Ohio State Buckeyes vs Michigan State NCAAB Betting Prediction

Ohio State Buckeyes vs Michigan State Prediction 2/25/2024

The Ohio State Buckeyes (15-12) travel to face off against the Michigan State Spartans (17-10) on Sunday, February 25th. This game will be played at Breslin Center in East Lansing and televised on CBS. Both Ohio State and Michigan State will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 4:00 ET.

Ohio State Buckeyes vs Michigan State Spartans

The Ohio State Buckeyes Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Ohio State has struggled on the road this season, going just 3-8 away from home. They have lost seven straight road games, and their average margin of defeat on the road is -3.2 points per game.

Overall, the Buckeyes are 15-12, including a 5-11 record in Big Ten play. They have fared much better at home, going 12-4 compared to 3-8 on the road.

Against the spread, Ohio State has struggled this season with a 10-17 record. However, they have gone 4-5 vs. the spread as the underdog. On the road, the Buckeyes are 4-7 vs. the spread this year, but they have gone 2-1 ATS in their last 3 road games.

The over/under record for Ohio State games this year is 15-12, and today’s line of 137.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (143.5). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 141 points, which is lower than their season average of 144.9. So far, 20 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line.

The Michigan State Spartans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Michigan State has been a much better team at home this season, going 14-5 compared to 3-5 on the road. The Spartans have also been favored in 21 of their 27 games, going 15-6 in those contests.

Despite losing their last game to Iowa, Michigan State has been dominant at home recently, going 9-1 in their last 10 games at the Breslin Center.

Michigan State has an ATS record of 16-11 this season and they are 12-7 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Spartans have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record in Michigan State games is 12-15. Today’s over/under line of 137.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (142.2). So far, 18 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, their games have averaged 145 points compared to their season average of 141.3 points per game.

Ohio State Offense Breakdown

In their recent game, the Buckeyes’ offense concluded with 79 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 74.6 points per contest. Bruce Thornton is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 16.4 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Jamison Battle brings a PPG average of 14.2 into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Bruce Thornton (G) 16.4 3.3 4.2
Jamison Battle (F) 14.2 5.1 1.0
Roddy Gayle Jr. (G) 13.7 4.3 3.2

Michigan State Offense Breakdown

The Spartans’ offense finished with 71 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 75 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring was Malik Hall with 16 points. Tyson Walker also added 16 points for the Spartans.

Name PPG REB AST
Tyson Walker (G) 18.3 2.7 3.0
Malik Hall (F) 12.8 5.3 2.1
A.J Hoggard (G) 11.3 3.1 5.1

Ohio State Team Defense

Currently, the Buckeyes’ defense holds the 127th rank in the nation, allowing 70.4 points per game. In their previous game vs. Minnesota, the Golden Gophers finished with a field goal percentage of 50% and a total of 88 points vs. Ohio State.

Michigan State Team Defense

This season, the Michigan State defense has been impressive, holding the 40th position in the country while permitting an average of 66.2 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Iowa, the Hawkeyes finished with a field goal percentage of 45% and a total of 78 points vs. Michigan State.

Buckeyes vs Spartans Trends

  • Across their five previous road games, Ohio State has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-5 while averaging 67 points per game.
  • In their last five home games, Michigan State has averaged 67 points per game while allowing 66. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Buckeyes have a straight up record of 2-8 and an ATS mark of 4-6.
  • As the betting favorite, the Spartans have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 2-1.

Buckeyes vs Spartans Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Spartans vs. Spartans game, our recommendation is to take the Spartans at -9.5. Despite our model showing the Spartans winning 75-69, we like Buckeyes as our point-spread pick.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 137.5 and our model has the Buckeyes and Spartans finishing with a combined 144 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.