San Diego State Aztecs vs Nevada NCAAB Betting Prediction

San Diego State Aztecs vs Nevada Prediction 2/9/2024

The San Diego State Aztecs (18-5) travel to face off against the Nevada Wolf Pack (18-5) on Friday, February 9th. This game will be played at Lawlor Events Center in Reno and televised on CBSS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

San Diego State Aztecs vs Nevada Wolf Pack

The San Diego State Aztecs Are Coming Off A Win

San Diego State is 18-5 overall and 7-3 in Mountain West Conference play. They have won two straight games and are 11-0 at home this season.

As an underdog, the Aztecs are 2-3 this year, and they are 5-5 on the road. Their average scoring margin on the road is +1.0, and they are coming off a 77-64 win over Air Force.

San Diego State’s overall ATS record this season is 9-12, and they are 3-7 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Aztecs have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

San Diego State’s over/under record this season is 13-8, and the average over/under line in their games is 141. Today’s line of 141.5 is very close to their average game total of 144.2. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 146 points, and their over/under record in their last three games is 3-0.

The Nevada Wolf Pack Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, the Wolf Pack are 11-1, and they have won nine of their last ten games at Lawlor Events Center. Overall, Nevada is 18-5, and they have won two straight games. In Mountain West play, the Wolf Pack are 5-4.

As the favorite, Nevada has gone 15-3, and they have been favored in 18 of their 23 games. On the other hand, San Diego State is 3-2 as the underdog, and they are 5-5 on the road.

When looking at Nevada’s ATS record this season, they have gone 14-9. In games where they have been the favorite, their record vs. the spread is 11-7. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, they have gone 6-4.

This season, the over/under record for Nevada games sits at 9-14. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 142.7 points compared to an average over/under line of 143.7. This year, 14 of their games have finished with less points than today’s line of 141.5. In their last three games, their over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 144 points.

San Diego State Offense Breakdown

The Aztecs’ offense wrapped up their last game with 77 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 76.3 points per contest. Currently leading the team in scoring is Jaedon LeDee who comes into today’s matchup averaging 20. Reese Waters also heads into the game with a PPG average of 11.8.

Jaedon LeDee (F) 20.0 8.6 1.6
Reese Waters (G) 11.8 3.8 1.3
Micah Parrish (G) 10.3 3.9 1.7

Nevada Offense Breakdown

The Nevada offense is coming off a game where they scored 77 points against Utah State. They posted a field goal percentage of 52.9% and connected on 4 threes. Offensively, the Wolf Pack have a season long field goal percentage of 47%, which is 90th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 209th in percentage and 311st in three-pointers made.

Jarod Lucas (G) 17.0 2.6 1.4
Kenan Blackshear (G) 15.7 4.8 4.7
Nick Davidson (F) 11.6 7.0 1.3

San Diego State Team Defense

In the current season, the San Diego State defense has excelled, sitting 63rd in the nation by allowing 67.2 points per game. In their previous game vs. Air Force, the Falcons finished with a field goal percentage of 45% and a total of 64 points vs. San Diego State.

Nevada Team Defense

In the current season, the Nevada defense has excelled, sitting 43rd in the nation by allowing 66.1 points per game. Nevada’s three-point defense is currently 138th in the country at 7.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 39.3% of their shots vs. Nevada.

Aztecs vs Wolf Pack Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Aztecs have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 71 points per game in this stretch.
  • Through their last five home games, Nevada has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 71 points per game.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Aztecs have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
  • The last ten games that Nevada was favored, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 8-2 straight up.

Aztecs vs Wolf Pack Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Wolf Pack, with a final score of 76-69, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Wolf Pack at -1.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 141.5, and our model predicts the Aztecs and Wolf Pack to score a combined 145 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.