Syracuse Orange vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction 1/13/2024

The Syracuse Orange (11-4) travel to face off against the North Carolina Tar Heels (12-3) on Saturday, January 13th. This game will be played at Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 12:00 ET.

Syracuse Orange vs North Carolina Tar Heels

The Syracuse Orange Are Coming Off A Win

Today, Syracuse is the underdog, as they are getting 13 points. They are 1-4 this season as the underdog.

On the road, Syracuse is 2-3 this season, and they are 4-6 in their last 10 games away from home. Their average scoring margin on the road this season is .0 points per game.

As the underdog this season, Syracuse has gone just 1-4 against the spread and they have an overall ATS mark of 7-8. On the road, the Orange have gone just 2-3 vs. the spread this year and they are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 road games. As the underdog over their last 10 games, Syracuse is just 1-7-2 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Syracuse games is 7-8, and today’s line of 153.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (149.8). This year, 11 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 144 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 5-5.

The North Carolina Tar Heels Are Coming Off A Win

North Carolina comes into this game with a record of 12-3 and a five-game win streak. So far, they are 4-0 in Atlantic Coast Conference play and 8-3 in non-conference games.

At home, the Tar Heels have been dominant, going 8-1 with an average scoring margin of +17.7. Over their last 10 games at home, they are 9-1.

When looking at North Carolina’s ATS record this season, they are currently 9-6. At home, their ATS record is 5-4 and they have gone 2-1 ATS in their last three home games. When favored, the Tar Heels have an ATS mark of 8-5 this year and they have gone 3-0 ATS in their last three games as the favorite.

On the season, North Carolina’s over/under record is 8-7 and the average over/under line in their games is 153. Today’s over/under line of 153.5 is slightly higher than the average OU line in their games (153). Over their last three games, their over/under record is 0-3 and the average scoring total in those games is 122 points.

Syracuse Offense Breakdown

The Syracuse offense is coming off a game in which they scored 69 points vs. Boston College. Overall their field goal percentage was 37.7% while connecting on 6 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Chris Bell with 20 points. Maliq Brown also added 19 points for the Orange.

Judah Mintz (G) 18.5 2.9 3.9
J.J. Starling (G) 11.0 3.8 2.6
Chris Bell (F) 10.9 2.1 0.8

North Carolina Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 82.5 points per game, the North Carolina had a below average performance. They scored 67 points against North Carolina State and had a field goal percentage of 38.7%. Offensively, the Tar Heels have a season long field goal percentage of 45%, which is 191st in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 123rd in percentage and 163rd in three-pointers made.

RJ Davis (G) 20.3 3.5 3.4
Armando Bacot (F) 14.5 10.7 1.3
Harrison Ingram (F) 12.8 7.6 2.5

Syracuse Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Syracuse defense is giving up an average of 70.7 points per contest. Syracuse will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Boston College to just 37% shooting in their most recent game.

North Carolina Team Defense

At this time, the Tar Heels’ defense is positioned 125th in the country, permitting 69.7 points per game. In their previous game vs. North Carolina State, the Wolfpack finished with a field goal percentage of 26% and a total of 54 points vs. North Carolina.

Orange vs Tar Heels Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Syracuse has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 69 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • Although North Carolina has a straight up record of 6-4 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 5-5. The team averaged 71 points per game in these games.
  • Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Orange have a straight up record of 1-4. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-4.
  • As the betting favorite, the Tar Heels have an ATS record of 4-1 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 4-1.

Orange vs Tar Heels Prediction

In this Tar Heels vs. Tar Heels matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Tar Heels at -13. While we project the Tar Heels to win 75-68, our recommendation is to bet on the Orange for the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 153.5, and our model predicts the Orange and Tar Heels to score a combined 143 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.