ole miss vs tennessee ncaab betting prediction

Ole Miss vs. Tennessee Volunteers Prediction 1/6/2024

The Ole Miss Rebels (13-0) travel to face off against the Tennessee Volunteers (10-3) on Saturday, January 6th. This game will be played at Thompson-Boling Arena in Knoxville and televised on SECN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 6:00 ET.

Ole Miss Rebels vs Tennessee Volunteers

The Ole Miss Rebels Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into today’s matchup, Ole Miss is the underdog, with a point spread of +10.5. So far this season, the Rebels have a perfect 13-0 record and have won 13 straight games.

In their last game, Ole Miss faced off against Bryant and came away with a 95-78 victory. Over their last 10 road games, the Rebels have gone just 5-5, but they have won their last three games on the road.

So far this season, Ole Miss has an ATS record of 7-6. On the road, their ATS record is 2-1 and vs. the spread as the underdog, they are 1-0. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Rebels have gone 4-6 vs. the spread. In their last 3 road games, Ole Miss has an ATS mark of 2-1.

This season, the over/under record in Ole Miss games is 8-5 and today’s line of 143.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (139.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 153 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 8-2.

The Tennessee Volunteers Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into today’s matchup, Tennessee is favored by 10.5 points and has an overall record of 10-3. The Volunteers have won their last six games and are a perfect 8-0 at home this season.

In their last game, Tennessee faced off against Norfolk State and won by a score of 87-50. Over their last 10 games at home, the Volunteers are an impressive 9-1.

Overall, Tennessee has an ATS record of 5-7-1 this season. At home, their ATS mark is 3-4-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Volunteers are 5-4-1 vs. the spread.

The over/under record in Tennessee games this season is 7-6 and today’s line of 143.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (140.5). The average scoring total in their last three games is 132 points and over their last five games, the average point total is 138. So far this year, eight of their games have finished with less points than today’s OU line of 143.5.

Ole Miss Offense Breakdown

Ole Miss is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 95 points versus Bryant. This output is higher than their season-average of 77.4 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Matthew Murrell, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 17, while Allen Flanigan also carries a PPG average of 16.7 into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Matthew Murrell (G) 17.0 4.1 2.9
Allen Flanigan (G) 16.7 7.4 3.3
Jaylen Murray (G) 14.7 2.1 3.7

Tennessee Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Tennessee offense ended with 87 points against Norfolk State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 45.5% and made 12 threes. The top scorer for the Volunteers was Zakai Zeigler with 17 points, while Dalton Knecht also chipped in with 15 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Dalton Knecht (G) 15.6 4.2 1.6
Josiah-Jordan James (G) 11.3 7.0 2.3
Jonas Aidoo (F) 10.5 6.8 1.0

Ole Miss Team Defense

Currently, the Rebels’ defense holds the 87th rank in the nation, allowing 67.8 points per game. Against Bryant in their most recent game, the Ole Miss defense gave up a total of 78 points while allowing Bryant to hit 53% of their shots.

Tennessee Team Defense

This season, the Tennessee defense has been impressive, holding the 35th position in the country while permitting an average of 64.3 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Norfolk State, the Spartans finished with a field goal percentage of 45% and a total of 50 points vs. Tennessee.

Rebels vs Volunteers Trends

  • Across their five previous road games, Ole Miss has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-1 while averaging 71 points per game.
  • Across the Volunteers last ten home games, the team averaged 69 points per game while allowing 72. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-8, while going 2-8 straight-up.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Rebels have a straight up record of 1-4 and an ATS mark of 3-2.
  • The last ten games that Tennessee was favored, they have an ATS mark of 5-4-1 while going 10-0 straight up.

Rebels vs Volunteers Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Volunteers vs. Volunteers game, our recommendation is to take the Volunteers at -10.5. Despite our model showing the Volunteers winning 76-70, we like Rebels as our point-spread pick.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 143.5, and our model predicts the Rebels and Volunteers to score a combined 146 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.