north florida vs florida state ncaab prediction

North Florida Ospreys vs Florida State Prediction 12/19/2023

The North Florida Ospreys (7-5) travel to face off against the Florida State Seminoles (4-5) on Tuesday, December 19th. This game will be played at Donald L. Tucker Center in Tallahassee and televised on ACCN. Both North Florida and Florida State will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 ET.

North Florida Ospreys vs Florida State Seminoles

The North Florida Ospreys Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

This will be North Florida’s 13th game of the season, and they currently have a record of 7-5. Looking at their last ten road games, they have gone 3-7, which includes games from last year. As of now, North Florida holds a 4-4 ATS record heading into today’s game. In games played on the road, North Florida has been 3-1 vs. the spread so far this season and has gone 5-5 ATS in their previous ten road games.

Up to this point, games involving North Florida have had an average of 153.5 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 152.4 points. Their over/under record is 4-3-1. In the Ospreys’ last five games, the combined scoring average stands at 158 points per game, accompanied by an over/under record of 2-1.

The Florida State Seminoles Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Florida State enters their 10th game of the season with an overall record of 4-5. In their previous five home games, which includes last year, Florida State has gone 3-2 at home. As Florida State gets ready to face North Florida, their ATS record stands at 5-3. The Seminoles have gone 2-2 vs. the spread in away games and are 3-1 at home in that regard.

Florida State comes in with an over/under record of 4-3-1 through nine games, with their games averaging a combined 153.4 points per game so far. The Seminoles have seen their last five games conclude with a collective average of 142 points per game and an over/under record of 1-4.

North Florida Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the North Florida offense tallied 79 points in a matchup against High Point. Their field goal percentage for the game was 50.9%, and they made 12 threes. Ametri Moss led the scoring for the Ospreys, contributing 19 points. Additionally, Jasai Miles chipped in with 12 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Chaz Lanier (G) 15.6 4.9 1.2
Ametri Moss (G) 11.9 3.6 3.2
Dorian James (G) 9.6 6.2 1.5

Florida State Offense Breakdown

The Florida State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 72 points vs. South Florida. Overall their field goal percentage was 39% while connecting on 8 threes. Offensively, the Seminoles have a season long field goal percentage of 43%, which is 179th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 137th in percentage and 114th in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Jamir Watkins (F) 13.2 6.1 3.3
Darin Green Jr (G) 12.4 2.8 0.8
Baba Miller (F) 7.8 5.0 1.1

North Florida Team Defense

On the defensive side, North Florida is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 72.0 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, North Florida’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 24.5% this season.

Florida State Team Defense

On the defensive side, Florida State is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 72.9 points per game. So far, the Florida State defense is giving up an average of 11.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.4 times per game (563rd).

Ospreys vs Seminoles Trends

  • North Florida has a 1-4 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 74 points per game while allowing 81. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • In their last five games at home, the Seminoles have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 70 points per game in this stretch.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Ospreys have a straight up record of 5-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 8-2.
  • The last five games that Florida State was favored, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.

Ospreys vs Seminoles Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Seminoles vs. Ospreys matchup, our bet is to grab the Ospreys at +17. Even though our projections have the Seminoles winning 74-68, we see the Ospreys as the play on the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 150.5, and our model predicts the Ospreys and Seminoles to score a combined 142 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.