tarleton vs tennessee ncaab betting prediction

Tarleton State Texans vs Volunteers Prediction 12/21/2023

The Tarleton State Texans (8-3) travel to face off against the Tennessee Volunteers (8-3) on Thursday, December 21st. This game will be played at Thompson-Boling Arena in Knoxville and televised on SEC. Tarleton State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Tennessee is looking to get back on track from a loss to the North Carolina. Tip-off is set for 6:30 ET.

Tarleton State Texans vs Tennessee Volunteers

The Tarleton State Texans Are Coming Off A Win

Tarleton State, who have an overall record of 8-3, are getting ready for their 12th game of the season. So far, Tarleton State has gone 2-2 on the road and 3-0 at home. Heading into today’s game, Tarleton State holds a 4-3 ATS record. In their previous five games, they are 1-2 vs. the spread.

So far, Tarleton State’s games have averaged 133.7 points per game with the average over/under line being 136.4 points. The Texans have seen their last five games conclude with a collective average of 137 points per game and an over/under record of 1-2.

The Tennessee Volunteers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Tennessee, who has an overall record of 8-3, is preparing for their 12th game of the season. In their last three home games, including last year, Tennessee has a perfect 3-0 record at home. As Tennessee prepares to face Tarleton State, their ATS record stands at 3-4. In home games this season, Tennessee is 1-1 vs. the spread, and in their previous ten home games, they are 4-5-1.

Through 11 games, Tennessee has an over/under record of 4-3-0 with their games averaging a combined 143.3 points per game so far. The Volunteers have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 147 points per game.

Tarleton State Offense Breakdown

In their recent game, the Texans’ offense concluded with 77 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 72.5 points per contest. Offensively, the Texans hold a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, placing them 277th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 355th in terms of percentage and 342nd in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Jakorie Smith (F) 15.0 4.4 1.6
Kiandre Gaddy (F) 12.6 7.5 0.8
Lue Williams (G) 12.2 5.0 1.1

Tennessee Offense Breakdown

Tennessee’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 92 points vs. North Carolina. Overall, they hit 55.6% of their shots from the field and went 13/16 from the free-throw line. One area that the Tennessee offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 177th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 43%.

Name PPG REB AST
Dalton Knecht (G) 16.5 4.4 1.5
Josiah-Jordan James (G) 11.7 6.7 2.2
Jonas Aidoo (F) 11.4 7.2 1.2

Tarleton State Team Defense

Currently, the Texans’ defense holds the 30th rank in the nation, allowing 62.8 points per game. Tarleton State’s three-point defense is currently 41st in the country at 5.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 34.3% of their shots vs. Tarleton State.

Tennessee Team Defense

This season, the Tennessee defense has been impressive, holding the 92nd position in the country while permitting an average of 67.3 points per contest. So far, the Tennessee defense is giving up an average of 8.7 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.7 times per game (359th).

Texans vs Volunteers Trends

  • In their last three road games, Tarleton State has averaged 71 points per game while allowing 72. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • In their last five games at home, the Volunteers have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 74 points per game in this stretch.
  • The last ten games that Tarleton State was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 4-6 straight up.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Volunteers have a straight up record of 5-0, while going 2-2-1 against the spread.

Texans vs Volunteers Prediction

The Volunteers is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 87-61. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Volunteers at -22.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 139.5 and our model has the Texans and Volunteers finishing with a combined 148 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.