Santa Clara Broncos vs Saint Mary’s NCAAB Betting Prediction

Santa Clara Broncos vs Saint Mary’s Prediction 3/11/2024

The Santa Clara Broncos (20-12) travel to face off against the Saint Mary’s Gaels (24-7) on Monday, March 11th. This game will be played at Orleans Arena in Las Vegas and televised on ESPN. Santa Clara is coming off a win in their previous game, while Saint Mary’s is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Gonzaga. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Santa Clara Broncos vs Saint Mary’s Gaels

The Santa Clara Broncos Are Coming Off A Win

Coming off a 104-79 win over San Diego, Santa Clara will look to extend their winning streak to three games. So far this season, the Broncos have an overall record of 20-12, including an 11-5 mark in West Coast Conference action.

On the road, Santa Clara has gone 6-5 this season, and they enter tonight’s game as a 9.5-point underdog. So far this season, the Broncos have been the underdog in 13 of their 32 games, going 6-7 in those matchups.

As the underdog, Santa Clara has been a solid bet this season, going 9-4 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 9-2, and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they have an 8-2 record vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 134.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Santa Clara’s games this season (149.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 155 points, and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 3-7.

The Saint Mary’s Gaels Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

At home this season, Saint Mary’s has gone 13-7, and they have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games at home. For the year, they have been favored in 27 of their 31 games, going 20-7 as the favorite.

Coming into this game, the Gaels have an overall record of 24-7, and they are 15-1 in West Coast Conference play. In their last game, they lost to Gonzaga by a score of 70-57.

As the favorite this season, Saint Mary’s has an ATS record of 13-14. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Gaels have gone 6-4 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark sits at 9-11 this year. In their last 3 home games, they are 1-2 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Saint Mary’s games is 16-14, and today’s over/under line of 134.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games (133.5). So far, 17 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 139 points.

Santa Clara Offense Breakdown

Santa Clara is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 104 points versus San Diego. This output is higher than their season-average of 77.3 points per game. Leading the team in scoring is Adama Bal, who is averaging 14.8 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Carlos Marshall Jr also maintains a PPG average of 12.8 heading into game.

Adama Bal (G) 14.8 3.2 3.1
Carlos Marshall Jr (G) 12.8 4.3 1.6
Johnny O’Neil (F) 11.2 5.6 1.6

Saint Mary’s Offense Breakdown

Against Gonzaga, the Saint Mary’s had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 74.3 points per game. They scored 57 points and posted a field goal percentage of 37.3% in the game. In terms of three-point shooting, the Gaels offense has been good from outside, hitting 35% of their three-pointers on an average of 21.6 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 46%.

Aidan Mahaney (G) 13.7 2.7 2.5
Augustas Marciulionis (G) 12.3 3.2 5.1
Mitchell Saxen (C) 11.5 7.3 1.5

Santa Clara Team Defense

At present, the Broncos’ defense is nationally ranked 173rd, allowing 72.0 points per game. Against San Diego in their most recent game, the Santa Clara defense gave up a total of 79 points while allowing San Diego to hit 48% of their shots.

Saint Mary’s Team Defense

This season, the Saint Mary’s defense has been impressive, holding the 3rd position in the country while permitting an average of 58.5 points per contest. Saint Mary’s’ three-point defense is currently 10th in the country at 4.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 38.9% of their shots vs. Saint Mary’s.

Broncos vs Gaels Trends

  • Across their last three road contests, Santa Clara has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 79 points per game.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Saint Mary’s has an ATS record of 7-3 while averaging 73 per game. The team went 10-0 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Broncos have a straight up record of 1-4 and an ATS mark of 4-1.
  • The Gaels have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.

Broncos vs Gaels Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Gaels vs. Broncos matchup, our bet is to grab the Broncos at +9.5. Even though our projections have the Gaels winning 76-70, we see the Broncos as the play on the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 134.5 and given that our model is projecting 146 points between the teams, we like the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.