San Diego State Aztecs vs Utah State NCAAB Betting Prediction

San Diego State Aztecs vs Utah State Prediction 2/20/2024

The San Diego State Aztecs (20-6) travel to face off against the Utah State Aggies (21-5) on Tuesday, February 20th. This game will be played at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum in Logan and televised on CBSS. San Diego State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Utah State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Colorado State. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

San Diego State Aztecs vs Utah State Aggies

The San Diego State Aztecs Are Coming Off A Win

San Diego State is 20-6 overall and 9-4 in Mountain West play. The Aztecs have won two straight games and are 11-2 in non-conference action. They are 5-6 on the road this season compared to a perfect 13-0 mark at home.

For the year, San Diego State has been the underdog in six of its 26 games, going 2-4 in those contests. The Aztecs’ average scoring margin on the road is +0.5, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 road games.

San Diego State has struggled against the spread this season, going just 11-13. Their ATS mark is just 3-8 on the road and 2-4 as the underdog. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Aztecs have gone just 4-6 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for San Diego State games is 14-10. The average scoring total in their games this year is 143.4 points, which is slightly lower than the average over/under line of 141.4. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 137 points.

The Utah State Aggies Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Utah State is 21-5 overall and 9-3 in Mountain West play. They have a +13.4 average scoring margin at home, and they are 11-1 at home this season. The Aggies are 18-1 when favored this season, and they are favored by 2.5 points today.

Utah State is coming off a 75-55 loss to Colorado State. Over their last 10 games at home, the Aggies are 9-1.

At home this season, Utah State has an ATS record of 8-4, and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 6-3-1 vs. the spread. Overall this season, the Aggies have an ATS mark of 13-9-1.

So far this season, the over/under record for Utah State games is 13-10. Today’s over/under line of 144.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this year (144.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points, and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 5-4.

San Diego State Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, San Diego State offense put up 81 points against New Mexico. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 56.9% and made 7 threes. The top scorer for the Aztecs was Jaedon LeDee with 23 points, while Lamont Butler also added 13 to the scoreboard.

Name PPG REB AST
Jaedon LeDee (F) 20.4 8.2 1.5
Reese Waters (G) 11.2 3.8 1.3
Micah Parrish (G) 9.9 4.1 2.0

Utah State Offense Breakdown

The Utah State offense is coming off a game where they scored 55 points against Colorado State. They posted a field goal percentage of 38.6% and connected on 4 threes. Great Osobor led the scoring for the Aggies, contributing 15 points. Additionally, Ian Martinez chipped in with 14 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Great Osobor (F) 17.8 9.2 2.8
Ian Martinez (G) 13.6 3.6 1.8
Darius Brown II (G) 11.3 4.1 6.5

San Diego State Team Defense

The Aztecs’ defense is presently ranked 57th nationally, allowing an average of 66.9 points per contest. Against New Mexico in their most recent game, the San Diego State defense gave up a total of 70 points while allowing New Mexico to hit 56% of their shots.

Utah State Team Defense

At this time, the Aggies’ defense is positioned 110th in the country, permitting 69.5 points per game. Against Colorado State in their most recent game, the Utah State defense gave up a total of 75 points while allowing Colorado State to hit 45% of their shots.

Aztecs vs Aggies Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Aztecs have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 71 points per game in this stretch.
  • Although Utah State has a straight up record of 2-3 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2-1. The team averaged 76 points per game in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Aztecs have a straight up record of 4-6. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-6.
  • The last ten games that Utah State was favored, they have an ATS mark of 6-3-1 while going 9-1 straight up.

Aztecs vs Aggies Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Aggies, with a final score of 76-69, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Aggies at -2.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 144.5 and given that our model is projecting 145 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.