Purdue Boilermakers vs Michigan Wolverines NCAAB Betting Prediction

Purdue Boilermakers vs Michigan Prediction 2/25/2024

The Purdue Boilermakers (24-3) travel to face off against the Michigan Wolverines (8-19) on Sunday, February 25th. This game will be played at Crisler Center in Ann Arbor and televised on CBS. Purdue is coming off a win in their previous game, while Michigan is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Northwestern. Tip-off is set for 2:00 ET.

Purdue Boilermakers vs Michigan Wolverines

The Purdue Boilermakers Are Coming Off A Win

As the Purdue Boilermakers head into their matchup with the Michigan Wolverines, they are coming off a 96-68 win over Rutgers. This victory moved their record to 24-3 overall and 13-3 in Big Ten play. On the road this season, they have gone 7-3, and over their last 10 road games, they have gone 7-3.

For the year, Purdue has been favored in 26 of their 27 games, going 23-3 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin on the road is +5.2 compared to +20.8 at home. This season, they have yet to lose at home, going 17-0.

As the favorite this season, Purdue has an ATS mark of 14-10-2. On the road, their ATS record is 5-4-1, and in their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 6-4 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Purdue games is 17-9-1, and the average scoring total in their games is 154.7 points. Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (147.7). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 155 points.

The Michigan Wolverines Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Michigan enters tonight’s game against Purdue as a 13-point underdog. The Wolverines are 8-19 overall this season, including a 3-13 mark in Big Ten play. They have lost four straight games and are coming off a 76-62 loss to Northwestern.

At home this season, Michigan is just 5-11, and over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 3-7. For the season, the Wolverines have been the underdog in 14 of their 27 games, going 3-11 in those contests.

Michigan’s ATS record this season is a disappointing 6-20, including a 4-12 mark at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Wolverines have gone just 1-9 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Michigan is 14-12 and today’s line of 151.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (149). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 146 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2.

Purdue Offense Breakdown

Purdue finished with 96 points in their game against Rutgers. This total surpasses their season-average of 84.9 points per game. On the offensive front, the Boilermakers have a season-long field goal percentage of 49%, ranking 39th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 31st in terms of percentage and 81st in three-pointers made.

Zach Edey (C) 23.3 11.7 1.8
Lance Jones (G) 12.9 2.7 2.3
Braden Smith (G) 12.8 5.7 7.1

Michigan Offense Breakdown

The Michigan offense is coming off a game where they scored 62 points against Northwestern. They posted a field goal percentage of 50% and connected on 8 threes. Leading Michigan in scoring vs. Northwestern was Nimari Burnett with his 15 points. Tarris Reed Jr. also added 13 points for the Wolverines.

Olivier Nkamhoua (F) 14.8 7.1 2.7
Dug McDaniel (G) 16.6 3.8 4.6
Terrance Williams II (F) 12.4 4.4 1.3

Purdue Team Defense

The Boilermakers’ defense is presently ranked 115th nationally, allowing an average of 69.9 points per contest. Purdue’s three-point defense is currently 163rd in the country at 7.5 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.7% of their shots vs. Purdue.

Michigan Team Defense

At this time, the Wolverines’ defense is positioned 311st in the country, permitting 78.8 points per game. Michigan’s three-point defense is currently 157th in the country at 7.4 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 46.0% of their shots vs. Michigan.

Boilermakers vs Wolverines Trends

  • Across their three previous road games, Purdue has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-1 while averaging 70 points per game.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Michigan has an ATS record of 0-3 while averaging 63 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Wolverines have a straight up record of 1-4 and an ATS mark of 1-4.
  • As the betting favorite, the Boilermakers have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 4-1.

Boilermakers vs Wolverines Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +13, we recommend going with the Wolverines on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 151.5, and our model predicts the Boilermakers and Wolverines to score a combined 143 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.