The Purdue Boilermakers (26-3) travel to face off against the Illinois Fighting Illini (22-7) on Tuesday, March 5th. This game will be played at State Farm Center in Champaign and televised on PEAC. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.
Purdue Boilermakers vs Illinois Fighting Illini
The Purdue Boilermakers Are Coming Off A Win
After a win over Michigan State, Purdue is now 26-3 overall and 15-3 in the Big Ten. They have won three straight games and have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games on the road.
So far this season, Purdue has been the favorite in 28 of their 29 games, going 25-3 in those contests. For the season, they are 8-3 on the road compared to a perfect 18-0 at home.
As the underdog this season, Purdue has gone 1-0 against the spread. On the road, the Boilermakers have an ATS record of 5-5-1 and are 4-5-1 vs. the spread in their last 10 road games. Overall, Purdue’s ATS mark for the year is 15-12-2.
Today’s over/under line of 163 is higher than the average over/under line in Purdue’s games this season (147.8). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 158 points.
The Illinois Fighting Illini Are Coming Off A Win
Illinois enters this game as a 2.5-point favorite, and they have been the favorite in 23 of their 29 games this season. Overall, they are 19-4 when favored, and they have gone 16-2 at home compared to 6-5 on the road.
Over their last 10 games at home, the Fighting Illini have gone 9-1, and they have won their last six games at home. For the season, they have an average scoring margin of +15.5 points per game at home.
As the favorite this season, Illinois has an ATS record of 11-11-1, including a mark of 8-9-1 at home. Their ATS record at home over their last three games is 2-1, while they are 5-5 in their last 10 games as the favorite.
Illinois’ over/under record for the season is 21-8 and the average over/under line in their games is 148.6. Today’s over/under line of 163 is higher than the average scoring total in their games this season of 158. So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 185 points.
Purdue Offense Breakdown
Coming off their recent game, the Purdue offense tallied 80 points in a matchup against Michigan State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 51%, and they made 10 threes. On the offensive front, the Boilermakers have a season-long field goal percentage of 49%, ranking 38th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 33rd in terms of percentage and 77th in three-pointers made.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Edey (C) | 24.0 | 11.8 | 1.9 |
| Braden Smith (G) | 13.1 | 5.9 | 7.1 |
| Lance Jones (G) | 12.6 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
Illinois Offense Breakdown
Illinois recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 91 points against Wisconsin. This output exceeded their season average of 84.8 points per game. Currently leading the team in scoring is Terrence Shannon Jr. who comes into today’s matchup averaging 22. Marcus Domask also heads into the game with a PPG average of 16.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence Shannon Jr. (G) | 22.0 | 4.4 | 2.2 |
| Marcus Domask (F) | 16.0 | 4.9 | 3.4 |
| Coleman Hawkins (F) | 13.3 | 5.8 | 2.8 |
Purdue Team Defense
Coming into today’s game, the Purdue defense is giving up an average of 70.2 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Illinois, the Purdue defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Purdue made 20 free-throws vs. the Boilermakers.
Illinois Team Defense
In terms of defense, Illinois is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 73.2 points per game. Against Wisconsin in their most recent game, the Illinois defense gave up a total of 83 points while allowing Wisconsin to hit 50% of their shots.
Boilermakers vs Fighting Illini Trends
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Purdue has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 76 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
- When looking at their past ten home matchups, Illinois has an ATS record of 6-3-1 while averaging 86 per game. The team went 5-5 overall in these games.
- The Boilermakers have played well in their last five games as the betting underdog, going 3-2 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.
- Through their last five games as the favorite, the Fighting Illini have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 4-1.
Boilermakers vs Fighting Illini Prediction
The Fighting Illini is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 76-69. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Fighting Illini at -2.5.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 163, and our model predicts the Boilermakers and Fighting Illini to score a combined 145 points. We recommend betting on the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:March 5, 2024 Illinois Fighting Illini, Purdue Boilermakers