The San Diego State Aztecs (25-10) travel to face off against the Connecticut Huskies (33-3) on Thursday, March 28th. This game will be played at TD Garden in Boston and televised on TBS/. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:39 ET.
San Diego State Aztecs vs Connecticut Huskies
The San Diego State Aztecs Are Coming Off A Win
San Diego State is 9.5-point underdogs against Connecticut. They have a 25-10 record this season and are coming off an 85-57 win over Yale. The Aztecs have gone 2-5 as the underdog this year.
On the road, San Diego State has a record of 9-8, and they have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games away from home. This season, they have an average scoring margin of +3.8 on the road.
As the underdog, San Diego State has struggled vs. the spread this season, going just 2-5. Overall, the Aztecs are 15-20 vs. the spread this year. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-11 and they are just 1-2 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games.
San Diego State’s over/under record this season sits at 19-16, and today’s over/under line of 135.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (140.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 134 points, and their OU record in their last three games is 1-2. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line.
The Connecticut Huskies Are Coming Off A Win
Connecticut enters this game with a perfect 24-0 record at home this season, and they have won their last 24 games at home. Over their last 10 games at home, the Huskies have gone 10-0.
On the season, Connecticut has an average scoring margin of +22.8 points per game at home, compared to +7.2 on the road. They have been the favorite in all 36 games they have played this season, going 34-2 as the favorite.
As the favorite, Connecticut has been solid vs. the spread this season, going 23-12-1. At home, the Huskies have an ATS mark of 15-9 and are 3-0 ATS in their last three home games. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, UConn has an impressive ATS record of 8-2.
This season, the over/under record for Connecticut games is 18-19 and today’s line of 135.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (145). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 134 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 0-3.
San Diego State Offense Breakdown
San Diego State’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Yale, finishing the game with a total of 85 points. Their season average is now 74.6 points per game. Leading San Diego State in scoring vs. Yale was Jaedon LeDee with his 26 points. Darrion Trammell also added 18 points for the Aztecs.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaedon LeDee (F) | 21.1 | 8.4 | 1.4 |
| Reese Waters (G) | 10.1 | 3.7 | 1.2 |
| Micah Parrish (G) | 9.6 | 4.1 | 1.8 |
Connecticut Offense Breakdown
In their latest game, Connecticut offense put up 75 points against Northwestern. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 53.7% and made 3 threes. Offensively, the Huskies have a season long field goal percentage of 49%, which is 19th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 83rd in percentage and 62nd in three-pointers made.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tristen Newton (G) | 15.2 | 7.0 | 6.0 |
| Cam Spencer (G) | 14.5 | 4.5 | 3.6 |
| Alex Karaban (F) | 13.9 | 5.0 | 1.4 |
San Diego State Team Defense
The Aztecs’ defense is presently ranked 34th nationally, allowing an average of 66.4 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Yale, the Bulldogs finished with a field goal percentage of 52% and a total of 57 points vs. San Diego State.
Connecticut Team Defense
So far, the Huskies’ defense is ranked 19th in the country at 64.6 points per contest. So far, the Connecticut defense is giving up an average of 8.7 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9.1 times per game (365th).
Aztecs vs Huskies Trends
- Across their ten previous road games, San Diego State has an ATS mark of 3-7. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 70 points per game.
- Across the Huskies last ten home games, the team averaged 77 points per game while allowing 70. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-3-1, while going 8-2 straight-up.
- As the betting underdog, the Aztecs have an ATS mark of just 0-3 in their last three games. San Diego State posted a straight up mark of 0-3 in these matchups.
- As the betting favorite, the Huskies have an ATS record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.
Aztecs vs Huskies Prediction
We’re calling a win for the Huskies, with a final score of 78-67, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Huskies at -9.5.
As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 135.5, and our model projects the Aztecs and Huskies to reach a combined total of 145 points. Our bet is on taking the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:March 25, 2024 Connecticut Huskies, San Diego State Aztecs