Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas NCAAB Betting Prediction

Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Prediction 2/14/2024

The Tennessee Volunteers (17-6) travel to face off against the Arkansas Razorbacks (12-11) on Wednesday, February 14th. This game will be played at Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville and televised on ESPN2. Arkansas is coming off a win in their previous game, while Tennessee is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Texas A&M. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks

The Tennessee Volunteers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Coming off a loss to Texas A&M, Tennessee is looking to get back on track as they take on Arkansas. On the season, the Volunteers are 17-6, including a 7-3 mark in Southeastern Conference play. So far, they have been favored in 19 of their 23 games, going 16-3 in those contests.

On the road, Tennessee has been average this season, going 5-5. Over their last 10 games away from home, the Volunteers have gone 5-5. On the year, their average scoring margin on the road is +1.5 compared to +19.3 at home.

As the favorite this season, Tennessee has gone 9-9-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Volunteers have gone 5-5 ATS. On the road this year, Tennessee is 3-7 vs. the spread and their ATS mark over their last 10 road games is 3-7.

Today’s over/under line of 150 is higher than the average over/under line in Tennessee’s games this season (143.3). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 167 points.

The Arkansas Razorbacks Are Coming Off A Win

Arkansas has been a much better team at home this season, going 11-4 compared to 1-7 on the road. They have also been the underdog in 12 of their 23 games, going 3-9 in those games.

After their 78-75 win over Georgia, the Razorbacks are now 12-11 on the season, including a 3-7 mark in Southeastern Conference play. They have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games at home.

When looking at Arkansas’ ATS record this season, they are currently 7-16. At home, their ATS mark is 6-9. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Razorbacks are 4-6 vs. the spread. In their last 3 games as the underdog, they are 2-1 ATS.

This season, the over/under record for Arkansas games is 16-7 and today’s line of 150 is similar to the average over/under line of 150.5 in their games. So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average scoring total of 165 points.

Tennessee Offense Breakdown

The Tennessee offense is coming off a game where they scored 69 points against Texas A&M. They posted a field goal percentage of 37.1% and connected on 8 threes. The Tennessee offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 25.4 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 34% of their looks from outside this season.

Dalton Knecht (G) 20.3 4.8 1.8
Jonas Aidoo (F) 11.3 7.3 1.0
Zakai Zeigler (G) 11.0 2.6 5.6

Arkansas Offense Breakdown

The Razorbacks’ offense finished with 78 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 76 points per contest. Tramon Mark is leading the team in scoring at 17.7 points per contest. Khalif Battle has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 10.2 going into the game.

Tramon Mark (G) 17.7 4.1 1.5
Khalif Battle (G) 10.2 2.5 1.1
Trevon Brazile (F) 8.9 6.5 0.5

Tennessee Team Defense

So far, the Volunteers’ defense is ranked 80th in the country at 68.0 points per contest. So far, the Tennessee defense is giving up an average of 9.7 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9.9 times per game (406th).

Arkansas Team Defense

Currently, the Razorbacks’ defense holds the 293rd rank in the nation, allowing 77.8 points per game. Arkansas’ defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Georgia offense to knock down 57% of their shots on their way to putting up 75 points.

Volunteers vs Razorbacks Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Tennessee has an ATS mark of 3-7. Their straight up record in these matchups was 5-5 while averaging 77 points per game.
  • Although Arkansas has a straight up record of 1-4 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-4. The team averaged 70 points per game in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Razorbacks have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 3-2.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Volunteers have a straight up record of 7-3 and an ATS mark of 5-5.

Volunteers vs Razorbacks Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +9, we recommend going with the Razorbacks on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 150 and given that our model is projecting 144 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.