San Diego Toreros vs Saint Mary’s Gaels NCAAB Betting Prediction

San Diego Toreros vs Saint Mary’s Gaels Prediction 2/24/2024

The San Diego Toreros (16-12) travel to face off against the Saint Mary’s Gaels (22-6) on Saturday, February 24th. This game will be played at University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga and televised on ESPNU. Saint Mary’s is coming off a win in their previous game, while San Diego is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Santa Clara. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

San Diego Toreros vs Saint Mary’s Gaels

The San Diego Toreros Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

San Diego enters this game as a +20.5 underdog, and they have gone 8-11 as an underdog this season. They are 16-12 overall, including a 6-8 record in West Coast Conference play.

On the road, the Toreros have gone 4-5 this season, and their average scoring margin is -8.7 points per game. They are coming off a 82-69 loss to Santa Clara, and over their last 10 road games, they have gone 4-6.

Against the spread, San Diego is 12-15 this season, but their mark vs. the spread as the underdog is 10-9. On the road, the Toreros have an ATS record of 5-4, and their last three road games vs. the spread have all been wins.

This season, the over/under record for San Diego games is 16-11 and today’s line of 138.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (149.6). In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average of 153 points scored in those games.

The Saint Mary’s Gaels Are Coming Off A Win

After winning their last game against San Francisco by a score of 70-66, the Gaels come into this game with a record of 22-6. They have won their last 14 games and have a perfect 13-0 record in West Coast Conference play. Saint Mary’s is 12-6 at home this season and has a scoring margin of +13.4 points per game.

For the year, the Gaels have been favored in 24 of their 28 games, going 18-6 in those contests. They are a perfect 9-0 on the road this season, and their average scoring margin away from home is +14.3 points per game.

At home this season, the Gaels have gone just 8-10 vs. the spread. Overall, they are 14-13 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Saint Mary’s has gone 6-4 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 138.5 is similar to the average over/under line in Saint Mary’s games this season (132.9). So far, 20 of their games have finished with less points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 141 points. On the year, their over/under mark is 14-13.

San Diego Offense Breakdown

In their most recent game, the Toreros’ offense tallied 69 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 73.2 points per game. In terms of three-point shooting, the Toreros offense has been good from outside, hitting 35% of their three-pointers on an average of 20.1 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 44%.

Wayne McKinney II (G) 14.6 3.7 3.0
Deuce Turner (G) 15.2 2.6 1.8
PJ Hayes (F) 11.1 3.1 1.1

Saint Mary’s Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Saint Mary’s offense ended with 70 points against San Francisco. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 45.8% and made 4 threes. In terms of offense, the Gaels have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, putting them 112nd in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 225th in percentage and 192nd in three-pointers made.

Aidan Mahaney (G) 13.9 2.5 2.5
Augustas Marciulionis (G) 12.2 3.1 4.7
Mitchell Saxen (C) 11.2 7.6 1.5

San Diego Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the San Diego defense is giving up an average of 76.5 points per contest. San Diego will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Santa Clara to just 39% shooting in their most recent game.

Saint Mary’s Team Defense

The Gaels’ defense is presently ranked 2nd nationally, allowing an average of 58.0 points per contest. So far, the Saint Mary’s defense is giving up an average of 6.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9.3 times per game (374th).

Toreros vs Gaels Trends

  • Although San Diego has a straight up record of 4-6 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 5-5. The team averaged 74 points per game in these games.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Saint Mary’s has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 9-1 while averaging 71 points per game.
  • The Toreros have played well in their last five games as the betting underdog, going 3-2 straight up and 4-1 against the spread.
  • As the betting favorite, the Gaels have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 5-0.

Toreros vs Gaels Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Gaels vs. Toreros matchup, our bet is to grab the Toreros at +20.5. Even though our projections have the Gaels winning 76-70, we see the Toreros as the play on the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 138.5, and our model predicts the Toreros and Gaels to score a combined 146 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.