Texas A&M Aggies vs Alabama Crimson Tide NCAA Betting Prediction

Texas A&M vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction 2/17/2024

The Texas A&M Aggies (15-9) travel to face off against the Alabama Crimson Tide (17-7) on Saturday, February 17th. This game will be played at Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa and televised on ESPN. Alabama is coming off a win in their previous game, while Texas A&M is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Vanderbilt. Tip-off is set for 12:00 ET.

Texas A&M Aggies vs Alabama Crimson Tide

The Texas A&M Aggies Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Today, Texas A&M will be looking to bounce back from a one-point loss to Vanderbilt. The Aggies have a record of 15-9 this season, including a 6-5 mark in Southeastern Conference play. On the road, Texas A&M is 5-5, and their average scoring margin in these games is +1.5 points per game.

As an underdog, the Aggies have gone 3-3 this season. They have been the underdog in six games compared to being the favorite in 18. Their record against the spread is 12-6. This season, Texas A&M’s average scoring margin is +9.2 points per game at home compared to +1.5 on the road.

As the underdog this season, Texas A&M has gone 4-2 vs. the spread. On the road, the Aggies’ ATS mark is 5-5 and they are 2-1 vs. the spread in their last three road games.

Today’s over/under line of 158.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Texas A&M’s games this year (143.2). Their over/under record for the season is 13-11, and in their last three games, the over is 3-0. The average scoring total in their last three games (146 points) is higher than the season average (142.3).

The Alabama Crimson Tide Are Coming Off A Win

Alabama enters this game as the favorite, as they have been in 18 of their 24 games this season. They have a record of 16-2 when favored, compared to just 1-5 as the underdog. At home, the Crimson Tide are 11-1 and have won their last seven games.

Alabama’s average scoring margin at home this season is +25.2 points per game, and they have gone 9-1 in their last 10 games at home. In their most recent game, the Crimson Tide defeated LSU by a score of 109-92.

Alabama has been one of the best teams in the country against the spread this season, going 15-9. Their ATS record is even better at home, where they are 10-2 this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Crimson Tide have gone 9-1 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Alabama games is 17-7. So far, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line of 158.5. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and over their last 10 games, the over/under record is 7-3. On average this year, their games have finished with 167.2 points per game.

Texas A&M Offense Breakdown

In their previous game, the Aggies’ offense finished with 73 points, which is right in line with their current average of 74.2 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Wade Taylor IV, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 19.8, while Tyrece Radford also maintains a PPG average of 15.1 leading up to the game.

Wade Taylor IV (G) 19.8 3.7 3.7
Tyrece Radford (G) 15.1 5.2 2.4
Henry Coleman III (F) 10.0 6.7 0.9

Alabama Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Alabama offense ended with 109 points against LSU. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 46.9% and made 18 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Mark Sears, who is averaging 20.5 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Aaron Estrada also maintains a PPG average of 12.8 heading into game.

Mark Sears (G) 20.5 4.3 3.9
Aaron Estrada (G) 12.8 5.0 3.9
Grant Nelson (F) 12.0 5.7 1.8

Texas A&M Team Defense

At present, the Aggies’ defense is nationally ranked 84th, allowing 68.2 points per game. So far, the Texas A&M defense is giving up an average of 8.6 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9.3 times per game (376th).

Alabama Team Defense

The Crimson Tide’s defense is presently ranked 282nd nationally, allowing an average of 76.9 points per contest. Against LSU in their most recent game, the Alabama defense gave up a total of 92 points while allowing LSU to hit 55% of their shots.

Aggies vs Crimson Tide Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, Texas A&M has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 5-5 while averaging 71 points per game.
  • Alabama has played well in their previous three home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 91 points per game while allowing 89. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Texas A&M has an ATS mark of 2-1 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the Crimson Tide have an ATS record of 5-0 and a straight up mark of 5-0.

Aggies vs Crimson Tide Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Crimson Tide vs. Crimson Tide game, we suggest taking the Crimson Tide at -9. Even though our predictions have the Crimson Tide winning 75-70, we see the Aggies as the better choice on the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 158.5, and our model predicts the Aggies and Crimson Tide to score a combined 145 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.