando Bacot (F) 14.8 10.5 1.5
Harrison Ingram (F) 12.5 7.5 2.6

Boston College Offense Breakdown

Most recently, the Boston College offense finished with just 63 points vs. Notre Dame. For the game, they hit 7/18 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 37.5%. The team’s top scorer is Quinten Post, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 16.9, while Claudell Harris Jr. also maintains a PPG average of 15 leading up to the game.

Quinten Post (F) 16.9 7.4 3.2
Claudell Harris Jr. (G) 15.0 3.0 1.8
Jaeden Zackery (G) 12.2 3.1 4.3

North Carolina Team Defense

Currently, the Tar Heels’ defense holds the 108th rank in the nation, allowing 69.5 points per game. So far, the North Carolina defense is giving up an average of 7.4 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9.9 times per game (390th).

Boston College Team Defense

The Eagles’ defense is presently ranked 181st nationally, allowing an average of 72.8 points per contest. Boston College will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Notre Dame to just 37% shooting in their most recent game.

Tar Heels vs Eagles Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, North Carolina has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 73 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games at home, the Eagles have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-2-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 77 points per game in these contests.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Eagles have a straight up record of 5-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-4-1.
  • As the betting favorite, the Tar Heels have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.

Tar Heels vs Eagles Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +8, the Eagles is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 154.5 and given that our model is projecting 142 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.