Purdue Boilermakers vs Indiana Hoosiers NCAAB Betting prediction

Purdue Boilermakers vs Indiana Hoosiers Prediction 1/16/2024

The Purdue Boilermakers (15-2) travel to face off against the Indiana Hoosiers (12-5) on Tuesday, January 16th. This game will be played at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall in Bloomington and televised on PEAC. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Purdue Boilermakers vs Indiana Hoosiers

The Purdue Boilermakers Are Coming Off A Win

After a 95-78 win over Penn State, Purdue is 15-2 overall and 4-2 in the Big Ten. On the road, the Boilermakers are 3-2 this season, and they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games away from home.

For the season, Purdue has been favored in 16 of its 17 games, and the Boilermakers are 14-2 in those contests. Their average scoring margin on the road is +1.4 compared to +21.3 at home.

As the favorite this season, Purdue has gone 8-6-2 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Boilermakers are 5-5 vs. the spread. On the road, Purdue is just 2-6-2 vs. the spread this season and they have gone 2-2-1 in their last 5 road games vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record in Purdue games sits at 12-5, and today’s over/under line of 152 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (148). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average scoring total of 164 points.

The Indiana Hoosiers Are Coming Off A Win

Indiana has been a much better team at home this season, going 10-2 compared to 2-3 on the road. They have won five straight at home and are 8-2 in their last 10 games there. The Hoosiers are also 10-0 this season when favored, but they are 2-5 as underdogs.

Coming into this game, Indiana is 12-5 overall and 4-2 in Big Ten play. They are coming off a 74-62 win over Minnesota and have won three straight at home.

Indiana’s ATS record this season is currently 8-8-1. At home, they are 7-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Hoosiers are 5-5 ATS.

Indiana’s over/under record this season sits at 8-9 and the average scoring total in their games is 146.9 points. Today’s over/under line of 152 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (144.5). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 131 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 0-3.

Purdue Offense Breakdown

Purdue’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 95 points vs. Penn State. Overall, they hit 58.2% of their shots from the field and went 20/29 from the free-throw line. The team’s top scorer is Zach Edey, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 22.3, while Braden Smith also maintains a PPG average of 12.4 leading up to the game.

Zach Edey (C) 22.3 10.9 1.8
Braden Smith (G) 12.4 5.3 6.9
Lance Jones (G) 11.3 2.5 2.5

Indiana Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Indiana offense ended with 74 points against Minnesota. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 43.3% and made 6 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Malik Reneau, who holds an average of 16.3 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Kel’el Ware is averaging 14.8 points per game this season.

Malik Reneau (F) 16.3 5.8 3.1
Kel’el Ware (C) 14.8 9.6 1.8
Trey Galloway (G) 10.3 2.2 3.9

Purdue Team Defense

At this time, the Boilermakers’ defense is positioned 116th in the country, permitting 69.5 points per game. In their most recent game, the Purdue defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Penn State knocked down 11 three-pointers on their way to 78 points.

Indiana Team Defense

The Hoosiers’ defense is presently ranked 177th nationally, allowing an average of 72.5 points per contest. Against Minnesota in their most recent game, the Indiana defense gave up a total of 62 points while allowing Minnesota to hit 43% of their shots.

Boilermakers vs Hoosiers Trends

  • Although Purdue has a straight up record of 1-2 in their last three road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 75 points per game in these games.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Indiana has an ATS record of 3-6-1 while averaging 65 per game. The team went 4-6 overall in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Hoosiers have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Indiana posted a straight up mark of 4-6 in these matchups.
  • Over the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Boilermakers struggled vs the spread going just 0-3. However, they still had a straight up mark of 2-1.

Boilermakers vs Hoosiers Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +9.5, we recommend going with the Hoosiers on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 152 and our model has the Boilermakers and Hoosiers finishing with a combined 143 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.