Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Louisville NCAAB Betting Prediction

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Louisville Prediction 2/21/2024

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (9-16) travel to face off against the Louisville Cardinals (8-18) on Wednesday, February 21st. This game will be played at KFC Yum! Center in Louisville and televised on ESPNU. Notre Dame is coming off a win in their previous game, while Louisville is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pittsburgh. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Louisville Cardinals

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish Are Coming Off A Win

Notre Dame will be looking to snap a seven-game road losing streak when they take on Louisville. So far this season, the Fighting Irish have gone just 1-7 on the road, compared to 7-9 at home.

Notre Dame’s overall record is 9-16, and they are coming off a 58-55 win over Georgia Tech. Over their last 10 games, the Fighting Irish have gone just 2-8 on the road.

Notre Dame has an ATS record of 11-13 this season and they are 5-3 against the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Fighting Irish have a mark of 9-7 vs. the spread this year and they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

Notre Dame’s over/under record this season is 7-17, and today’s line of 135 is higher than the average OU line in their games (132.8). So far, 15 of their games have finished with fewer points than 135. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 125 points.

The Louisville Cardinals Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Despite entering today’s game with an overall record of 8-18, Louisville has been much better at home this season, going 7-9 compared to 1-9 on the road. Over their last 10 games at home, the Cardinals are 4-6.

Coming off a 86-59 loss to Pittsburgh, Louisville has lost two straight games. So far this season, they have been favored in eight games, going 6-2 in those contests.

As the favorite this season, Louisville has gone just 3-4-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, they’ve gone just 3-6-1 vs. the spread. At home, the Cardinals have an ATS mark of 7-7-2 this year and over their last 10 home games, they have gone 5-4-1 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Louisville games is 15-11. The average over/under line in their games is 147.4 and their games have averaged 152.3 points. Over their last three games, the OU record is 1-2 and their games have averaged 151 points during this stretch.

Notre Dame Offense Breakdown

In their previous game, the Fighting Irish’s offense finished with 58 points, which is right in line with their current average of 61.9 points per contest. The team’s scoring leader is Markus Burton, who holds an average of 16.2 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Braeden Shrewsberry is averaging 9.2 points per game this season.

Name PPG REB AST
Markus Burton (G) 16.2 3.1 4.2
Braeden Shrewsberry (G) 9.2 2.4 0.8
J.R Konieczny (G) 8.8 5.2 0.6

Louisville Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Louisville offense ended with 59 points against Pittsburgh. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 44.4% and made 1 three. Coming into the game, the Cardinals offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 30%. On average, they get up 17.7 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 17.6 made free-throws.

Name PPG REB AST
Mike James (G) 13.5 5.0 1.5
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (F) 12.3 8.5 1.0
Tre White (G) 13.2 6.2 1.4

Notre Dame Team Defense

So far, the Fighting Irish’s defense is ranked 31st in the country at 65.3 points per contest. Notre Dame’s three-point defense is currently 128th in the country at 7.0 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.8% of their shots vs. Notre Dame.

Louisville Team Defense

At present, the Cardinals’ defense is nationally ranked 309th, allowing 78.9 points per game. In their previous game vs. Pittsburgh, the Panthers finished with a field goal percentage of 46% and a total of 86 points vs. Louisville.

Fighting Irish vs Cardinals Trends

  • Across the Fighting Irish last three road games, the team averaged 55 points per game while allowing 68. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 0-3 straight-up.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Cardinals offense has averaged 71 points per game while allowing an average of 85. Louisville posted an overall record of 0-5 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Fighting Irish have a straight up record of 1-9. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Cardinals have a straight up record of 7-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-6-1.

Fighting Irish vs Cardinals Prediction

Not only do we have the Cardinals winning this one by a score of 75-68, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Cardinals at -1.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 135 and given that our model is projecting 143 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.