Saint Louis Billikens vs Dayton Flyers NCAAB Betting prediction

Saint Louis Billikens vs Dayton Flyers Prediction 1/16/2024

The Saint Louis Billikens (8-8) travel to face off against the Dayton Flyers (13-2) on Tuesday, January 16th. This game will be played at UD Arena in Dayton and televised on CBSS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Saint Louis Billikens vs Dayton Flyers

The Saint Louis Billikens Are Coming Off A Win

So far this season, the Billikens have struggled on the road, going just 1-4 away from home. Their average scoring margin on the road is -11.8 points per game, and they are currently on a four-game losing streak.

Saint Louis is coming off of an 88-85 win over Saint Joseph’s, and they have gone 1-4 in their last five road games. On the season, they are 8-8 overall and 1-2 in Atlantic 10 play.

As the underdog this season, Saint Louis has gone 5-5 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS record is 2-3 and over their last 10 road games, they are just 2-8 vs. the spread. In their last 3 road games, the Billikens have gone 1-2 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Saint Louis games is 10-5, and today’s line of 145.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (146.7). In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average of 157 points per game.

The Dayton Flyers Are Coming Off A Win

Dayton is 13-2 overall and 3-0 in Atlantic 10 action. The Flyers have won 10 straight games, and they are 11-0 as the favorite this season. At home, Dayton is a perfect 9-0, and their average scoring margin at home is +13.8 points per game.

Most recently, the Flyers defeated Duquesne by a score of 72-62. Over their last 10 home games, Dayton is 10-0, and they are 5-0 in their last five home contests.

As the favorite this season, Dayton has gone 6-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Flyers have an ATS mark of 6-4. At home this year, Dayton has an ATS record of 4-5 and their last 3 home games vs. the spread have resulted in a 1-2 mark.

Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Dayton’s games this season (136). So far, 14 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s total. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 129 points.

Saint Louis Offense Breakdown

Saint Louis’ offense is coming off a good game, putting up 88 points vs. Saint Joseph’s. Overall, they hit 46.4% of their shots from the field and went 22/27 from the free-throw line. Leading the team in scoring was Gibson Jimerson with 27 points. Tim Dalger also added 15 points for the Billikens.

Gibson Jimerson (G) 17.2 2.8 2.0
Terremce Hargrove Jr. (F) 13.1 5.8 0.9
Tim Dalger (F) 10.4 4.4 0.9

Dayton Offense Breakdown

In their most recent game, the Flyers’ offense tallied 72 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 73.4 points per game. DaRon Holmes II is leading the team in scoring at 18.7 points per contest. Nate Santos has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 11.9 going into the game.

DaRon Holmes II (F) 18.7 7.3 2.7
Nate Santos (F) 11.9 6.9 1.3
Koby Brea (G) 11.0 3.9 1.2

Saint Louis Team Defense

The Billikens’ defense is presently ranked 247th nationally, allowing an average of 76.6 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 8.0 threes per game vs. Dayton. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 34.4%.

Dayton Team Defense

In the current season, the Dayton defense has excelled, sitting 35th in the nation by allowing 64.5 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.9 threes per game vs. Saint Louis. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.5%.

Billikens vs Flyers Trends

  • Across the Billikens last ten road games, the team averaged 69 points per game while allowing 80. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-8, while going 1-9 straight-up.
  • Across their last three home contests, Dayton has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 69 points per game.
  • Through their last five games as the underdog, the Billikens have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 3-2.
  • As the betting favorite, the Flyers have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.

Billikens vs Flyers Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Flyers vs. Flyers game, our recommendation is to take the Flyers at -13.5. Despite our model showing the Flyers winning 75-69, we like Billikens as our point-spread pick.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 145.5 and given that our model is projecting 144 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.