The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (12-17) travel to face off against the North Carolina Tar Heels (23-6) on Tuesday, March 5th. This game will be played at Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill and televised on ACCN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs North Carolina Tar Heels
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish Are Coming Off A Win
Notre Dame has struggled on the road this season, going just 2-8 away from home. Over their last 10 games on the road, the Fighting Irish have gone 2-8. They are coming off a win over Clemson, 69-62.
Today, Notre Dame is a 15.5-point underdog. They are 6-14 this season as the underdog and have gone 5-3 when favored. Overall, they have a record of 12-17.
Notre Dame has been a solid team vs. the spread this season, going 15-13. They have been especially good as the underdog, with a 13-7 record vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Fighting Irish have gone 6-4 vs. the spread. On the road, Notre Dame has an ATS mark of 7-3 this season and they have gone 6-3 vs. the spread in their last 10 road games.
This season, the over/under record for Notre Dame games is 9-19. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 128.5 points. Today’s over/under line of 137.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (133). This year, 23 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 145 points.
The North Carolina Tar Heels Are Coming Off A Win
North Carolina enters this game as the favorite, as they have been in 27 of their 29 games this season. They have gone 22-5 in those games, and they have a record of 15-2 at home, where they have won their last three.
Overall, the Tar Heels have won four straight games, and they are 23-6 on the season. In their last game, they defeated North Carolina State by a score of 79-70.
North Carolina has an ATS record of 16-13 this season, including a mark of 9-8 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tar Heels have gone just 4-6 vs. the spread.
This season, the over/under record for North Carolina games is 14-15 and the average over/under line in their games is 153.3. Today’s line of 137.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 130 points and their OU record during this stretch is 0-3.
Notre Dame Offense Breakdown
Notre Dame is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 69 points vs. Clemson. This figure is more than their season average of 63.6 points per game. Offensively, the Fighting Irish have a season long field goal percentage of 40%, which is 369th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 319th in percentage and 164th in three-pointers made.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Burton (G) | 17.3 | 3.3 | 4.3 |
| Braeden Shrewsberry (G) | 10.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| Tae Davis (F) | 8.6 | 5.2 | 0.9 |
North Carolina Offense Breakdown
In their latest game, North Carolina offense put up 79 points against North Carolina State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 47.2% and made 6 threes. RJ Davis is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 21.4 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Armando Bacot brings a PPG average of 14 into the game.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis (G) | 21.4 | 3.8 | 3.4 |
| Armando Bacot (F) | 14.0 | 10.3 | 1.6 |
| Harrison Ingram (F) | 12.5 | 9.1 | 2.1 |
Notre Dame Team Defense
At present, the Fighting Irish’s defense is nationally ranked 25th, allowing 65.4 points per game. Against Clemson in their most recent game, the Notre Dame defense gave up a total of 62 points while allowing Clemson to hit 42% of their shots.
North Carolina Team Defense
Currently, the Tar Heels’ defense holds the 120th rank in the nation, allowing 70.4 points per game. In today’s game vs. Notre Dame, the North Carolina defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, North Carolina made 23 free-throws vs. the Tar Heels.
Fighting Irish vs Tar Heels Trends
- Although Notre Dame has a straight up record of 2-8 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 6-3. The team averaged 61 points per game in these games.
- When looking at their past three home matchups, North Carolina has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 69 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
- The Fighting Irish have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 2-1 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.
- Over the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Tar Heels struggled vs the spread going just 1-2. However, they still had a straight up mark of 3-0.
Fighting Irish vs Tar Heels Prediction
When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Tar Heels vs. Tar Heels game, our recommendation is to take the Tar Heels at -15.5. Despite our model showing the Tar Heels winning 74-69, we like Fighting Irish as our point-spread pick.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 137.5, and our model predicts the Fighting Irish and Tar Heels to score a combined 143 points. We recommend betting on the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:March 5, 2024 North Carolina Tar Heels, Notre Dame Fighting Irish