The North Carolina Tar Heels (11-3) travel to face off against the North Carolina State Wolfpack (11-3) on Wednesday, January 10th. This game will be played at PNC Arena in Raleigh and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.
North Carolina Tar Heels vs North Carolina State Wolfpack
The North Carolina Tar Heels Are Coming Off A Win
North Carolina is a 4.5-point favorite on the road against North Carolina State. The Tar Heels are 10-2 when favored this season, and they have gone 3-2 on the road.
North Carolina comes into this game with a four-game winning streak, including a 65-55 win over Clemson in its last game. Over their last 10 road games, the Tar Heels have gone 5-5.
North Carolina has an ATS record of 8-6 this season and they are 7-5 vs. the spread when they are the favorite. Their road ATS record this year is 3-2 and they are 3-0 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games.
So far this season, the over/under record for North Carolina games is 8-6. The average scoring total in their games is 154.4 points, which is slightly higher than the average over/under line of 153. Today’s over/under line of 154 is similar to the average over/under line in their games. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 137 points.
The North Carolina State Wolfpack Are Coming Off A Win
North Carolina State is a perfect 8-0 at home this season, and they have won their last four games. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 9-1, and they are 3-0 over their last three games at home.
As the underdog, the Wolfpack are 1-3 this season, and they are 11-3 overall. They are also 3-0 in Atlantic Coast Conference games, and they are coming off a 76-60 win over Virginia.
North Carolina State has been right around .500 vs. the spread this season with a 7-7 record. At home, the Wolfpack are 5-3 ATS and over their last 10 home games, they are 6-4 vs. the spread. As the underdog, NC State has gone 2-2 ATS this year and their last 10 games as the underdog have resulted in a 4-6 ATS mark.
North Carolina State’s over/under record for the season sits at 8-5-1 and the average scoring total in their games is 145.9. Today’s over/under line of 154 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (145.6) and their last three games have an average scoring total of 130 points.
North Carolina Offense Breakdown
Coming off their recent game, the North Carolina offense tallied 65 points in a matchup against Clemson. Their field goal percentage for the game was 41.7%, and they made 8 threes. Offensively, the Tar Heels hold a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, placing them 171st in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 116th in terms of percentage and 153rd in three-pointers made.
|RJ Davis (G)
|Armando Bacot (F)
|Harrison Ingram (F)
North Carolina State Offense Breakdown
In their recent game, the Wolfpack’s offense concluded with 76 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 77.7 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is DJ Horne, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 14.4, while Jayden Taylor also carries a PPG average of 13.1 into the game.
|DJ Horne (G)
|Jayden Taylor (G)
|D.J. Burns (F)
North Carolina Team Defense
Coming into today’s game, the North Carolina defense is giving up an average of 70.8 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Clemson, the Tigers finished with a field goal percentage of 36% and a total of 55 points vs. North Carolina.
North Carolina State Team Defense
So far, the Wolfpack’s defense is ranked 102nd in the country at 68.1 points per contest. So far, the North Carolina State defense is giving up an average of 8.3 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 8.6 times per game (352nd).
Tar Heels vs Wolfpack Trends
- When looking at their past ten road matchups, North Carolina has an ATS record of 4-6 while averaging 72 per game. The team went 5-5 overall in these games.
- Although North Carolina State has a straight up record of 3-7 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 3-7. The team averaged 68 points per game in these games.
- Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Wolfpack have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
- Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Tar Heels have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 7-3.
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +4.5, the Wolfpack is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 154 and given that our model is projecting 142 points between the teams, we like the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.